Thursday 12/26/13 NBA discussion thread

hugh613

hugh613

Pretty much a regular
divol's really been slacking as of late... : )

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[TD="colspan: 7"]NBA Basketball Basketball - Thu 12/26
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[TR="class: linesColumns"]
[TD="colspan: 4"]Game[/TD]
[TD]Handicap[/TD]
[TD]Money Line[/TD]
[TD]Total Points[/TD]
[/TR]
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[TD="class: linesDate"]Thu 12/26[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]501[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Atlanta Hawks[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"]
[/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]-3 -102[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]-139[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Over 204.5 -105[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD]07:05 PM
[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]502[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Cleveland Cavaliers[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"]
[/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]+3 -108[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]+126[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Under 204.5 -105[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate"]Thu 12/26[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]503[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Memphis Grizzlies[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"]
[/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]+7.5 -101[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]+292[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Over 197 -105[/TD]
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[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD]08:00 PM
[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]504[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Houston Rockets[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"]
[/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]-7.5 -109[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]-333[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Under 197 -105[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate"]Thu 12/26[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]505[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]San Antonio Spurs[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"]
[/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]-3 -101[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]-140[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Over 208 -108[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD]08:35 PM
[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]506[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Dallas Mavericks[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"]
[/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]+3 -109[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]+127[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Under 208 -102[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate"]Thu 12/26[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]507[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Los Angeles Clippers[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"]
[/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]+4.5 -109[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]+161[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Over 212.5 -105[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD]10:35 PM
[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold"]508[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam"]Portland Trail Blazers [/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore"]
[/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread"]-4.5 -101[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine"]-179[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals"]Under 212.5 -105[/TD]
[/TR]
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NBA information

Hot teams
-- Hawks won three of last four games, covered seven of last ten.
-- Spurs won six of their last seven road games.
-- Clippers won five of their last six games. Portland won six of last seven games, failed to cover last four.

Cold Teams
-- Cleveland lost four of its last five games; underdogs are 10-3 against spread in their home games.
-- Rockets are 0-6 vs spread in game following last six wins. Memphis is 3-5 vs spread as a road underdog.
-- Dallas covered twice in its last seven games as a home favorite.

Series records
-- Hawks won ten of last twelve games with Cleveland.
-- Grizzlies lost eight of last nine visits to Houston.
-- Spurs won five in row, nine of last eleven against Dallas.
-- Clippers won five of last six games with Portland.

Totals
-- Six of last eight Atlanta-Cleveland games went over.
-- Under is 7-2 in Grizzlies' last nine visits to Houston.
-- Five of Spurs' last six games went over the total.
-- Last six Portland games went over the total.
​

http://armadillosports.com/cbasketball.html
 
Atlanta Hawks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers

  • Hawks are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland.
  • Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
  • Hawks are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
  • Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Houston Rockets

  • Favorite is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
  • Home team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
  • Under is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings in Houston.
  • Grizzlies are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Houston.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks

  • Spurs are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Dallas.
  • Spurs are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Portland Trail Blazers

  • Over is 9-2-2 in the last 13 meetings in Portland.
  • Favorite is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
  • Home team is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
  • Clippers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Portland.
 
I blame the Pinnacle for releasing the lines so late :)

I think that Clips can win in Portland or at least keep it close.

They are playing B2B, but if Mo is out for the Blazers, their second unit in big trouble.
 
Just throwing it out there...

Spurs off a straight up loss this season: 6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS, 108.2 PF, 98.0 PA.
Spurs last ten against the Mavericks: 8-2 SU, 8-2 ATS, 103.9 PF, 92.0 PA.
Spurs last five at American Airlines: 3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS, 104.0 PF, 98.2 PA.
 
Just started looking. Might be hallucinating but very tempted by Memphis ML. Not close to a bet yet.
 
  • Wesley ‏@memphisgrizz15<small class="time" style="font-size: 12px; color: rgb(187, 187, 187); position: relative; float: right; margin-top: 1px;">3h</small>
    @thefishnation will we be seeing Seth Curry on the court tonight??

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  • Rob Fischer ‏@thefishnation<small class="time" style="font-size: 12px; color: rgb(187, 187, 187); position: relative; float: right; margin-top: 1px;">2h</small>
    @memphisgrizz15 he'll be available. I guess it depends on circumstances. Sorry for an indirect answer, but I don't know

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Any numbers on how teams fare coming off the Christmas games? I'd be pretty pissed if I had to play on Christmas day then fly somewhere for a game at another arena the next night.
 
Some strong trends and numbers to support the under in Houston but I can't get over the fact that Rockets games have been a full 10 points higher this year when they are on 0 rest
 
Gorgolon Lives said:
Any numbers on how teams fare coming off the Christmas games? I'd be pretty pissed if I had to play on Christmas day then fly somewhere for a game at another arena the next night.
Click to expand...

Hmm you might be onto something there. Teams playing an away game on Dec 26 with 0 rest over the last 5 years...

3-10 ATS
4-9 o/u
 
Hopefully at least 1 exception.
Lean Dallas not locked up so far
Lean Over not locked so far
Played Dallas plus .5 first quarter
Played Dallas over 1 quarter 52.5
 
Spurs after a loss Played
At Denver who lost their 3rd of 3 games of the season
Beat Orlando on the road Orlando playing 4 in 6 after 2 ATS wins
Beat Toronto who was 1-4 last 5 games before this . Spurs on 2 days rest Toronto off an upset win.
Played at Suns and should have lost but rather poor Suns management.
Played at home vs Toronto who was playing worst 3 in 4 and 4 and 6
Missed their home win vs Atlanta where they did not come close.
This is not impressive except for the Suns.
 
Hulu said:
Hmm you might be onto something there. Teams playing an away game on Dec 26 with 0 rest over the last 5 years...

3-10 ATS
4-9 o/u
Click to expand...

going to play devils advocate FWIW.
- more than a majority of the teams this season play at a higher pace than they did in the last 5 years.
- how many games were competitive yesterday, tough to argue more than 1, how many over the last 5.
just my .02
 
After a league review of the Clippers-Warriors game, we have come to the conclusion that Blake Griffin should not have been ejected from the game. A common foul should have been called on Griffin for initially attempting to dislodge the Warriors' Andrew Bogut and a technical foul should have been assessed to Bogut for grabbing Griffin by the shirt and wrestling with him."
 
Went with the cavs. Team has been getting better as a unit according to mike brown and they have waiters back to give them more scoring. The hawks are much worse on the road. Should be a high scoring game but I'm staying off the total.
 
nbafan88 said:
Went with the cavs. Team has been getting better as a unit according to mike brown and they have waiters back to give them more scoring. The hawks are much worse on the road. Should be a high scoring game but I'm staying off the total.
Click to expand...

he is changing his starting lineup tonight, waiters has been out for 3 games, how is this unit getting better (not questioning the pick, just the statement and it would be funny if he said they were getting worse)
Cleveland will alter its lineup after absorbing back-to-back blowout losses, but coach Mike Brownwouldn’t reveal who is being benched or promoted.
 
First time in years I felt old. When I saw Shawn 1-9 4 points in over 27 minutes. It had to have killed him
 
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