Tennis Plays (2/19/07 - 2/25/07)

happy928

Pretty much a regular
Vligen over Jarkko m&m (1 unit to win 1.2 unit)...

Jarkko serves like a girl....Vligen serves like a man. Pretty simple, no?
Love Vligen to take out Jarrko in 1st rnd.....:drink:
 
Hrbaty over Mayer (1.5 unit to win 1 unit)....

Hrby's high toss serves won't be bothered on INDOOR service (that should've read SURFACE)...Mayer plays with power, but Hrbaty's a good counter puncher....I like Hrby in this spot.
 
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Lee over Benneteau....1.2 unit to win 1 unit.....

I was at Legg Mason last yr when Lee kicked Benne's azz in straight sets...Lee's too consitent for Benne...Lee mixes up his shots pretty well and Benne's gonna choke on some big pts at the end to cost him this match.
 
Happy asked me to post these two for him.

Gooch over Lu for 1 unit

and

Malisse x DavyDonkey x Melzer to win 1 unit
 
don't ask me why, i'm playing this, but i'm hitting Youz for 1 unit...

youz is a GREAT Underdawg and he usually plays better when he's an underdawg....Freakin Headcase vs even a bigger headcase (Berdych)...so, I'll go with a VALUE headcase in this case....

k, it's late...i ain't making any sense.....

Roger Out!
 
don't ask me why, i'm playing this, but i'm hitting Youz for 1 unit...

youz is a GREAT Underdawg and he usually plays better when he's an underdawg....Freakin Headcase vs even a bigger headcase (Berdych)...so, I'll go with a VALUE headcase in this case....

k, it's late...i ain't making any sense.....

Roger Out!

Gotta go to work now, but Youz just won the 1st set 6-4 ....He is dominating the baseline ralley.....let see what happens in 2nd set......:drink:
 
Hrbaty over Mayer (1.5 unit to win 1 unit)....

Hrby's high toss serves won't be bothered on INDOOR service (that should've read SURFACE)...Mayer plays with power, but Hrbaty's a good counter puncher....I like Hrby in this spot.

hrby had plenty of chances, but he's clearly in not form....i will not bet on his matches til he proves me otherwise....:down:

LOSER!!!!!
 
don't ask me why, i'm playing this, but i'm hitting Youz for 1 unit...

youz is a GREAT Underdawg and he usually plays better when he's an underdawg....Freakin Headcase vs even a bigger headcase (Berdych)...so, I'll go with a VALUE headcase in this case....

k, it's late...i ain't making any sense.....

Roger Out!

I watched this match and Youz was absolutely dominating baseline ralleys in the 1st set....Good job Russian!

WINNER!!! :smiley_acbe::smiley_acbe::smiley_acbe:
 
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="95%"><tbody><tr><td class="report-title">Parlay/Teaser Wager Report: Unsettled </td> <td class="headline" align="right" valign="bottom"> Generated: Tue Feb 20, 18:42 EST 2007 </td> </tr> <tr> <td class="report-table" colspan="2"> <table border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr><td colspan="3"> <hr color="#999999" size="1" width="100%"> </td></tr><tr class="report-table-row"> <td>02/20/2007 11:56:53 </td><td>3 Play Parlay: Wagered $xxxx to win $xxxx </td><td>Unsettled </td></tr><tr class="report-table-row"> <td>T 1 2/20 </td><td>IVAN LJUBICIC VS THIEMO DE BAKKER (ROTTERDAM) </td><td>IVAN LJUBICIC (-2000) (W) </td></tr><tr class="report-table-row"> <td>T 21 2/20 </td><td>KRISTIAN PLESS VS IGOR KUNITSYN (REGIONS MORGAN KEEGAN) </td><td>KRISTIAN PLESS (-150) </td></tr><tr class="report-table-row"> <td>T 33 2/20 </td><td>GUILLERMO CANAS VS JUAN-PABLO GUZMAN (COPA TELMEX) </td><td>GUILLERMO CANAS (-1000) (W) </td></tr><tr><td colspan="3"> <hr color="#999999" size="1" width="100%"> </td></tr><tr class="report-table-row"> <td>02/20/2007 11:43:17 </td><td>3 Play Parlay: Wagered $xxxx to win $xxxx </td><td>Unsettled </td></tr><tr class="report-table-row"> <td>T 11 2/20 </td><td>SIMONE BOLELLI VS TOMMY ROBREDO (ROTTERDAM) </td><td>TOMMY ROBREDO (-600) </td></tr><tr class="report-table-row"> <td>T 33 2/20 </td><td>GUILLERMO CANAS VS JUAN-PABLO GUZMAN (COPA TELMEX) </td><td>GUILLERMO CANAS (-1000) (W) </td></tr><tr class="report-table-row"> <td>T 37 2/20 </td><td>DAVID NALBANDIAN VS LUIS HORNA (COPA TELMEX) </td><td>DAVID NALBANDIAN (-250) </td></tr><tr><td colspan="3"> <hr color="#999999" size="1" width="100%"> </td></tr><tr class="report-table-row"> <td>02/20/2007 02:08:11 </td><td>2 Play Parlay: Wagered $xxxx to win $xxxx </td><td>Unsettled </td></tr><tr class="report-table-row"> <td>T 3 2/20 </td><td>DOMINIK HRBATY VS FLORIAN MAYER (ROTTERDAM) </td><td>DOMINIK HRBATY (-160) (L) </td></tr><tr class="report-table-row"> <td>T 11 2/20 </td><td>SIMONE BOLELLI VS TOMMY ROBREDO (ROTTERDAM) </td><td>TOMMY ROBREDO (-600)





Need Nalby now.....Thanks PLEX!!!!

</td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table>
 
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="95%"><tbody><tr><td class="report-title">Parlay/Teaser Wager Report: Unsettled </td> <td class="headline" align="right" valign="bottom"> Generated: Tue Feb 20, 18:42 EST 2007 </td> </tr> <tr> <td class="report-table" colspan="2"> <table border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr><td colspan="3"> <hr color="#999999" size="1" width="100%"> </td></tr><tr class="report-table-row"> <td>02/20/2007 11:56:53 </td><td>3 Play Parlay: Wagered $xxxx to win $xxxx </td><td>Unsettled </td></tr><tr class="report-table-row"> <td>T 1 2/20 </td><td>IVAN LJUBICIC VS THIEMO DE BAKKER (ROTTERDAM) </td><td>IVAN LJUBICIC (-2000) (W) </td></tr><tr class="report-table-row"> <td>T 21 2/20 </td><td>KRISTIAN PLESS VS IGOR KUNITSYN (REGIONS MORGAN KEEGAN) </td><td>KRISTIAN PLESS (-150) </td></tr><tr class="report-table-row"> <td>T 33 2/20 </td><td>GUILLERMO CANAS VS JUAN-PABLO GUZMAN (COPA TELMEX) </td><td>GUILLERMO CANAS (-1000) (W) </td></tr><tr><td colspan="3"> <hr color="#999999" size="1" width="100%"> </td></tr><tr class="report-table-row"> <td>02/20/2007 11:43:17 </td><td>3 Play Parlay: Wagered $xxxx to win $xxxx </td><td>Unsettled </td></tr><tr class="report-table-row"> <td>T 11 2/20 </td><td>SIMONE BOLELLI VS TOMMY ROBREDO (ROTTERDAM) </td><td>TOMMY ROBREDO (-600) </td></tr><tr class="report-table-row"> <td>T 33 2/20 </td><td>GUILLERMO CANAS VS JUAN-PABLO GUZMAN (COPA TELMEX) </td><td>GUILLERMO CANAS (-1000) (W) </td></tr><tr class="report-table-row"> <td>T 37 2/20 </td><td>DAVID NALBANDIAN VS LUIS HORNA (COPA TELMEX) </td><td>DAVID NALBANDIAN (-250) </td></tr><tr><td colspan="3"> <hr color="#999999" size="1" width="100%"> </td></tr><tr class="report-table-row"> <td>02/20/2007 02:08:11 </td><td>2 Play Parlay: Wagered $xxxx to win $xxxx </td><td>Unsettled </td></tr><tr class="report-table-row"> <td>T 3 2/20 </td><td>DOMINIK HRBATY VS FLORIAN MAYER (ROTTERDAM) </td><td>DOMINIK HRBATY (-160) (L) </td></tr><tr class="report-table-row"> <td>T 11 2/20 </td><td>SIMONE BOLELLI VS TOMMY ROBREDO (ROTTERDAM) </td><td>TOMMY ROBREDO (-600)





Need Nalby now.....Thanks PLEX!!!!

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If Hraty came thru today....I would've been up like 400 hundies.....UGH!
 
thats the problem with Hrbaty. He wins when you don't have alot on him and loses when you do.
 
k, here are THUR plays....

Vanshiethappening is 2-1 against Flo, even tho they were all on clay...i don't give a damn...he's familiar with flo's style, plus the mental edge will be there for this boy tomorrow.....he is +200 right now.....Van shiethappening is 8-3 for the yr........flo should've been taken out by freaking DOMMY......he had so many chances....

1 unit to win 2.....

Radek had a record of 6-1 on indoor surface last yr....he seems to be playing without any pain(s) and he hasn't lost a single match on indoor thus far.....he's -200 so, im gonna parlay his azz with Tommy Rob....

1.5 unit to win .95 unit (almost 1 unit)....oh well.....

Last one is.....

Del potro over fisherman....

Potro is an underdawg.....odd makers know there will be an upset, that's why the line is low on this match.....Potro almost took out GONZO at AUSSIE this yr....took him to 5 sets....

Last 2 matches fish lost to was to big hitters....Ivo and Roddy......
I'll take my chances with young Potro to do the job.

1 unit to win 1.5 unit.....

GL ladies....
 
sorry fellas.....got wasted both nights (thur and frid) and didn't get to post my plays here....LOL....

I backed youz over Djo today.....which won....

My next play is LJ over Davydenko......3.3 units to win 3 units......

I still give edge to LJ due to the surface....Davy is hell of a player,but LJ always finds a wayto get thru matches and this match has youz and LJ final written all over it.....

My biggest play of the week is on LJ over Davy....

Gl Ladies......
 
sorry fellas.....got wasted both nights (thur and frid) and didn't get to post my plays here....LOL....

I backed youz over Djo today.....which won....

My next play is LJ over Davydenko......3.3 units to win 3 units......

I still give edge to LJ due to the surface....Davy is hell of a player,but LJ always finds a wayto get thru matches and this match has youz and LJ final written all over it.....

My biggest play of the week is on LJ over Davy....

Gl Ladies......

Can I get a HELL YEA???

LJ wins.....4-6 7-6 7-6


Nice to be up before the Finals tomorrow......:drink::drink::drink:

WINNER!!!! :smiley_acbe::smiley_acbe::smiley_acbe:
 
Congrats on the Ljuby win. :cheers:

I thought for sure that Ivan blew it when he was serving for the match up 5-4 in the 3rd. He fought off a double break pt to have 3 match points of his own, but couldn't convert any of them. Fortunately, he played better in the tie-break.
 
Congrats on the Ljuby win. :cheers:

I thought for sure that Ivan blew it when he was serving for the match up 5-4 in the 3rd. He fought off a double break pt to have 3 match points of his own, but couldn't convert any of them. Fortunately, he played better in the tie-break.

yea, it's unreal how this LUBIEDICK always find a way to win on INDOOR surface....UNREAL....That's why I gave the edge to LJ....On HC or Clay....I would've taken Davy fo sho.... :drink:
 
Misha will take care of Ljubejob tomorrow in the final though ;)

LJ is 6-0 against Misha....:smiley_acbe:

<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tbody><tr><td colspan="10" class="fontTableHead"><table><tbody><tr><td class="fontTableHead"> Head to Head Matches Ivan Ljubicic leads series 6-0 </td> </tr> <tr> <td class="fontTableHead" height="2">
</td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td></tr> <tr><td class="font14b lightBlue">
</td><td class="font14b lightBlue">
</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" colspan="10" height="5">
</td></tr><tr><td class="font14b lightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td><td class="font14b lightBlue" nowrap="nowrap">Jan 29 2007</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap">Zagreb ATP (CRO)
Carpet, SF</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap">(1)Ljubicic(8,3.23) d
(4)Youzhny(22,2.96)</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="100%">2-6 6-3 7-5 </td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td></tr><tr><td class="font14b lightBlue">
</td><td class="font14b lightBlue">
</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" colspan="10" height="5">
</td></tr><tr><td class="font14b lightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td><td class="font14b lightBlue" nowrap="nowrap">Jan 1 2007</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap">Doha ATP (QAT)
Hard Court, QF</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap">(2)Ljubicic(5,3.39) d
(5)Youzhny(24,3.05)</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="100%">2-6 7-6(2) 7-6(3) </td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td></tr><tr><td class="font14b lightBlue">
</td><td class="font14b lightBlue">
</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" colspan="10" height="5">
</td></tr><tr><td class="font14b lightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td><td class="font14b lightBlue" nowrap="nowrap">Aug 14 2006</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap">Cincinnati TMS (USA)
Hard Court, R32</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap">(4)Ljubicic(3,3.67) d
Youzhny(44,2.38)</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="100%">6-4 7-6(5) </td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td></tr><tr><td class="font14b lightBlue">
</td><td class="font14b lightBlue">
</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" colspan="10" height="5">
</td></tr><tr><td class="font14b lightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td><td class="font14b lightBlue" nowrap="nowrap">Jan 30 2006</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap">Zagreb ATP (CRO)
Carpet, QF</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap">(1)Ljubicic(5,3.64) d
Youzhny(47,2.63)</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="100%">6-3 6-2 </td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td></tr><tr><td class="font14b lightBlue">
</td><td class="font14b lightBlue">
</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" colspan="10" height="5">
</td></tr><tr><td class="font14b lightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td><td class="font14b lightBlue" nowrap="nowrap">Sep 19 2005</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap">RUS vs CRO DC (CRO)
Carpet, SF</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap">Ljubicic(15,2.66) d
Youzhny(26,2.20)</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="100%">3-6 6-3 6-4 4-6 6-4 </td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td></tr><tr><td class="font14b lightBlue">
</td><td class="font14b lightBlue">
</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" colspan="10" height="5">
</td></tr><tr><td class="font14b lightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td><td class="font14b lightBlue" nowrap="nowrap">May 10 2004</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap">Hamburg TMS (GER)
Clay, QF</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap" width="5">
</td><td class="font14b verylightBlue" nowrap="nowrap">Ljubicic(40,2.19) d
Youzhny(44,1.98)</td></tr></tbody></table>
 
Ljuby's an indoor beast, but sooner than later, Youzhny is going to take him down.

I don't know who's going to win today, but I do know that Youzhny +150 offers a hell of a lot more value than Ljuby -170. Not that that means diddly as far as who's going to win, though.

Ljuby -170 just seems way too pricey. If I were booking, I'd have set Ljuby at like -140 vs Youzhny +120.
 
I use the concept of taking "value" when punting on tennis - i.e. exploit pricing variations from my expectations to what the market offers

No way Misha should be +155, as CCL said +120 is more accurate IMO.

Also LJ has lost his last two of 3 indoor finals he has contested - Bangkok last season against Blake and then his home tournament in Zagreb against Baghdatis this season.

Misha has been serving well enough this week to make this very competitive, regardless of the fact that he is Ljubicic's little bitch
 
Also, Tommy Haas took down Ljuby in straights in Davis Cup 2 weeks ago.....indoors.

Ljubicic is priced too high.....there is no question about it.

Best of luck.
 
Also, Tommy Haas took down Ljuby in straights in Davis Cup 2 weeks ago.....indoors.

Ljubicic is priced too high.....there is no question about it.

Best of luck.


okay but you can't equate Haas to Youzny. Tommy is playing out of this world right now and while Ljubicic is over priced you have to look at the H2H for that match.

LJ owns Misha and I think that will continue today. There is no real value and I'm not taking it.
 
It's post facto, and I don't have a crystal ball, but I do think Ivan L is tired and not fully fit.

He has won way too many sets at 7-6. It just seemed like the bubble was going to burst today.

I agree.....Youzhny isn't Haas, but Youzhny is on a good roll right here, and he caught a worn down tired Ivan today.
 
ok ladies.....last tennis play of the week is

Roddy over Haas to win 2 units.

Let's finish this motha focka off right.......:)
 
It's post facto, and I don't have a crystal ball, but I do think Ivan L is tired and not fully fit.

He has won way too many sets at 7-6. It just seemed like the bubble was going to burst today.

I agree.....Youzhny isn't Haas, but Youzhny is on a good roll right here, and he caught a worn down tired Ivan today.


I hope Ivan enjoyed his limited time in the top 10 because he is checking out of the top 20 after Miami & Roland Garros
 
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