Thursday's NBA Plays...

[emkee]

62-46-1 (+25.01)

1-0 last night.

Getting in relatively early again as the line should surely rise to something more respectable.

Phoenix Suns at Denver Nuggets

The play...

Nuggets -7.5 (2 units)

Initially was gonna pass but gotta trust the situation and my numbers.

Suns in a shitty spot. Forced to play it but it always sucks laying points with losers.

Have it lined at 10 as mentioned in the discussion thread.

opcorn:

 

[nbafan88]

Super situation coupled with the b2b in altitude. Trying to back track last couple years not sure if this has happened before. Brothers is scaring me because I know I'll be call myself stupid if the Suns cover.

 

[tuck321]

Total agreement. It is sad but the Suns have had amazing luck vs Denver for a long time and now its payback.
Actually a boring game. The real issue today seems to be Atlanta at Toronto

 

[Metallica]

Like the pick. GL Emkee :cheers3:

 

[emkee]

Thanks fellas.

Still a play at 8.5, wouldn't go higher than that though.

Have an average margin of victory of 10.5 points for teams whose opponents are in the similar spot as the Suns with around a 71% cover rate.

Cover rate jumps to around 83% when the home team has a winning percentage below 45%.

 

[B.A.R.]

GL bud, I'll trade ya lines

 

[emkee]

Thanks BAR, sat on this spread and waited for the opener. Was shocked it opened at 7, almost scared me off.

Made me miss the flat 7 either way.

Was expecting a 9 on release, looks like the line is hitting it's true form though. At 9.5 right now.

Not a sexy game or on TNT so the steam should be harmless.

 

[pip2]

Thanks emkee, trailed you for the 1st half...

 

[nbafan88]

Congrats. Keep it going!

 

[divol]

Good hit Em! Liked them as well, but hesitated to pull the trigger for some reason...

 

[B.A.R.]

Roo Roo...

 

[wizardofodd]

:cheers3:

 

[Paulie The Vig]

Nice one was along with ya.

 

[B.A.R.]

Follow the heater boys...