Bear
Pretty much a regular
Copy and paste - maybe there is something in here that can be of help.......................
Series information..................
BEGINNING, THURSDAY, JULY 28
Colorado at N.Y. Mets (4) 28th, 29th, 30th, 31st
The Mets engineered a three game sweep when they visited Coors
Field earlier this year (+$350), but they may be in for a rude awakening
this weekend. The Rockies have been looking sharp since the
All-Star Break (7-3, +$375 last 10) and they continue to excel at
the plate, averaging 5.2 runs per game in 2016. They’ve turned a
profit in the role of visitor (+$465) while the Mets have lost money
in night games here at CitiField (-$645). New York’s inept offense
(.237 team BA) is not well equipped to take advantage of Colorado’s
weak pitching. We’ll look to take some fat underdog prices
this weekend. BEST BET: Rockies in night games.
Philadelphia at Atlanta (4) 28th, 29th, 30th, 31st
The Phillies haven’t had much to boast about for a couple of
months, but they have taken 6 of 9 from the Braves in 2016 (+$180)
and we like their chance this weekend at Turner Field. The last
place Braves are only 14-36 in this ballpark so far (-$1935) and
their offense has posted a paltry 3.4 runs per game. The Phillies
have racked up enormous profits in night games away from Citizens
Bank (+$1135). We’ll avoid Atlanta ace Julio Teheran (2.71 ERA
in 20 starts), but the rest of the Atlanta rotation is fair game. BEST
BET: Phillies in night game unless opposed by Teheran.
St. Louis at Miami (4) 28th, 29th, 30th, 31st
Things may be coming together for the Cardinals, who are nicely
positioned to challenge for the NL Wildcard and could even make
a run at Chicago in the Central Division. They’ve done their best
work in road games this year (27-16, +$1265) and their offense is
generating almost 5.2 runs per game. Miami is looking very good,
as they fight to move up in the NL East. But they’ve not fared well
vs. righthanders this year (-$600 overall) and that’s a problem vs.
the mostly righthanded St. Louis mound corp. Stick with the visitor
this weekend. BEST BET: Righthanders vs. the Marlins.
Washington at San Francisco (4) 28th, 29th, 30th, 31st
The Giants are still on top in the competitive NL West, but they
have been in a tailspin since returning from the All-Star Break (1-
7, -$960, averaging just 2.9 runs per game) and they’ll be taking
on one of MLB’s most formidable rotations (Nationals 3.28 team
ERA, tops in the National League). San Francisco has lost money
vs. righthanders in 2016 (-$380) and while it’s likely they’ll miss
Stephen Strasburg, they’ll still have to contend with Max Scherzer
(2.92 ERA) and Tanner Roark (3.11). We’ll back those two when
they visit ATT Park. BEST BET: Scherzer/Roark.
Kansas City at Texas (4) 28th, 29th, 30th, 31st
The Rangers once seemingly insurmountable lead in the AL West
has evaporated, as the team remains mired in their worst slump of
the year (3-6, -$280 in the last 10 days, averaging just 3.3 runs per
game with a 5.38 ERA among starters). But they’ve been very successful
when playing here in Arlington this year (29-15, +$1265)
and they draw a soft opponent in Kansas City. The defending
champs are still under .500 as August approaches, and they’ve been
a total disaster outside of Kaufman Stadium (17-32, -$1320). We’ll
back the home team throughout, and look to take at least 3 out of 4.
BEST BET: Rangers in all games.
Boston at L.A. Angels (4) 28th, 29th, 30th, 31st
The Angels have been on the upswing in recent days (6-3, +$300
last 10) but their pitching remains in disarray (4.47 ERA, 3rd worst
in the league) and they’ll be up against one of baseball’s most
prolific offenses in Anaheim this weekend. Boston has averaged
a spectacular 5.8 runs per game against righthanders on the road
in 2016 (+$560) and none of LA’s starters give us much cause for
concern at this time. The Red Sox are in a competitive three-way
race in the AL East, so they’ll need to take advantage of weak clubs
to capture a division title. BEST BET: Red Sox vs. righthanders.
BEGINNING, FRIDAY, JULY 29
Pittsburgh at Milwaukee (3) 29th, 30th, 31st
The Pirates have already taken 4 of 6 from the Brewers in head to
head play this year (+$105) but they’ve struggled vs. righthanders
in 2016 (-$425 overall) and that’s bad news vs. the all-righty
Milwaukee rotation. The Brewers are averaging nearly 4.8 runs per
game against lefthanders this year (+$695) so use them against any
of the Pittsburgh southpaws. In addition, they have a pair of quality
arms in Junior Guerra (+$760, 2.85 ERA) and Zack Davies (+$335,
3.64), both of whom are expected to see action. Terrific value on the
home team, as they look to climb over .500 in games played here
at Miller Park. BEST BET: Davies/Guerra/Brewers vs. lefthanders.
Arizona at L.A. Dodgers (3) 29th, 30th, 31st
The Diamondbacks appear likely to finish at or near the bottom of
the NL West standings, but they’re over .500 in the role of visitor
(+$875) and they are likely to fetch some inflated prices here at
Chavez Ravine. The Dodgers are well positioned to make a run at
the Giants for the division’s top slot, but they’ve under-performed
against lefty starters (-$480, averaging just 3.5 runs per game).
They are likely to face at least one or two southpaws this weekend,
and will no doubt be heavily favored throughout. Great value on the
visitor in this one. BEST BET: Lefthanders vs. the Dodgers.
Cincinnati at San Diego (3) 29th, 30th, 31st
The Padres spanked the Reds in a four game set at Great American
Ballpark (+$215) and they should make short work of this team
here at Petco Park. Cincinnati has the worst pitching staff in the
majors this year (5.28 ERA) and they are taking on a San Diego
team that is 16-12 vs. lefthanders (+$850, averaging 5.6 runs per
game) and checks in with fat profits in night games in all settings
(+$1650). Plenty of opportunities for the Padres to take advantage
of the NL Central’s cellar dweller in this three game set. BEST BET:
Padres vs. lefthanders/Padres in night games.
Baltimore at Toronto (3) 29th, 30th, 31st
The Orioles remain on top in the AL East, but they face a difficult
trip to Rogers Centre, where the Blue Jays lie in wait. Toronto
is within easy striking distance as they look to repeat as AL East
champs, and their pitching continues to shine (3.83 ERA, 3rd best
in the American League). The Orioles might be tempting vs. J.A.
Happ, the home team’s lone southpaw starter, but he’s been so profitable
in 2016 (+$870) that we prefer to steer clear. On the other
hand, Baltimore is only 12-20 vs. righties on the road (-$670) so
we’ll stick with the home team as they look to repeat last year’s 2nd
half success. BEST BET: Righthanders vs. the Orioles.
N.Y. Yankees at Tampa Bay (3) 29th, 30th, 31st
The Rays hare suffering through their worst season in over a decade
(38-60, -$2845) and we’ll look for a fire sale to be underway as the
trading deadline draws near. Their offense is dreadful (.240 team
BA, worst in the AL) and their rotation has been a disappointment
as well (4.40 ERA). But we’re not enthusiastic about this lackluster
Yankee team, especially with staff ace Masahiro Tanaka expected
to miss the series. New York has been a losing proposition outside
of the Bronx (-$545) so we’ll stay on the sidelines when these clubs
square off at Tropicana Field. BEST BET: None.
Oakland at Cleveland (3) 29th, 30th, 31st
The Indians have the top rated pitching staff in the American League
right now (3.63 ERA) and they’ve moved to a six game lead in the
AL Central, the biggest lead of any team in baseball other than
the Cubs. They are 21-6 in night games here at Progressive Field
(+$1230) and they face a beleaguered Oakland team saddled with
a starting rotation in shambles (4.61 team ERA, 2nd worst in the
AL). The Tribe has lost money in day game, so caution is advised
in Sunday’s finale. But even with inflated prices we’ll look to back
the home team when we can. BEST BET: Indians in night games.
Houston at Detroit (3) 29th, 30th, 31st
The Astros lost 17 of their first 24 games this year and were left for
dead, but they’ve staged a remarkable turnaround and find themselves
within striking distance of 1st place in the competitive AL
West. They’ve looked sensational since the All-Star Break (6-3,
+$180, averaging 5.7 runs per game with a 3.03 ERA among starters)
and we like their chances with Dallas Keuchel here at Comerica.
Keuchel continues to improve following his miserable 1st
half (2.03 ERA last two outings) and the Tigers have lost money vs.
southpaws (-$230). BEST BET: Keuchel.
Chicago W. Sox at Minnesota (3) 29th, 30th, 31st
Things took an ugly turn in the Chicago clubhouse over the weekend
when staff ace Chris Sale destroyed the throwback uniforms
scheduled to be worn on Saturday. His future with the franchise is
uncertain, and the team is fading fast in the AL Central (3-7, -$465
last 10 days, averaging just 3.0 runs per game at the plate). They’ve
already taken 8 of 9 from the hapless Twins in head to head play
(+$635) and Minnesota has been dreadful (-$1355). But with chaos
threatening to engulf the White Sox organization this looks like a
good time to steer clear. BEST BET: None.
Seattle at Chicago Cubs (3) 29th, 30th, 31st
The Cubs are still a safe bet to capture the NL Central, but because
prices on their games have been so wildly inflated they’ve
lost money in 2016 (-$875 overall). We’re happy to use Jon Lester
(+$395, 3.06 ERA) this weekend at Wrigley Field (Mariners
only 13-20, -$925, vs. lefties in 2016), but we’ll look for Seattle
in all other contests. The Mariners are averaging 5.3 runs per game
against righthanders (+$410) and they are remarkably close to 1st
place in the rapidly tightening AL West chase. We’ll play this series
accordingly. BEST BET: Lester/Mariners vs. righthanders.
Series information..................
BEGINNING, THURSDAY, JULY 28
Colorado at N.Y. Mets (4) 28th, 29th, 30th, 31st
The Mets engineered a three game sweep when they visited Coors
Field earlier this year (+$350), but they may be in for a rude awakening
this weekend. The Rockies have been looking sharp since the
All-Star Break (7-3, +$375 last 10) and they continue to excel at
the plate, averaging 5.2 runs per game in 2016. They’ve turned a
profit in the role of visitor (+$465) while the Mets have lost money
in night games here at CitiField (-$645). New York’s inept offense
(.237 team BA) is not well equipped to take advantage of Colorado’s
weak pitching. We’ll look to take some fat underdog prices
this weekend. BEST BET: Rockies in night games.
Philadelphia at Atlanta (4) 28th, 29th, 30th, 31st
The Phillies haven’t had much to boast about for a couple of
months, but they have taken 6 of 9 from the Braves in 2016 (+$180)
and we like their chance this weekend at Turner Field. The last
place Braves are only 14-36 in this ballpark so far (-$1935) and
their offense has posted a paltry 3.4 runs per game. The Phillies
have racked up enormous profits in night games away from Citizens
Bank (+$1135). We’ll avoid Atlanta ace Julio Teheran (2.71 ERA
in 20 starts), but the rest of the Atlanta rotation is fair game. BEST
BET: Phillies in night game unless opposed by Teheran.
St. Louis at Miami (4) 28th, 29th, 30th, 31st
Things may be coming together for the Cardinals, who are nicely
positioned to challenge for the NL Wildcard and could even make
a run at Chicago in the Central Division. They’ve done their best
work in road games this year (27-16, +$1265) and their offense is
generating almost 5.2 runs per game. Miami is looking very good,
as they fight to move up in the NL East. But they’ve not fared well
vs. righthanders this year (-$600 overall) and that’s a problem vs.
the mostly righthanded St. Louis mound corp. Stick with the visitor
this weekend. BEST BET: Righthanders vs. the Marlins.
Washington at San Francisco (4) 28th, 29th, 30th, 31st
The Giants are still on top in the competitive NL West, but they
have been in a tailspin since returning from the All-Star Break (1-
7, -$960, averaging just 2.9 runs per game) and they’ll be taking
on one of MLB’s most formidable rotations (Nationals 3.28 team
ERA, tops in the National League). San Francisco has lost money
vs. righthanders in 2016 (-$380) and while it’s likely they’ll miss
Stephen Strasburg, they’ll still have to contend with Max Scherzer
(2.92 ERA) and Tanner Roark (3.11). We’ll back those two when
they visit ATT Park. BEST BET: Scherzer/Roark.
Kansas City at Texas (4) 28th, 29th, 30th, 31st
The Rangers once seemingly insurmountable lead in the AL West
has evaporated, as the team remains mired in their worst slump of
the year (3-6, -$280 in the last 10 days, averaging just 3.3 runs per
game with a 5.38 ERA among starters). But they’ve been very successful
when playing here in Arlington this year (29-15, +$1265)
and they draw a soft opponent in Kansas City. The defending
champs are still under .500 as August approaches, and they’ve been
a total disaster outside of Kaufman Stadium (17-32, -$1320). We’ll
back the home team throughout, and look to take at least 3 out of 4.
BEST BET: Rangers in all games.
Boston at L.A. Angels (4) 28th, 29th, 30th, 31st
The Angels have been on the upswing in recent days (6-3, +$300
last 10) but their pitching remains in disarray (4.47 ERA, 3rd worst
in the league) and they’ll be up against one of baseball’s most
prolific offenses in Anaheim this weekend. Boston has averaged
a spectacular 5.8 runs per game against righthanders on the road
in 2016 (+$560) and none of LA’s starters give us much cause for
concern at this time. The Red Sox are in a competitive three-way
race in the AL East, so they’ll need to take advantage of weak clubs
to capture a division title. BEST BET: Red Sox vs. righthanders.
BEGINNING, FRIDAY, JULY 29
Pittsburgh at Milwaukee (3) 29th, 30th, 31st
The Pirates have already taken 4 of 6 from the Brewers in head to
head play this year (+$105) but they’ve struggled vs. righthanders
in 2016 (-$425 overall) and that’s bad news vs. the all-righty
Milwaukee rotation. The Brewers are averaging nearly 4.8 runs per
game against lefthanders this year (+$695) so use them against any
of the Pittsburgh southpaws. In addition, they have a pair of quality
arms in Junior Guerra (+$760, 2.85 ERA) and Zack Davies (+$335,
3.64), both of whom are expected to see action. Terrific value on the
home team, as they look to climb over .500 in games played here
at Miller Park. BEST BET: Davies/Guerra/Brewers vs. lefthanders.
Arizona at L.A. Dodgers (3) 29th, 30th, 31st
The Diamondbacks appear likely to finish at or near the bottom of
the NL West standings, but they’re over .500 in the role of visitor
(+$875) and they are likely to fetch some inflated prices here at
Chavez Ravine. The Dodgers are well positioned to make a run at
the Giants for the division’s top slot, but they’ve under-performed
against lefty starters (-$480, averaging just 3.5 runs per game).
They are likely to face at least one or two southpaws this weekend,
and will no doubt be heavily favored throughout. Great value on the
visitor in this one. BEST BET: Lefthanders vs. the Dodgers.
Cincinnati at San Diego (3) 29th, 30th, 31st
The Padres spanked the Reds in a four game set at Great American
Ballpark (+$215) and they should make short work of this team
here at Petco Park. Cincinnati has the worst pitching staff in the
majors this year (5.28 ERA) and they are taking on a San Diego
team that is 16-12 vs. lefthanders (+$850, averaging 5.6 runs per
game) and checks in with fat profits in night games in all settings
(+$1650). Plenty of opportunities for the Padres to take advantage
of the NL Central’s cellar dweller in this three game set. BEST BET:
Padres vs. lefthanders/Padres in night games.
Baltimore at Toronto (3) 29th, 30th, 31st
The Orioles remain on top in the AL East, but they face a difficult
trip to Rogers Centre, where the Blue Jays lie in wait. Toronto
is within easy striking distance as they look to repeat as AL East
champs, and their pitching continues to shine (3.83 ERA, 3rd best
in the American League). The Orioles might be tempting vs. J.A.
Happ, the home team’s lone southpaw starter, but he’s been so profitable
in 2016 (+$870) that we prefer to steer clear. On the other
hand, Baltimore is only 12-20 vs. righties on the road (-$670) so
we’ll stick with the home team as they look to repeat last year’s 2nd
half success. BEST BET: Righthanders vs. the Orioles.
N.Y. Yankees at Tampa Bay (3) 29th, 30th, 31st
The Rays hare suffering through their worst season in over a decade
(38-60, -$2845) and we’ll look for a fire sale to be underway as the
trading deadline draws near. Their offense is dreadful (.240 team
BA, worst in the AL) and their rotation has been a disappointment
as well (4.40 ERA). But we’re not enthusiastic about this lackluster
Yankee team, especially with staff ace Masahiro Tanaka expected
to miss the series. New York has been a losing proposition outside
of the Bronx (-$545) so we’ll stay on the sidelines when these clubs
square off at Tropicana Field. BEST BET: None.
Oakland at Cleveland (3) 29th, 30th, 31st
The Indians have the top rated pitching staff in the American League
right now (3.63 ERA) and they’ve moved to a six game lead in the
AL Central, the biggest lead of any team in baseball other than
the Cubs. They are 21-6 in night games here at Progressive Field
(+$1230) and they face a beleaguered Oakland team saddled with
a starting rotation in shambles (4.61 team ERA, 2nd worst in the
AL). The Tribe has lost money in day game, so caution is advised
in Sunday’s finale. But even with inflated prices we’ll look to back
the home team when we can. BEST BET: Indians in night games.
Houston at Detroit (3) 29th, 30th, 31st
The Astros lost 17 of their first 24 games this year and were left for
dead, but they’ve staged a remarkable turnaround and find themselves
within striking distance of 1st place in the competitive AL
West. They’ve looked sensational since the All-Star Break (6-3,
+$180, averaging 5.7 runs per game with a 3.03 ERA among starters)
and we like their chances with Dallas Keuchel here at Comerica.
Keuchel continues to improve following his miserable 1st
half (2.03 ERA last two outings) and the Tigers have lost money vs.
southpaws (-$230). BEST BET: Keuchel.
Chicago W. Sox at Minnesota (3) 29th, 30th, 31st
Things took an ugly turn in the Chicago clubhouse over the weekend
when staff ace Chris Sale destroyed the throwback uniforms
scheduled to be worn on Saturday. His future with the franchise is
uncertain, and the team is fading fast in the AL Central (3-7, -$465
last 10 days, averaging just 3.0 runs per game at the plate). They’ve
already taken 8 of 9 from the hapless Twins in head to head play
(+$635) and Minnesota has been dreadful (-$1355). But with chaos
threatening to engulf the White Sox organization this looks like a
good time to steer clear. BEST BET: None.
Seattle at Chicago Cubs (3) 29th, 30th, 31st
The Cubs are still a safe bet to capture the NL Central, but because
prices on their games have been so wildly inflated they’ve
lost money in 2016 (-$875 overall). We’re happy to use Jon Lester
(+$395, 3.06 ERA) this weekend at Wrigley Field (Mariners
only 13-20, -$925, vs. lefties in 2016), but we’ll look for Seattle
in all other contests. The Mariners are averaging 5.3 runs per game
against righthanders (+$410) and they are remarkably close to 1st
place in the rapidly tightening AL West chase. We’ll play this series
accordingly. BEST BET: Lester/Mariners vs. righthanders.
