Thanksgiving Day Discussion - Presented by Bet Anything Sports

B.A.R.

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Bet on these matchups today!


Thanksgiving Week means early prep for all of us!

A big week of football, hoops, and pucks lies ahead. Let's get inside these games a bit!

Sides, props, totals -- discuss all of those in here!

*Do note, the NFL has moved back the Detroit start this year to 1:00 pm Eastern. The usual kick for Turkey Day is 12:30, but that was changed this season.


Green Bay @ Detroit

Lions -3 and 48.5

Big game in the division as this is a 3 headed race. The Packers won the first game in Lambeau. Huge game for potential tiebreakers. Detroit is playing 2nd of 3 straight at home.


Kansas City @ Dallas

Chiefs -4.5 and 52.5

The reigning AFC Champs are outside the playoff picture right now and will be coming off a huge game versus the Colts. The Cowboys defense is not good at all but the offense is elite. Total contrast in styles here, and both teams badly need a win.


Cincinnati @ Baltimore

Ravens -7.5 and 53.5

Looks like Joey B might be back ahead of this game. Could the Bengals make a run like last season?? The Ravens are rebounding nicely since the disastrous start, and Lamar is back at the helm. Chase and Burrow are likely making their first connection since Jamarr is suspended against the Pats. Two losses in 5 days is the season for the Bungles. Big game!



So, we have 3 good matchups. Yes, the Bengals are subpar this year, but we may have their full offense on display. Add in that this is a divisional game, and we'll take it. A LOT at stake this Thursday, and I am not just talking about how much pie I have (over/under 2.5 pieces).

DISCUSS!!
 
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That Detroit OL vs the Green Bay DL is a major mismatch in the passing department.

Detroit will have to run the ball well, and often. Add in short passes. Quick decisions.

Very interesting game, and the BIGGEST game of the year in the Norris.
 
Hope Burrow doesn't come back this season , only have 3 wins right now , what if he is reinjured/gets another major injury and misses next season ....I've seen nothing out of the Bengals defense that suggests they can stop the Ravens. But catching over a TD is nice ...

That Lions o line is a mess ..Packers or nothing for me ..

The refs don't seem to be helping the Queefs like in seasons past.. Small lean on Cows
 
Hope Burrow doesn't come back this season , only have 3 wins right now , what if he is reinjured/gets another major injury and misses next season ....I've seen nothing out of the Bengals defense that suggests they can stop the Ravens. But catching over a TD is nice ...

That Lions o line is a mess ..Packers or nothing for me ..

The refs don't seem to be helping the Queefs like in seasons past.. Small lean on Cows
Sounds like we agree. Though there WAS one play yesterday that comes to mind. A roughing the passer call on Indy. VERY weak call and I think it was called because it was Homes, otherwise it would not have been called. I could be wrong,but the hit wasn't late and looked like an average tackle to me.
 
I also agree you don't need Burrow back. Flacco is passable and the Cinn D played well vs Pats. They can keep this close vs Balt.
 
Sounds like we agree. Though there WAS one play yesterday that comes to mind. A roughing the passer call on Indy. VERY weak call and I think it was called because it was Homes, otherwise it would not have been called. I could be wrong,but the hit wasn't late and looked like an average tackle to me.


Yeah that was utter bs , most of the roughing the QB penalties ..Can't imagine if these softies could have made 2 games in the 80's early 90's with the pass rushers hitting them consistently after the ball was released ...

Now they basically want the defender to gently lay down the QB without falling on them ...
 
I also agree you don't need Burrow back. Flacco is passable and the Cinn D played well vs Pats. They can keep this close vs Balt.


True that ..Ravens have almost zero explosiveness , Bengals D did a very good job vs the Pats for the most part.

Those 7.5 points are tempting , I'd be more inclined to take it with Flacco out there ..Imagine if Burrow plays it drops to other side of 7 ( maybe 6 ?) ...

If Burrow plays I'll likely take Balty minus less than 7
 
Mentioned before. For whatever reason, the Cincy defense has been better on the road. Still a bad defense but giving up much fewer PPG, especially if you take out the Minnesota game where there were multiple defensive scores
 
True that ..Ravens have almost zero explosiveness , Bengals D did a very good job vs the Pats for the most part.

Those 7.5 points are tempting , I'd be more inclined to take it with Flacco out there ..Imagine if Burrow plays it drops to other side of 7 ( maybe 6 ?) ...

If Burrow plays I'll likely take Balty minus less than 7
Why you like Flacco > Burrow?
 
Why you like Flacco > Burrow?


First game back, think he'll be rusty. Obviously Burrow is much better when 100% ...Also think getting the Ravens at a reduced line might have. Value ...

Please keep in mind my bets on teams this season have been 💩...So fading me is probably a profitable plan 🤣
 
Turkey Day Trends
L20 years: Favorites are 51-9 SU, 40-20 ATS
Since '04: Road Favorites are 25-1 SU, 20-6 ATS
Last time Lions & Cowboys were 2-0 SU and ATS was 30 yrs ago
Since '90: Favorites of 7+ are 30-5 SU, 25-10 ATS
Since '06: Favorites are 15-3 SU, 14-4 ATS in the night game
 
Turkey Day Trends
L20 years: Favorites are 51-9 SU, 40-20 ATS
Since '04: Road Favorites are 25-1 SU, 20-6 ATS
Last time Lions & Cowboys were 2-0 SU and ATS was 30 yrs ago
Since '90: Favorites of 7+ are 30-5 SU, 25-10 ATS
Since '06: Favorites are 15-3 SU, 14-4 ATS in the night game
That middle stat going back to the 1990s is nuts!
 
Chief / Cowboys likely to get a massive, all-time rating. Giants / Cowboys in '22 drew 42.1MM viewers as the single biggest regular season draw in the shield's history.

Tomorrow's game projected to erase that, perhaps significantly.
Dallas always get the massive time slot boost on Turkey Day, everyone West of Eastern time is still preparing food during the first game. Now you throw in the Swifties on top of that and it as well as both teams clawing for the postseason now and it won't only be a ratings bonanza but an actual meaningful game with a bazillion fantasy matchups on the line.
 
View attachment 104845

Bet on these matchups today!


Thanksgiving Week means early prep for all of us!

A big week of football, hoops, and pucks lies ahead. Let's get inside these games a bit!

Sides, props, totals -- discuss all of those in here!

*Do note, the NFL has moved back the Detroit start this year to 1:00 pm Eastern. The usual kick for Turkey Day is 12:30, but that was changed this season.


Green Bay @ Detroit

Lions -3 and 48.5

Big game in the division as this is a 3 headed race. The Packers won the first game in Lambeau. Huge game for potential tiebreakers. Detroit is playing 2nd of 3 straight at home.


Kansas City @ Dallas

Chiefs -4.5 and 52.5

The reigning AFC Champs are outside the playoff picture right now and will be coming off a huge game versus the Colts. The Cowboys defense is not good at all but the offense is elite. Total contrast in styles here, and both teams badly need a win.


Cincinnati @ Baltimore

Ravens -7.5 and 53.5

Looks like Joey B might be back ahead of this game. Could the Bengals make a run like last season?? The Ravens are rebounding nicely since the disastrous start, and Lamar is back at the helm. Chase and Burrow are likely making their first connection since Jamarr is suspended against the Pats. Two losses in 5 days is the season for the Bungles. Big game!



So, we have 3 good matchups. Yes, the Bengals are subpar this year, but we may have their full offense on display. Add in that this is a divisional game, and we'll take it. A LOT at stake this Thursday, and I am not just talking about how much pie I have (over/under 2.5 pieces).

DISCUSS!!
What’s the time frame for the pie ? I’ll take the over 2.5
 
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