Thursday: Nets/Clippers and Mavs/Bulls

B.A.R.

CTG Partner
Staff member
Not the kind of night we were looking for Wednesday. It should not have been unexpected. It was due in all sincerity. Also, too many plays. Five is too many for the style I have tried to develop more this season. Especially with no reduced juice book right now its not worth it. Oh well.

Lets look back on the losses and see where we went wrong. The Detroit/Charlotte game needed a huge 4th to go over and it did. Charlotte was in bonus at 10:01 mark and the refs calls were much different from the first 3 qtrs. That was worth prolly 8-10 points. So, with the late FT's it was going to be close anyway. In Utah, the last 6 minutes of the first 3 qtrs killed us. Each time, the first half of each qtr was rather tame. Then, in each case, an explosion occured to end the quarter. I guess the biggest dissapoitment is the Memphis scoring on the road. Denver is no gem on defense and they shut this team down. Oh well. The Rockets just gut games out. I really thought that the Spurs would have more of a chip on their shoulder. Then again, this is the Spurs, a very low-emotion team. I looked at this one hard and it was just way off. Oh well.

Thursday night....

LA Clippers/New Jersey Nets Under 190 -110 2 units

I really hate totals. I pretty much despise unders after tonight(lol). I had to bite on this. I like to look for perfect matches in a total. This is a perfect match. The Clippers and Nets will play an ugly halfcourt game. I will be shcked if this hits 180 in all honesty. People will look at LA's last few games and see points totalled of 115,112 and 115 and think they are a machine. Wrong. Look at the opposition. The Bucks, Warriors and Grizzlies. Last year these teams played to a 177 total in January. Look for much the same.

The linesmakers know as much. The numbers for this game don't add up to a 190 total.

96.6-97.6
96.9-97.1

My guess is that this got pounded down from 193 or 194 when it opened in Veags before we had access to it. It will be interesting tomorrow when I can get my hands on it.

BOL on Thursday night. Lets right the ship. One bad day doesn't mar a shitload of good ones. e take the good with the bad..

:cheers:
 
Also, both teams will be coming off of a strong offensive performances in their previous game. 115 from the Clips on Tuesday and NJ is posting some serious #'s right now. Always good to play an UNDER when both teams lit it up in their last outings. I'll be on this myself. GL!
 
not sure if im gonna play full game yet. sometimes the clips forget about defense in the first half and have a high scoring half. then at halftime, Dunleavy rips them a new asshole and they come out fired up defensively in the second. might wait to see if it is a high scoring 1st, then play the under in the 2nd half. either way, gl bar
 
Well man...you prolly know them best outta all of us....thats something I wrote down to keep in mind. I just see an avaearge tempo from the start.

Thanks for the local information
 
Jersey in the B2B situation should have no choice (w/out Krstic & RJ) to settle for a slower tempo game. Heres the stat for Unders...

NJY is U/O 6-0 at an average of 181.1 points off a game that totaled 210+ points this season (U/O 6-2 at an average of 181.6 points in the same spot for all of last season).

I'm 4-0 backing Jersey Unders this season, and guess what spot I've played them in.
 
Well I WAS with you guys on that SAS but when I saw how they were playing in the first half I hedged on the ROCKS for the 2nd. Someone said "revenge blah blah" - so much for revenge. TMac was obviously not having any back problems tonight :)

GWS looked weak too but strong enough to carry a ML HALF so I took that. I think it's a tough call with the LAC and NETS. I agree with Mr. million dollar painting to let it go except the obvious - the MAVS will win tom night. So I bought few pts. Looking forward to the LAL playing the GAYCATS on Fri. May even see the game live.
 
awesome stats BC..glad your on it...still thinking about laying 1 to 1.5 more units on it
 
BAR - I've still to do my full homework on this one. Also, it'll be sometime before I see the number I'm going to get. But its first off the rank for consideration tomorrow.
 
Oh you totals guys always amaze me. I find it a strange proposition most of the time. But tonight I wish I had seen the GRIZZ v UTAH. Totally a ripe picking. I know alotta you don't believe GRIZZ OVER PRODUCE on the road. But so hard to generalize like that. Tonight they did I guess. GL TO YOU O/U GUYS.
 
Tiny card today, I'm still looking at it. BAR your pick makes sense I just don't know whether to pull the trigger yet, still thinking. I'm leaning towards both favs to cover tonight.
 
Wel, I did guess wrong on the openeing total. It actually opened 188. Amazing. Thats okay though. Last nights Nets game went perfect to set this up.

Looking real hard at the other game right now...back later
 
I like the under also but hesitant to pull the trigger after being moosed in the behind 4 times in the past 3 weeks when the game went into o/t.
 
I can understand Randy. I really do hate totals. Hopefully get this one in and not play any for awhile..lol

Hey, I had the streak last year..like 4 or 5 games WENT to OT to get me an over..lol
 
BAR,

It's Thursday night and the public is hammering both Overs. That means one or both Unders are a guaranteed hit, hopefully you chose the right one. I might take a chance on both of them myself.
 
Adding:

Chicago Bulls +5 -110 2 units

Really feel strong about it. I would suggest a ML play as well. Those always burn me so I will take points as well
 
I don't understand. Is this a revenge play?

Dallas has been on a tear home and away. Chicago is 3-2 last five covering none of the last 3 games...against Atlanta, Indy, and Utah. Dallas covered their last 4.

Dallas is 13-5-1 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
Dallas is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Chicago
Dallas is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing Chicago
Dallas is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Chicago

I'm hesitant to go against you, BAR...but with this line plummeting and ALL the money being on Chicago at matchbook......I really am wondering what the hell I'm missing.

Dallas -4 (-101) is looking awfully damned tempting to me...

help?
 
Bulls are a completely different team at home. Check the San Antonio game. I believe they can win this game so the points are of value IMO.
 
Also the fact that EVERYBODY at Covers is on the Bulls and I don't get it....the Mavs don't take the 4th quarter off (like the other elite team in the WC)....

That said being the sheep that I am....gimme Bulls +5
 
LOL guys...

Dallas has been good to me this week. Tonight the home team controls the tempo and uses their size advantage to get offensive rebounds and shorten the game. Bulls are starting to get more consistent and have some real nice home wins. I say starting to get more consistent being by March they will be ready to play consistent .667 ball.

Dallas is as square as it gets today fellas. It was the other night too but they sat in the Fla sun for a few days while ORL was on a B2B. That was reasoning there. Here, I say for this situation(just in my opinion siutation) that line should be closer to pk-2. Line is inflated and I'll gladly take a rough and tumble team catching 5 against a Dallas team nearing end of road trip.
 
Nets are excellent dogs...but off 2 heartbreakers...Clips can punish them inside if they would like..I see a 6-10 point Clip win..NJ would need a backdoor imo

Solid half by Da Bulls
 
I disagree bro. I think the Bulls had a good first quarter. The Mavs had a shitass 1st Q, and a usual 2ndQ.

The mavs are currently at 28.9% shooting through no fault of the bulls. Too many wide open shots were just not falling.

I think the mavs blow them away in the 2nd.

......LOL..maybe it's just my HOPE showing...
 
I disagree as well.

This game was 42-28 at one point. As NBA goes...every team makes a run. Extra FT's helped the Mavs tighten it a bit. I feel damn good about the +5 starting this half.

Ben Gordon and Deng were only ones who played well in first half for Bulls. Kirk, Noch, Ben and Duhon will all play a bit better in 2nd half.

Its been a lot of road games for Mavs. This is 8 outta 11 on road. You may see it take a small toll in 2nd half.
 
hope we pull it out BAR...Dallie always seems to kick it in gear when they want

Bulls a jumper team who dont get to line much bothers me cause they cant stop runs if they go cold

GL to us
 
Very good point Ret. They need to be somewhat aggressive and run off turns and will be fine. It will be a close game..hopefully we can keep lead most of it.
 
I didn't think the Mavs could be shooting WORSE now...at 25% for the game...

Howard 1-15...

insane.

yeah......................love my new avatar.

:beer:
 
LUCKILY GOT bULLS GAME IN...READ nETS cLIPPERS TOTALLY THE WRONG WAY

A terrible play...wow..cannot believe the scoring in that first qtr

looks like 1-1 and down juice
 
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