Texas Tech/Nevada

counselor

counselor

President of Fondy Fanclub
Topic: As we all know, Vegaskyle has been a big Mike Leech fan for many, many years. Traditionally, I have cashed early and often with TT in the first 3-4 games each season since he's come aboard.

However, I personally am a little shy about picking the TT side this time, and I'm not sure why.

Please discuss amongst yourselves.

Also, how high would the total have to get for you to say, "Whoa, turbo. Not so fast. Think I'll play the under."?
 
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I played TT already and I'd definitely play them up to 10 but they may be good up to 14. Personally, I think they roll.
 
Line is off because EWU hung with them a little. EWU is a solid FCS team (top 5) that runs mad scientist offense as well. TT committed 18 penalties as well.
 
EWU was a solid team. Their QB could easily play in the Big 12. We had 18 penalties for 160 + yards, 5 turnovers, but still won by 25 points. We typically have 1 out of conference game per year where we struggle and I could easily see it being this one. We don't fare well on the road in the early games and Leach blames it on lack of focus (penalties, missed assignments etc). Although Tech's D has seen the pistol offense before (SMU 2007), I think the Nevada QB will be a playmaker. The line looks too easy and is one of the top 3 public plays this week. Although I am laying off, a halftime bet would be guaranteed $$ if we are losing after the 2nd quarter.
 
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bjorks said:
Should this be an automatic fade play on you counselor?
Click to expand...

Hate you
icon8.gif
 
remember when Trev was a no-show at ESPN one day because they didn't put him on gameday...he was on the ESPN2 pregame show which is basically the reject show...
 
Trev is a little bitch that loves to play drama queen... Serious ego problem with that ass clown.

Back to the discussion at hand, I think the first few posts covered it. EWU was not blown out like many thought, so you are getting a discounted line on Tx Tech here. Red Raiders should roll...
 
Perhaps the line is discounted because their top two OL will probably sit this game?
 
<TABLE width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=TSN5 align=middle width="10%">Rylan Reed</TD><TD class=TSN5 align=middle width="10%">T</TD><TD class=TSN5 align=middle width="10%">09/03/2008</TD><TD class=TSN5 align=middle width="50%">is questionable for Saturday's game against Nevada</TD><TD class=TSN5 align=middle width="50%">Questionable</TD><TD class=TSN5 align=middle width="30%">ankle/foot</TD></TR><TR><TD class=TSN5 align=middle width="10%">Louis Vasquez</TD><TD class=TSN5 align=middle width="10%">G</TD><TD class=TSN5 align=middle width="10%">09/03/2008</TD><TD class=TSN5 align=middle width="50%">is questionable for Saturday's game against Nevada</TD><TD class=TSN5 align=middle width="50%">Questionable</TD><TD class=TSN5 align=middle width="30%">left ankle</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 
I agree, BC, but the line doesn't reflect that opinion which you share with approximately 3/4 of the rest of the betting public. Honestly, this line is like 4 points off where I figured it'd be. Scurred.

I still like the hova and will probably play it (so B.A.R., bjorks and all you other smartasses can go ahead and kiss my white ass and bet the under)
 
Could be, horses (good find BTW), but is Nevada's strength their defense, especially their interior line? That is, does a team that is a "legitimate" (or so I understand) contender for the Big 12 NOT have talent to step into those spots? It's not as though they have to be dominate run-blockers.
 
Counselor, very true...be much more of an issue if they were playing, say Texas or even Okie Lite. However, reading the recap of the Nevada/Grambling game, the 'Pack had a lot fo TFL's. Realize it's only Grambling. Totally understand that these potential losses may not affect a team like Tech as much, just think it would be delinquent not to know about this injury situation prior to placing a wager on this game. Take it for what it's worth...:shake:
 
This isn't a Wake Baylor line folks. There's more trepidation.

Texas Tech ran for 59 yards per game last year. Nevada, they can't stop the run or pass, but maybe they can get some 3rd down stops and key situations vs. a pass offense. Will be like vs. Hawaii last year, who had 51 rush yards, 379 through the air squeaked out a 2 point win Nevada -2 turnovers. BTW going up against Boise, Fresno, Hawaii, Nevada sees many of prolific offenses and passing attacks.

Defensively TT gave up 177 per game rushing, held Northwestern state to 15 yards, despite skew consistently sucked. Nevada averages 214. 1st and last game of year Nevada was inept, and I'm discounting it out because it was vs. Nebraska on the road and vs. that tricky solid New Mexico defense.

This game is in Nevada, which means a ton to me. It's gonna be either a dogfight or a solid TT win. Nevada can play with these high scoring teams, and TT's defense is only solid vs. the pass. I will say Nevada did not play anyone that could play a lick of defense last year, although Hawaii wasn't bad and they ran for over 200 on them.

----I tend to think this will be a real tight dogfight and then I'll jump on Missouri to crush the snot out of Nevada the following weak.
 
My problem is no matter how much I want to play TT I can't get Kaepernick's Boise St. performance last year out of my mind...
 
I'm not gonna lie, I'm more comfortable with the OVER 67 than I am on the total. I think Nevada and the pistol has a shot to get 24-30 points. It's not out of the question for TT to hang 40+ here either.

I'm leaning heavily towards the OVER as my play here.

Tell me you're on the UNDER counselor!
 
bjorks said:
I'm not gonna lie, I'm more comfortable with the OVER 67 than I am on the total. I think Nevada and the pistol has a shot to get 24-30 points. It's not out of the question for TT to hang 40+ here either.

I'm leaning heavily towards the OVER as my play here.

Tell me you're on the UNDER counselor!
Click to expand...


That total keeps looking at me as well. I just hate playing both side and total but def. think thats the corrct play as far as the total goes.
 
I actually hope this game is close (3-10 points) so that our line next week vs. smu wont be inflated. Anything 28 or less, I will empty the account on TTU.
 
i cant find the youtube video on rylan reed, but this summer he broke the school bench press record by benching 650 or something absurd like that.
 
I usually do pretty well when for some reason I dream about seeing the results for games... like in my dream I see the box scores from Yahoo. I have these dreams alot... I'm a degenerate.

In the 2nd Q it was T.T 1, Nevada 0.

ML T.T. for the safe bet.
 
ynnhoj316 said:
I actually hope this game is close (3-10 points) so that our line next week vs. smu wont be inflated. Anything 28 or less, I will empty the account on TTU.
Click to expand...
I'm fairly confident in saying that, barring significant injury, the line vs SMU will open at > 30 points.
 
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