Thursday Night Football (Week Nine)...

[emkee]

13-17 (-7.76)

Grinding, still...

New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers

The play...

Saints ML -143 (2.86 to win 2)

Playing the number.

Harder to get up on a short week off a gut wrenching last minute loss than a 2nd half blowout.

Uncertainty on the Panthers' O-line a big deal.

:shake:

 

[twinkie13]

:shake:

 

[Tito]

bol tonight emkee

 

[emkee]

Twink, Tito...

:shake:

 

[emkee]

Trust the Saints run game more than the Panthers run game.

Aside from all the negative road numbers for New Orleans, the Saints are top 5 in the NFL in yards per play, yards per rush, third-down conversion percentage and points per game. Panthers' defense is bottom 5 in all those areas.

Carolina just drafted an offensive lineman off the Rams practice squad. That O-line is a wreck and it showed last week vs a declining defense whereas I believe the Nawlins' D is on the up.

In general, teams tend to come out flat after playing the current Superbowl champs.

Will pretty much always go ML on a -3 or less spread given the 'bad history' of non-covers on these particular lines, do think the Saints get over that road hump somewhat convincingly tonight though.

 

[The Farm]

Thinking the same on a few points. On the saints as well. Last week I believe will show a little in tonights game. Panthers keep it within distance first half. Seeing saints pull away second half. BOL

 

[brada]

Saints O for on the road doesn't scare you at all?

 

[emkee]

Not vs the Panthers pathetic defense.

Road issues for the Saints has to be totally mental, short week may assist as they don't have much time to dwell on it.

 

[Sticky_Socks]

Was hoping the line bumped up to 3.5.

The saints simply don't play as well outside as they do inside. That on a short week.

Panthers +3 (Even)


​How does everyone feel about the over/under of 49.5?

 

[austinhous]

em, can I post my opposing plays in your thread, too? just kidding, I haven't placed a bet yet

 

[emkee]

Sure why not, lol.

Some nice SDQL's favoring the Saints if you like that stuff, Austin.

 

[emkee]

Brees 23-9 SU on primetime as a Saint (not including playoffs).

 

[austinhous]

I just keep thinking, what would the line be if Rodgers didn't run that one hamstring play and ended up kicking the shit out of the Saints at home. I really think that was the direction that was going. But then again, Rodgers is only like 4-10 ATS as the underdog on an artificial surface anyway. And then the Saints at home on primetime. I just think this line tonight would be different if the Saints had lost on Sunday.

I did dig up something for the Chargers last week - to fade the Broncos on a Thursday after playing their previous game on #SNF. And now you get the same situation today with the Saints. Brees has thrown a pick in every game at Carolina since 2007, and the Saints win/cover the spread on the road about 30% of the time when Brees throws a pick.

 

[emkee]

When comparing last Sunday night to tonight...

Rodgers > $cam

Packers > Panthers

Carolina would be in a more favorable spot had they not laid it all out against the Hags in a last minute loss, that's how I see it anyway.

 

[Lexington 125]

Easy cash. Nice play

 

[B.A.R.]

Was hoping the line bumped up to 3.5.

The saints simply don't play as well outside as they do inside. That on a short week.

Panthers +3 (Even)


​How does everyone feel about the over/under of 49.5?

Gotta be Slap or one of his friends...makes sense with username...

 

[B.A.R.]

Great play em, btw:cheers3:

 

[Sticky_Socks]

Nice win.

my bad about the post. just joined.

I don't know Slap, I work with Zeke if any of you know him.

 

[B.A.R.]

Nice win.

my bad about the post. just joined.

I don't know Slap, I work with Zeke if any of you know him.

That makes even more sense,

Great username.

Welcome.

 

[TreyDawg]

Nice hit and good start to the week Em. :cheers3: