College football season is finally here.
Class is back in session.
The Battle with the Books begins anew.
“Once more unto the breach.”
“Cry havoc and let slip the dogs of war.”
“Sound trumpets and let our bloody colours wave. And either victory or else a grave!”
“I’ll fight till from my bones my flesh be hacked,
or my betting account monies be emptied!”
Only one of those lines is not from Bill S.
Guess which.
Anyway...
Today I'm on Miss -41.
Yes, it's a high number. Really high. I usually lean towards Unders because that's where I have the most success, but when I have a high percentage on a play I don't care what the number is. And this situational spot for week 1 only games is 16-8, 67%, over the last 4 years, and 4-2 this year. (Note - I am NOT saying my record is 4-2, I'm saying the record of the play is 4-2. It's like if I said, "The NY Liberty are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games." I'm not saying I'm 8-2, I'm merely pointing out a stat that supports my play on a game.)
The first couple weeks of any sport is difficult to handicap because you don’t really have a lot of stats to work with. And this is especially true of college football in these days of the transfer portal. You can give some weight to coaching tendencies (as I do in this game) but not so much for the teams themselves because of high player turnover.
So where did I get this play from? It's just one of about a dozen I've developed over the years and track and chart each season.
And yeah, it's a lot of points.
But if you're going to lay a lot of points, Lane's the man you want to do it with.
He knows why college teams put an FCS sacrificial lamb at the start of their schedule.
And he has no problem slaughtering them.
Last year's lamb? Mercer. Score? 73-7
Two years ago? Central Arkansas. Score? 59-3
Three years ago? Austin Peay. Score? 54-17
Next up - Furman.
USC Un 7' (+100) Regular Season Wins
(And F me for the long write-up. In between when I started writing this and finished editing and posting, the lines has gone up 1'!)
The play is Miss -42'.
Class is back in session.
The Battle with the Books begins anew.
“Once more unto the breach.”
“Cry havoc and let slip the dogs of war.”
“Sound trumpets and let our bloody colours wave. And either victory or else a grave!”
“I’ll fight till from my bones my flesh be hacked,
or my betting account monies be emptied!”
Only one of those lines is not from Bill S.
Guess which.
Anyway...
Today I'm on Miss -41.
Yes, it's a high number. Really high. I usually lean towards Unders because that's where I have the most success, but when I have a high percentage on a play I don't care what the number is. And this situational spot for week 1 only games is 16-8, 67%, over the last 4 years, and 4-2 this year. (Note - I am NOT saying my record is 4-2, I'm saying the record of the play is 4-2. It's like if I said, "The NY Liberty are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games." I'm not saying I'm 8-2, I'm merely pointing out a stat that supports my play on a game.)
The first couple weeks of any sport is difficult to handicap because you don’t really have a lot of stats to work with. And this is especially true of college football in these days of the transfer portal. You can give some weight to coaching tendencies (as I do in this game) but not so much for the teams themselves because of high player turnover.
So where did I get this play from? It's just one of about a dozen I've developed over the years and track and chart each season.
And yeah, it's a lot of points.
But if you're going to lay a lot of points, Lane's the man you want to do it with.
He knows why college teams put an FCS sacrificial lamb at the start of their schedule.
And he has no problem slaughtering them.
Last year's lamb? Mercer. Score? 73-7
Two years ago? Central Arkansas. Score? 59-3
Three years ago? Austin Peay. Score? 54-17
Next up - Furman.
USC Un 7' (+100) Regular Season Wins
(And F me for the long write-up. In between when I started writing this and finished editing and posting, the lines has gone up 1'!)
The play is Miss -42'.
