Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers
Handicapper Analysis
There is good value with the underdog in this game.
Baltimore is starting Kyle Gibson today, who has a terrible track record in Detroit's venue: his career ERA is 5.64 in this venue.
While he did just do well against the Tigers, that start took place in Baltimore.
It is also generally difficult to thrive against the same lineup twice in a row.
On the other side, Joey Wentz starts for Detroit.
Baltimore ranks below-average against his pitches from lefties.
Plus, the Tigers have their top relievers fresh.
So, this is a good time to back the Tigers for a full-game play.
Best Bet: Tigers ML at +126 with FanDuel
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox
Handicapper Analysis
The total feels too low for this game.
White Sox starter Dylan Cease will suffer the most.
He throws a slider, fastball, and curveball, primarily.
But the Rays rank first in slugging .556 against these pitches from righties.
When they knock him out of the game, they get to face one of the worst bullpens, as measured by ERA.
On the other side, there's no chance that the White Sox get shut out in a third straight game.
They won't need to do too much for the "over" to hit.
But Rays' starter Shane McClanahan did yield a poor FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) in his last start, which took place against the White Sox.
Best Bet: Over 7 at -122 with FanDuel
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox
Handicapper Analysis
Chicago is mired in a slump, showing terrible team rhythm.
Currently, the White Sox have lost seven in a row.
They lost their last three games by three or more runs, and they lost their last two games by a combined score of 15-0.
Dylan Cease is not the guy to turn things around for them.
He is 0-1 with a 4.61 ERA in three career starts in Tampa Bay, where he'll face a Rays team that hits his pitches from righties massively better than Chicago's lineup hits Tampa Bay starter Shane McClanahan's pitches from lefties.
Plus, in terms of ERA, the Rays have a huge bullpen advantage.
Best Bet: Rays -1.5 at +118 with FanDuel
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
Handicapper Analysis
Washed-up Royals' starter Zack Greinke is struggling.
He's yielded an ERA of over 5.00 in each of his last three starts.
Part of the problem is his tendency to give up home runs, of which he has allowed five during this three-start rut.
Minnesota's Target Field is not the place for him to turn things around.
In his career, he is 1-7 with a 5.30 ERA in the Twins' venue.
Meanwhile, the outlook is positive for Twins' starter Tyler Mahle and is fastball-slider-split finger combo.
Kansas City ranks 26thin slugging against his pitches from righties.
Best Bet: Twins -1.5 at +104 with FanDuel
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers
Handicapper Analysis
Yankees' starter Gerrit Cole can't just keep shutting out opponents.
Today's the day his positive streak ends.
Texas will have him falling back down to Earth because it matches up well against his pitches.
Cole relies on a fastball-slider-curveball-change-up combo, and Texas ranks fourth in slugging against these pitches from righties.
Look out, for example, for Marcus Semien, who slugs .514 against him.
Robbie Grossman and Adolis Garcia slug .700 or higher when facing him.
On the other side, Texas benefits from starting a lefty.
The Yanks rank dead-last in slugging .309 against lefties.
Best Bet: Rangers +1.5 at -130 with FanDuel
Handicapper Analysis
There is good value with the underdog in this game.
Baltimore is starting Kyle Gibson today, who has a terrible track record in Detroit's venue: his career ERA is 5.64 in this venue.
While he did just do well against the Tigers, that start took place in Baltimore.
It is also generally difficult to thrive against the same lineup twice in a row.
On the other side, Joey Wentz starts for Detroit.
Baltimore ranks below-average against his pitches from lefties.
Plus, the Tigers have their top relievers fresh.
So, this is a good time to back the Tigers for a full-game play.
Best Bet: Tigers ML at +126 with FanDuel
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox
Handicapper Analysis
The total feels too low for this game.
White Sox starter Dylan Cease will suffer the most.
He throws a slider, fastball, and curveball, primarily.
But the Rays rank first in slugging .556 against these pitches from righties.
When they knock him out of the game, they get to face one of the worst bullpens, as measured by ERA.
On the other side, there's no chance that the White Sox get shut out in a third straight game.
They won't need to do too much for the "over" to hit.
But Rays' starter Shane McClanahan did yield a poor FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) in his last start, which took place against the White Sox.
Best Bet: Over 7 at -122 with FanDuel
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox
Handicapper Analysis
Chicago is mired in a slump, showing terrible team rhythm.
Currently, the White Sox have lost seven in a row.
They lost their last three games by three or more runs, and they lost their last two games by a combined score of 15-0.
Dylan Cease is not the guy to turn things around for them.
He is 0-1 with a 4.61 ERA in three career starts in Tampa Bay, where he'll face a Rays team that hits his pitches from righties massively better than Chicago's lineup hits Tampa Bay starter Shane McClanahan's pitches from lefties.
Plus, in terms of ERA, the Rays have a huge bullpen advantage.
Best Bet: Rays -1.5 at +118 with FanDuel
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
Handicapper Analysis
Washed-up Royals' starter Zack Greinke is struggling.
He's yielded an ERA of over 5.00 in each of his last three starts.
Part of the problem is his tendency to give up home runs, of which he has allowed five during this three-start rut.
Minnesota's Target Field is not the place for him to turn things around.
In his career, he is 1-7 with a 5.30 ERA in the Twins' venue.
Meanwhile, the outlook is positive for Twins' starter Tyler Mahle and is fastball-slider-split finger combo.
Kansas City ranks 26thin slugging against his pitches from righties.
Best Bet: Twins -1.5 at +104 with FanDuel
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers
Handicapper Analysis
Yankees' starter Gerrit Cole can't just keep shutting out opponents.
Today's the day his positive streak ends.
Texas will have him falling back down to Earth because it matches up well against his pitches.
Cole relies on a fastball-slider-curveball-change-up combo, and Texas ranks fourth in slugging against these pitches from righties.
Look out, for example, for Marcus Semien, who slugs .514 against him.
Robbie Grossman and Adolis Garcia slug .700 or higher when facing him.
On the other side, Texas benefits from starting a lefty.
The Yanks rank dead-last in slugging .309 against lefties.
Best Bet: Rangers +1.5 at -130 with FanDuel
