Thursday "Who are you parlaying Cubs with" Discussion

[C-MAN]

Somebody can post lines

Phi is 3-14 L17 Thur games
Cubs are 13-3 in L16 Arrieta road starts
A Morgan has been getting knocked around and Jake hasn't given up an earned run since Aug 15 - that's 29+ innings w/o an ER

 

[C-MAN]

Some interest in Col. Jorge hasn't lost (4-0) in the day this season and price is good. Maybe under too as both pitchers throwing well

 

[jimbof20]

Lmao at the thread title.... Just played them w the Tribe before I seen this.... Tribe hot right now... Believe it or not still talk locally that we can get in... Have I believe 7 games left w Minny... Anyway.. Expect another quality start from Salazar... Bats look good lately and should be able to handle Simon w ease...

 

[C-MAN]

I hope you are right about the Tribe. I have a decent sized future wager I would like to hedge out of if they get in.

 

[Gyno]

not touching the Cubs. Line is insane.

Nonetheless I bet STL/CIN under 8+100 when the lines came out. Garcia is an absolute beast, Lamb is a leftie. Has all the makings of a 4-3, 3-2, 4-1 final.

 

[Gyno]

Was going to bet Mets until I saw the line. WTF? Can't stomach taking the fatman on the road and giving all that juice vs somebody who has given up 2ER's or less in 20 out of 28 last starts.

 

[C-MAN]

Bartolo on a 25 concsecutive scoreless inning streak - that is amazing

 

[Timh]

[h=1]After another buckle, the Nationals prove they need a stronger spine[/h]
https://www.washingtonpost.com/spor...504396-5720-11e5-abe9-27d53f250b11_story.html

 

[kdog]

Was going to bet Mets until I saw the line. WTF? Can't stomach taking the fatman on the road and giving all that juice vs somebody who has given up 2ER's or less in 20 out of 28 last starts.

Which begs the question why didn't you take Atlanta at +150ish? Bartolo well past due for some regression and can't imagine Mets as a team not having a bit of an emotional drop off after Washington sweep & travel.

Atlanta & Atl/U7.5 parlayed both worth a bet for me.

 

[Gyno]

Can't bet good money on terrible teams. ATL is a god awful team.

 

[Timh]

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[TD]Jorge De La Rosa
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[TD]Jedd Gyorko

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[TD]Derek Norris

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[TD]39[/TD]
[TD]8[/TD]
[TD]8[/TD]
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[TD]0.625[/TD]
[TD]0.625[/TD]
[TD]0.875[/TD]
[TD]1.5[/TD]
[TD]0.649[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] R[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Matt Kemp

[/TD]
[TD]188[/TD]
[TD]50[/TD]
[TD]46[/TD]
[TD]20[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]4[/TD]
[TD]11[/TD]
[TD]17[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
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[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0.435[/TD]
[TD]0.46[/TD]
[TD]0.87[/TD]
[TD]1.33[/TD]
[TD]0.553[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] R[/TD]
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[TR]
[TD]Wil Myers

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[TD]20[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
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[TD]0.6[/TD]
[TD]0.333[/TD]
[TD]0.933[/TD]
[TD]0.452[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] R[/TD]
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[TR]
[TD]Justin Upton

[/TD]
[TD]138[/TD]
[TD]32[/TD]
[TD]26[/TD]
[TD]9[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
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[TD]0.452[/TD]
[TD]0.385[/TD]
[TD]0.836[/TD]
[TD]0.37[/TD]
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[TD]Melvin Upton

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[TD]19[/TD]
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[TD]Alexi Amarista

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[TD] L[/TD]
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[TD]Yonder Alonso

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[TD]42[/TD]
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[TD]0[/TD]
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[TD]0.25[/TD]
[TD]0.273[/TD]
[TD]0.523[/TD]
[TD]0.221[/TD]
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[TD]Yangervis Solarte

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[TD]48[/TD]
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[TD]0.179[/TD]
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[TD]Clint Barmes

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[TD]28[/TD]
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[TD]27[/TD]
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[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0.401[/TD]
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[TD]0.634[/TD]
[TD]1.093[/TD]
[TD]0.466[/TD]
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[TD]San Diego Padres:[/TD]
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[tuck321]

Felix and Dreckman innings 7 ERA 7.71
Dreckman not a big fan of home teams

 

[Canes1]

Can't bet good money on terrible teams. ATL is a god awful team.

Terry collins mentioned last night he is going to rest some starters tonight. Mets lineup could be pretty bad.

 

[tuck321]

Ump in Padres ha been a negative for Jorge but read this
Play on Col when De La Rosa is off a game had Whip of less than one. From 2013
11-0 SU / 9-2 RL / 6-5 o/u
Avg Score Col 5.7 - 3.0
This Situation is 3-0 this season
Got me

 

[Gyno]

Terry collins mentioned last night he is going to rest some starters tonight. Mets lineup could be pretty bad.

Hate using the word due but Shelby is due for a win. Most unlucky pitcher I've seen in a while.

 

[tuck321]

not touching the Cubs. Line is insane.

Nonetheless I bet STL/CIN under 8+100 when the lines came out. Garcia is an absolute beast, Lamb is a leftie. Has all the makings of a 4-3, 3-2, 4-1 final.

Cubs minus 1.5 or 2.5 has a lot going for it
Last 10 away Arrieta minus 1.5 is 9-1
Minus 2.5 8-2
Waiting on ump

 

[Paulie The Vig]

Was going to bet Mets until I saw the line. WTF? Can't stomach taking the fatman on the road and giving all that juice vs somebody who has given up 2ER's or less in 20 out of 28 last starts.

I agree and not only that the Mets coming off the biggest sweep they had in years and just about locked up the divison. Can you say Flat it's just that Atlanta is so bad and Miller is really unlucky but I think there's value in the price with Atlanta. They actually scored Runs last night and won 2 of 3 against the Phillies lol

 

[Paulie The Vig]

Ump in Padres ha been a negative for Jorge but read this
Play on Col when De La Rosa is off a game had Whip of less than one. From 2013
11-0 SU / 9-2 RL / 6-5 o/u
Avg Score Col 5.7 - 3.0
This Situation is 3-0 this season
Got me

Let me add that he's 4-0 in Day games and the last two times he's pitched with the extra days rest both shutouts. I'm sold.

 

[tuck321]

Hope we win. Atlanta is 3-10 on Thursday. Miller is playing his 5th game in a row on 4 days rest. Mets or nothing at the moment

 

[Paulie The Vig]

Just playing an angle but be warned I play the Fat Man to win I lose I play the Fat man to lose I win. I think today is more of a rest day and hoping Atlanta can put 4 up which maybe asking a little much.

I played 3

Atlanta +136
Texas +109 (Yes Cruz Playing for Seattle) Holland has comeback and said I want a spot on this rotation and the King playing on another loser. Texas division winner it very well can happen. Can't remember the last time they lost two in a row.
Colorado +150

Good Luck


Mets/Atlanta 50% chance of Rain

 

[Paulie The Vig]

Hope we win. Atlanta is 3-10 on Thursday. Miller is playing his 5th game in a row on 4 days rest. Mets or nothing at the moment

Make believe it's Friday you'll feel better.

 

[C-MAN]

S Miller has been regressing too

 

[Paulie The Vig]

S Miller has been regressing too

No question it's a shot and it's more a bet agaist a team with the Mets traveling to Atlanta after sweeping Washington against a team coming home that has a 56-84 record but a winning record at home 33-32 The Mets on the other hand are 78-61 with a losing record on the road 33-37 Now if the Mets play they way they did against Wash Atl doesn't have a chance but I like this spot for Atlanta.

Good Luck:shake:

 

[Canes1]

Wright, Murphy and D'Arnaud not in the lineup

 

[Gyno]

Man I might bet Atlanta lol

 

[Canes1]

Man I might bet Atlanta lol

no Robles, clippard, familia in the pen either.

 

[nbafan88]

Yanks game postponed. DH tomorrow

 

[tuck321]

Got caught by friends. Only bets down on Cards and Cubs RL Did cash Colorado

 

[tuck321]

Yanks game postponed. DH tomorrow

obviously helps Toronto a lot

 

[baycreek]

I like the over in Cincy. Why does it seem they are begging Mets money? Real parlay feels better with Clev better ump

 

[tuck321]

Was leaning Cleveland. Much better day of week and Cleveland has now won 9 first games of series in a row as well as hating Detroit

 

[nbafan88]

obviously helps Toronto a lot

correction... doubleheader is saturday

 

[jimbof20]

Hey guys... Almost embarrassed asking this after 20 years of sports betting ... But I can count on one hand the amount of parlays I've played in my life .... Obviously the Cubs game isnt happening .... So is this game a wash regardless of what happens in the second game ??? Or does it just turn into a lose lose situation .... Unfortunately I think I know the answer but I'm just hoping I'm wrong

 

[jimbof20]

In my mind I'm thinking it should turn into a single play?? But I just can't remember exactly

 

[tuck321]

Letting Toronto play off a day off is usually suicide. Re the Cards play. I made a bad play. Reds are not good but they are playing hard. There is a reason the Cards were 2-5 last 7 plus Garcia is much better on 5. A game to learn from.

 

[C-MAN]

Jim - u r correct. Turns into a single game play. Glad I parlayed with Clev and Pats!

 

[jimbof20]

Jim - u r correct. Turns into a single game play. Glad I parlayed with Clev and Pats!

I parlayed w Tribe( as they desperately tried to give it away) and also had pats on seperate ticket... Very disappointing push there ... 99% of time I'll buy the hook too... Of course not yesterday