Thursday Night Football (Week Seven)...

[emkee]

14-12 (-1.83)

Got one right on Monday.

Getting this one early.

Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers

The play...

Seahawks -5.5 -115 (2.3 to win 2)

Incoherent, random thoughts and reasoning in a bit.

opcorn:

 

[emkee]

Giving the Hags one last chance in a season defining game for them granted it's only Week 7.

Hags just lost back to back against two of the better teams in the league (Cincy and Carolina, combined record 11-0).

They were ahead in both games meaning they have the ability/talent but are lacking focus at key moments.

This current Hags team may not be good enough to beat the leagues better teams (for now anyway).

But I think they have what it takes to handle the league's lesser teams.

Teams of championship pedigree generally respond when folks are getting down on them.

Hags have the pedigree but are just lacking the belief/execution at the end of games.

Now they get a bad Niners team on a high after they squeaked out a home win vs the shitty Ravens after previously dropping 4-straight.

'Circle the Wagons' game for the Hags, imo. Niners should get trucked.

Also taking the better QB/coaching combo on a short week is never a bad thing.

Only thing going for the Niners is that overrated revenge thingy.

Elo has this spread at 3, Power Index has it at 7. Big difference but lean on the PI rankings a little more. Elo more of a SU predictor.

Could be dead wrong but I'll play it how I see it.

 

[emkee]

Bobby Wagner should also be back. Was K.J. Wright playing in Wagner's spot that blew the coverage on the game-winning play by Carolina.

 

[Play2win]

GL emkee

 

[BJPLAYER]

sound reasoning em....good luck

 

[emkee]

Thanks fellas.

Krap has been on the end of some sound beatings after throwing for 300+ yards.

Krap also 1-5 SU (0-6 ATS) against Seattle, has thrown three touchdowns and nine interceptions and has a 54.1 passer rating.

Loving the card this week, just need to translate it into a few wins.

Upcoming SNF game is set up well for a decent sized play.

 

[emkee]

Krap 0-4 SU and ATS last 4 on 5 or less days rest.

Cheaty Petey 5-0 ATS on Thursday.

'Losing' away faves are 7-2 SU and ATS in division games vs an opponent off a win since 2009.

Home dogs off a home dog win are 1-6 SU and ATS in division games since 2012.

 

[B.A.R.]

:shake:

 

[The Farm]

:cheers3:

 

[emkee]

BAR, Farm...

:shake::cheers3:

Away faves with an equal record to their opponent are 9-2 SU and ATS in division games since 2012.

(5-1 SU and ATS if the opponent is off a home dog win).

Trends somewhat of a dying thing in the NFL but throwing them out there anyway as some of them carry a little merit.

 

[austinhous]

Check out how teams have responded the L3 seasons after a SU loss to Carolina.

 

[emkee]

Check out how teams have responded the L3 seasons after a SU loss to Carolina.

Not bad.

:shake:

 

[Metallica]

You've better line than I do, GL tonight Emkee :cheers3:

 

[emkee]

You've better line than I do, GL tonight Emkee :cheers3:

Thanks.

7 the key number here.

Since 1989...

206 games have ended with exactly a 5-point margin.

356 games with a 6-point margin.

579 games with a 7-point margin.

 

[Gorgolon Lives]

Nice number u got. This thing might hit 6.5 by tip time

 

[emkee]

Nice number u got. This thing might hit 6.5 by tip time

Been at 6.5 past 2 days, even hit 7 overnight.

 

[Fondybadger]

Nice move getting 'hawks early in the week, hope it pays off for us. GL to you this week!

 

[D.D.]

Nice job.

 

[emkee]

Thanks man.

Couple of decent plays brewing for Sunday. Waiting for the spreads to settle down along with the injury feedback from the Friday practices.

 

[KJ]

Thanks man

:shake:

nice call with the hags em

 

[eggman]

Loved this one too. Nice hit and great trends you shared. Thanks and congrats. Looking forward to your thoughts on the card.

 

[nbafan88]

Nice job. Time to have a big week!