Thursday Rays floundering Discussion

GWarner27

Meatballin' in Celtics Stadium
Locked in from the open:
BOS o9

Interests from the open:
hou o8.5
min +107: porter
mil +161: iassogna
mia +205/o7: Marquez
phi +102: eddings
 
Guesses:
NYM -105/8u20
PIT -145/7.5u20
WAS -205/8u20
DET -160/7.5u20
MIN -105/8.5u20
TB -160/8.5
BOS -160/9.5
HOU +125/9o25
ATL -145/8

updated leans:
hou o9
min +112: porter
mia +200
MIA o7.5: Marquez
phi +114: eddings
 
Milwaukee is 1-11 on Thursday. Believe this is the worst single Days result in baseball.
 
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Early lean to Houston. Thinking is that the Days have become less important but playing at night is still key.
Lyles is off 2 wins and lost to Seattle earlier 12-5. Probable play against Milwaukee due to the 1-11 stat.
After 6 innings Houston was down 1 and then played a poor relief pitcher last 3 innings clearly looking at this game.
Houston in their last 7 series has won the first game 5 times failing twice with Texas
 
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Gerrit Cole on 6 plus
[TABLE="class: sortable stats_table"]
<colgroup><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col><col></colgroup><thead>[TR]
[TH="class: tooltip sort_default_asc, align: center"]I[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip sort_default_asc, align: left"]Split[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]W[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]L[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip hide_non_quals, align: center"]<nobr>W-L%</nobr>[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip sort_default_asc hide_non_quals, align: center"]ERA[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]G[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]GS[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]GF[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]CG[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]SHO[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]SV[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]IP[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]H[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]R[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]ER[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]HR[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]BB[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]IBB[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]SO[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]HBP[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]BK[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]WP[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]BF[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip sort_default_asc hide_non_quals, align: center"]WHIP[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip hide_non_quals, align: center"]SO/9[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip hide_non_quals, align: center"]SO/BB[/TH]
[/TR]
</thead><tbody>[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]4 Days,GS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"].286[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.83[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]42.1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]39[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]18[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]18[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]34[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]169[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.134[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.78[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]5 Days,GS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"].000[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]44[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.548[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4.50[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]6+ Days,GS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.000[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.84[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]25.1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]22[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]102[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.105[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5.0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.33[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]

This will be the 4th time Gallardo faces Pitt this year
 
Major under ump in Pit. Locked under 7.5 plus 5 cents. The last 6 Houston openers all went over. For me day like this are very hard.
 
MLB Baseball Picks and Betting Trends for Wednesday, August 28, 2013
National League
PHILADELPHIA at NY METS, 1:10 PM ET
MARTIN: PHILADELPHIA is 33-18 UNDER in August games
TORRES: NY METS are 27-38 SU in home games
MIAMI at WASHINGTON, 7:05 PM ET
KOEHLER: MIAMI is 2-14 SU off a one run loss versus a division rival
GONZALEZ: 23-10 TSR after a win

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MILWAUKEE at PITTSBURGH, 7:05 PM ET - MLB
GALLARDO: MILWAUKEE is 13-35 SU as a road underdog of +125 to +175
COLE: PITTSBURGH is 43-23 SU in home game

American League
OAKLAND at DETROIT, 1:05 PM ET - MLB
COLON: OAKLAND is 5-0 SU as a road underdog of +150 to +200
SCHERZER: DETROIT is 13-16 SU against AL West opponents

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LA ANGELS at TAMPA BAY, 1:10 PM ET
VARGAS: LA ANGELS are 27-44 SU after a loss
ODORIZZI: TAMPA BAY is 37-22 SU when the money line is -100 to -150
KANSAS CITY at MINNESOTA, 1:10 PM ET
CHEN: KANSAS CITY is 26-19 SU in day games
DEDUNO: MINNESOTA is 17-30 SU when the money line is +125 to -125

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BALTIMORE at BOSTON, 7:05 PM ET - MLB
TILLMAN: 8-1 TSR as an underdog of +125 to +175
LESTER: 8-13 TSR as a home favorite of -150 to -200
SEATTLE at HOUSTON, 8:10 PM ET
RAMIREZ: SEATTLE is 20-9 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10
LYLES: 10-1 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10

Interleague
CLEVELAND at ATLANTA, 7:10 PM ET - MLB
JIMENEZ: 16-33 TSR after 2 or more consecutive losses
MEDLEN: ATLANTA is 33-14 SU after a one run win
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
 
BOS o9 reasoning:
-Last night I lost this same play, but was pretty close. Tim McClelland is behind the plate and he's my favorite over guy. Bud Norris is a lucky guy, but Tillman will give up his and Lester is wild, which isn't a good mix with TMac. Weather is warm here in New York and I expect the fog to burn off as the weather here will be the same at gametime. Both lineups are great and this is the rubber match of the series so I expect everyone to be in the lineup.


MIL reasoning:
-Cole has great stuff, but so does Gallardo and Yovani has had great success against the Pirates in his career. Yes, it was against very different lineups, but I think his consistency shows that he's not very easy to figure out and I know when he's good he's filthy. The Pirates are in the middle of the division race and Milwaukee isn't playing for anything, but the Bucs lineup isn't good enough to be where they are. If Gallardo can get a lead and hold onto it, I doubt PIT can get back into it. Henderson has been good in the closer's role and the price is high enough to take a shot.
 
gw...long time sox fan...balt will scratch tonight...need win badly...lester pitching very well of late and tillman not bad either....papi slumping and could be low scoring....good luck....like mil also
 
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