Thursday 03/13/14 NBA discussion thread

[divol]

[TABLE="class: linesTbl, width: 934"]
<tbody style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; outline: 0px;">[TR="class: linesHeader"]
[TD="colspan: 8"][h=4]NBA BASKETBALL BASKETBALL - THU 3/13[/h][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesColumns"]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, colspan: 4, align: center"]GAME[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]HANDICAP[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]MONEY LINE[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]TOTAL POINTS[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]MORE[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Thu 3/13[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]691[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Houston Rockets[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-2.5 1.917[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 194 1.926[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]04:00 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]692[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Chicago Bulls[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+2.5 1.990[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 194 1.980[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Thu 3/13[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]693[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Milwaukee Bucks [/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+9.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Over 209.5 1.909[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]04:35 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]694[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Atlanta Hawks[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-9.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Under 209.5 2.000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Thu 3/13[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]695[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Los Angeles Lakers[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+16 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 228 1.885[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]06:35 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]696[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Oklahoma City Thunder[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-16 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 228 2.020[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]

 

[divol]

Really early line release...

Will update the post when the total will be released.

Like the Thunder - should demolish the Lakers I think.

 

[divol]

Noy sure what's to expect from the game in Chicago. Both teams are off losses. Bulls off a huge home embarrassment, Rockets off a loss to Thunder, that while was on the road, still, a game they really wanted to win.

First thought is Rockets TT Under. Bulls should really put in an effort on defense.

What are your thoughts?

 

[BetCrimes1984]

Chicago is 12-2 ATS off their last 14 SU losses (both failures = road games).

Chicago is "only" 6-5 to Under @home vs. the West, as opposed to 15-5 to Under there vs. the East. Their consistent defensive efforts on home boards have come against Conf. opponents.

 

[tuck321]

Those damn Lakers. How DARE they win a game at home vs OKC. Hanging is too good for them.

<tbody>
[TD="width: 10%"]DATE[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]HOME[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]PTS[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]AWAY[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]PTS[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]SU RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]H LINE[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]ATS RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]O/U[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]O/U RESULT[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]03/09/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]LAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]114[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]OKC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]110[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]12½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]229½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]02/13/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]LAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]103[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]OKC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]107[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]11[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]205[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]12/13/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]OKC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]122[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]LAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]97[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-12½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]211[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]03/05/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]OKC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]122[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]LAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]105[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-9½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]215[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]01/27/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]LAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]105[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]OKC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]96[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]3½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]208[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]01/11/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]LAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]101[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]OKC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]116[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]6½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]217[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]P[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]12/07/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]OKC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]114[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]LAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]108[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-7½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]211½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]05/21/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]OKC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]106[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]LAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]90[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-7½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]190½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]05/19/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]LAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]100[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]OKC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]103[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]188½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]05/18/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]LAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]99[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]OKC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]96[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-3[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]P[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]189[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

</tbody>

They actually won a game at home by 4 points
:angry:

 

[tuck321]

Really hoping for a close game or another 30 point blowout like that class act OKC had against Philadelphia. And if the Lakers win today---

<tbody>
[TD="width: 100%"]OKLAHOMA CITY IS 3-2 SU AND 2-3 ATS IN THESE GAMES.[/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 10%"]DATE[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]HOME[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]PTS[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]AWAY[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]PTS[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]SU RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]H LINE[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]ATS RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]O/U[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]O/U RESULT[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]02/20/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]OKC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]81[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]MIA[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]103[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-3[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]206½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]01/02/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]OKC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]93[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]BKN[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]95[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-12[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]202½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]12/19/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]OKC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]107[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]95[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-13½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]191½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]11/21/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]OKC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]105[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]LAC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]91[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-5½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]212[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]04/04/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]OKC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]100[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]SAN[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]88[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-7½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]201[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]U
[/TD]

</tbody>

Maybe OKC can get them to sign some autographs

 

[tuck321]

Fascinating how the Lakers this season are 5-1 ATS on 3 days rest and have done well with these refs.
Lakers last 5 on the road

<tbody>
[TD="width: 10%"]DATE[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]HOME[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]PTS[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]AWAY[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]PTS[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]SU RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]H LINE[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]ATS RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]O/U[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]O/U RESULT[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]03/07/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]DEN[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]134[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]LAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]126[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-10[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]229½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]03/03/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]POR[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]106[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]LAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]107[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-12[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]224[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]02/26/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]MEM[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]108[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]LAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]103[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-11½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]198½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]02/25/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]IND[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]118[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]LAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]98[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-13½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]206[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]02/07/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]PHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]98[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]LAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]112[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-4[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]220[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

</tbody>

 

[edou1x]

so it's thursday where dogs ands unders usually go well. Like Bulls +2,5:revenge factor + bounce back mode after loss vs spurs + BC's trends supporting it.
Like Under 228 LA-OKC: Over last 3 meetings, this total has never been broken . Yep it can goes over but this total is clearly inflated as books want to prevent public from jumping and betting the "over" on a very public team (LA)that is averaging lots of points recently.
LA O/U is just 16-14 vs 0,500 and above teams as compared to 20-12 vs 0,500 and under teams.

tough night last night for me where you know you should end up +100$ but finished with -100$ due to bad line shopping. took northeastern+5, game pushed but closing line was 5,5 and took under 210,5 in CLE-PHO, final score and closing line:211. sometimes, bankroll management, good line shoppin are as important as overthinking/capping a game imo.

 

[edou1x]

and Double digit dogs dogs have been impressive ATS over the last few days. regression to the mean could be really around the corner with OKC-16, but will never ever lay this many points. in fact never laid more than10-12 pts on a fav in NBA. But yeah on this game it's OKC-16 or nothing for me.

 

[CASH]

Hawks

thanks BC

Teams off 5+ game road trips


1st Game Back - Eastern teams

Overall ..............................<wbr>........... 71-96-1


As the Fav ..............................<wbr>...... 44-72-1
As the Dog ..............................<wbr>..... 27-24

vs Conference teams ..................... 52-63
vs non-Conference teams ............... 19-33-1


vs Conf teams as a Fav ..............................<wbr>... 34-47
vs Conf teams as a Dog ..............................<wbr>.. 18-16

vs non-Conf teams as a Fav .......................... 10-25-1
vs non-Conf teams as a Dog ........................... 9-8

 

[nbafan88]

bucks +8.5 for me as well... sprinkle some on the ml

 

[Lexington 125]

Leaned bucks and under, but no plays there....maybe 2ndh

 

[edou1x]

SO far so good: took under MIL-ATL et CHI +3,5 on matchbook, just waiting LA-OKC going under 228 the total for a 3-0 sweep. Payback time for me
Always looking at dogs and unders first on thursdays. Nobody wants to get embarrased in front of National TV, SO focus on D, D an D leading to less points score. makes lot of sense.

 

[edou1x]

Just hope lakers lose by more than 20 pts today and will probably take them tomorrow @+17 pts vs spurs

 

[nbafan88]

OKC TT o120.5