Thursday Night Football (Week Six)...

emkee

emkee

The Truth Is Out There
12-10 (+1.51)

1-2 last week.

Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers

The play...

Broncos ML -167 (3 to win 1.8)

:popcorn:
 
Line back in April was 3, ELO has 6.5, my line is 4.

Better team wins straight-up on Thursday 73.3% of the time.

Bolts are dinged-up and poorly coached.
 
I`m releasing a site that i always look at. Hell real longtime and use as a tool.

You always talk ELO.

Well this guy picks SU winners at like 65% + longtime ....Well 65% + means some ATS WINNERS are to be found.

Cant believe im doing this but fuck it .

footyforecaster.com....Its having a down year so far but its early still.

Use it as a great tool.

But I is still like the Super Chargers , fuck footyforecaster !
 
Rich_D said:
Shit all comes together for SD this week ....

Paxton / Semen deer on the road.
Click to expand...

Bolts don't win games like this, Rich.

They may cover with some help from the league but winning is a stretch.

Know the pulse of this team well. McCoy needs to go.

This SD team is 1-4 vs some of the worst defenses in the league.

Only deer in this game is McCoy trying to save his job.

Best thing for the Bolts is getting his ass canned.
 
Rich you didn't exactly post a website with porn links to a family member. Interesting site but nothing to be kept a secret. Thanks for sharing.

Does he adjust his plays throughout the season? Seems crazy to make a season's worth of picks including playoffs right off the get-go.
 
Rich_D said:
I`m releasing a site that i always look at. Hell real longtime and use as a tool.

You always talk ELO.

Well this guy picks SU winners at like 65% + longtime ....Well 65% + means some ATS WINNERS are to be found.

Cant believe im doing this but fuck it .

footyforecaster.com....Its having a down year so far but its early still.

Use it as a great tool.

But I is still like the Super Chargers , fuck footyforecaster !
Click to expand...

Heard about this Aussie dude before, most folks here could pick SU winners at 65%+ maybe even better.
 
[TABLE="class: tableOdds"]
<tbody id="oddsBody" style="outline: 0px; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">[TR="class: row-group"]
[TD="class: team"]NFL - 10/13/2016[/TD]
[TD="class: pct, align: center"][/TD]
[TD="class: pct, align: center"][/TD]
[TD="class: pct, align: center"][/TD]
[TD="class: sportsbook, align: right"]
[/TD]
[TD="class: sportsbook, align: right"]
[/TD]
[TD="class: sportsbook, align: right"]
[/TD]
[TD="class: sportsbook, align: right"]
[/TD]
[TD="class: sportsbook, align: right"]
[/TD]
[TD="class: sportsbook, align: right"]
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-odd"]
[TD="class: team"]10/13

8:25 PM


103 DEN-T Siemian
104 SD-P Rivers

[/TD]
[TD="class: pct, align: center"]70%
30%
[/TD]
[TD="class: pct, align: center"]54%
46%
[/TD]
[TD="class: pct, align: center"]66%
34%
[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
Thanks fellas.

Broncos 15-0 SU (14-1 ATS) in division road games since Elway started running the joint.

Broncos 6-1 SU and ATS on Thursday since 2011.

Broncos 17-3 SU (14-5-1 ATS) on the road vs sub .500 teams since Elway started running the joint.

Away faves are 40-14 SU (32-21-1 ATS) on Thursday since 2000.

Away faves are 17-4 SU (13-7-1 ATS) on Thursday off a SU home fave loss.

Defending SB champs are 25-11 SU the following game after suffering their first loss of the season.

Chargers 11-25 SU as a division home dog.

Chargers 2-13 SU in their last 15 division games.
 
Bolts banged-up offense looked good vs some bad defenses to start the season,

Different animal tonight. The lack of offensive talent shows up vs one of the leagues best defensive units.

Kubiack out is meh as long as Wade Phillips is there, only dude I care about on their coaching staff.
 
Craig Wrolstad the crew chief tonight, since 2011 under this ref...

Broncos 6-0 SU

Chargers 1-4 SU

Has officiated one game when they played each other back in 2014,

Broncos won 22-10 in San Diego.
 
of course you are on the right side baby, broncos defending champs play vs a team that did not make the playoffs last season. they want to bounce back off a loss and own chargers winning last 5. On thursday teams in this spot are 1-10 SU:

not (day = Sunday and snf = 0) and H and day = Thursday and week != 16 and total > 44 and Sum(playoffs@team and season)[team and season -1] = 0 and Sum(playoffs@o:team and season)[o:team and season -1] > 0 and playoffs = 0
SU:1-10-0 (-14.36, 9.1%)
ATS:2-9-0 (-10.86, 18.2%) avg line: 3.5

<tbody>
[TH="bgcolor: F8F8F8, colspan: 4"]Teaser Records[/TH]

[TD="bgcolor: F8F8F8"] +6: 4-6-1 (40.0%) [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: F8F8F8"] -6: 1-10-0 (9.1%) [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: F8F8F8"] +10: 5-6-0 (45.5%) [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: F8F8F8"] -10: 1-10-0 (9.1%) [/TD]

</tbody>
 
I feel like it's all going to be on Simien tonight... Chargers a top defensive rush unit.

Donks have the weapons but how is Simien off an injury on the road? Before leaving the game it was 7-7 vs. the lowly Bucs and he was sacked 3 times on 7 passes.
 
Inspekdah said:
I feel like it's all going to be on Simien tonight... Chargers a top defensive rush unit.

Donks have the weapons but how is Simien off an injury on the road? Before leaving the game it was 7-7 vs. the lowly Bucs and he was sacked 3 times on 7 passes.
Click to expand...

Don't expect too many passes tonight, expect a pound and run game from Denver with a few big plays from Simein. Bucs are great up front FYI at rushing the passer..... this is San Diego that has a ton of power on offense, however their defense stays on the bus.
 
Can get the Doncs ML at -145 in some shops.

Welcome the subtle steam on San Diego.

Bolts have zero home field advantage, stadium is an abyss.

At the end of the day McCoy will find a way to make the Chargers lose.

The better team on a short week is virtually an auto-play and it's documented.
 
Trusted the numbers and that Denver defense, both failed at least early on.

12 penalties for 100+ yards didn't help though, refs had their magnifying glasses all over the Broncos calling every nickle-dimer.

Bolts still a bad team.

Denver still won the stats and outgained them in TY's even as poor as the Doncs looked.

Is what it is. Hopefully have a better Sunday.
 
F for Fixed. It was too good to be true how all trends and stats supported Donks, while the odds on them kept rising. No wonder Kubiak had a headache.:hang:
 
Primetime games are the worst for theatrics, there is a hidden agenda in some not all.

Second game this season I've seen a team get flagged on virtually every potential opportunity to gather the momentum.

First game was the Eagles at Detroit last week.

Bolts though were due some reversion having lost 10 straight division games as were the Broncos having won 15 straight.

That being said, I'm thinking the Doncs may not make the playoffs. They are a better team than San Diego but not by much.
 
Emkee hope you are well. I saw above the comments about McCoy above. Do you really think he is that bad of a coach? I know they have lost a lot of games over the last couple years by a small margin, and one could definitely make the case that losing a lot of close games is indicative of coaching mistakes, but I always thought he was a pretty good coach. Would be interested in your thoughts on this Thanks!
 
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