Right but what you arent factoring in is longevity and team chemistry.
The first couple years you may very well be correct. But look at George Mason. They were all older guys who meshed together and played as a team. Durant and Oden werent your average freshmen by any means. We may go 10 years before seeing a NCAA freshmen comparable to either of these guys much less two guys in one year.
And Texas has never been dominant and last year was no different.
Now had Durant stayed 3 years Texas would have a championship to show for it. Likely the same with Ohio State but they wouldnt have been able to play for the title cause they got busted cheating/recruiting correct?
I think the rule is stupid. In one year your telling me these kids are going to mature and learn what not to do? Bottomline: The average person given an enormous amount of money with little to no true hard work to earn it will likely waste said money and find trouble.
I think we'll see plenty of freshman who are at or around the level of Greg Oden and Kevin Durant. Those guys left HS in June 2006 and just 4 yrs earlier, in June 2002, two guys left HS named Lebron James and Carmelo Anthony. Their graduating class, thanks to them, was called one of the best HS graduating classes in history in terms of pure basketball talent.
Lebron of course went straight to the NBA, and Carmelo led his class right to the Final 4 in 2003 and cut down the nets for the championship that season.
There is tons and tons of HS talent again this season, and you will see this fall that the top schools they go to will have major advantages over the teams they play.
To your point about Texas not being a power, that is changing ever so slightly under Rick Barnes. They did make the Final 4 in 2003 and had a pretty nice team the past few yrs even before Durant go there.
Ohio State went from a disappointing 2006 tourney to a Final Game appearance thanks mainly to Oden and Mike Conley, Jr, the two superstar freshman.
Super-talented freshmen will typically beat avg, but seasoned juniors and seniors. George Mason was a once-in-a-lifetime, perhaps twice in a lifetime run by a double-digit seed. They are the exception, not the norm.
The great John Wooden once said: "Give me young, untested talent over experience any day of the week".
