MLB Parlay for Today at (+223) Features Shane McClanahan's Return
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Thursday, September 15, 2022 at 3:07 p.m. ET at Rogers Centre In Toronto
Who Starts for Tampa Bay?
Shane McClanahan starts for Tampa Bay tonight.
After dealing with shoulder issues that required him to endure a stint on the IL, he is back.
Reportedly, he looked sharp in light workouts on the mound, in simulated game action, and in bullpen sessions.
Given these reports, one should expect him to be back in full force, his usual self.
Plus, he's obviously going to be fresher than usual.
McClanahan's Betting Numbers
Pertinently to my favorite play for this game, McClanahan is a strong "under" pitcher.
The "under" is hitting in 59.1 percent of his starts overall.
McClanahan vs. Blue Jay Batters
McClanahan is in a great spot tonight in which to rediscover his strong form -- he allowed two runs or fewer in three straight starts in which he endured at least six innings before getting injured -- because he is playing Toronto.
In his career, he enjoys a 2.53 ERA in four starts against Toronto.
One must expect his positive history against Toronto to continue because the Blue Jays rank below-average in slugging against his favorite pitches -- the fastball, changeup, curveball, and slider -- from lefties despite facing many iterations of these pitches that are inferior to McClanahan's.
Who Starts for Toronto?
Kevin Gausman starts for Toronto today.
Gausman's ERA creates a misleading perception of him.
While, to be sure, his 3.31 ERA is good, it masks a superb 2.28 FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding).
Gausman vs. Ray Batters
Primarily, Gausman throws a fastball and split finger.
These are, by far, his favorite pitches.
Together, they combine for about 85 percent of his arsenal.
Gausman merits optimism today because Tampa Bay ranks 23rdin slugging against his favorite pitches from righties.
Expect little from Randy Arozarena, among others.
Arozarena is cold -- he has one hit in his last 13 at-bats.
Normally an important power hitter for Tampa Bay, his outlook tonight would be negative even if his form weren't so poor.
He is 0-for-6 in his career with Gausman in the mound.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
Thursday, September 15, 2022 at 6:40 p.m. ET at loanDepot Park in Miami
Who Starts for Philadelphia?
Newly acquired pitcher Noah Syndergaard starts for the Phillies tonight.
One might think that Syndergaard is enduring a bout of negative form in view of the number of runs that he's allowed in his recent starts.
Before allowing three runs in six innings in a victory over Washington, he yielded a high ERA against the Giants and Pirates.
But, crucially, he yielded a sub-2.50 FIP against the latter two opponents.
In those two starts, he yielded a BABIP (batting average of balls in play) that was unfortunately high given the success with which he limited hard contact.
Syndergaard vs. Marlin Batters
Syndergaard faces an ideal opponent tonight because historically he thrives in Miami.
He enjoys a 2.47 career ERA in eight starts in the Marlins' venue.
His pitching arsenal -- he throws a sinker, slider, changeup, fastball, and curveball with between 10 and 30 percent frequency -- will serve him well tonight.
Besides struggling in general to score runs in their games, especially recently, Miami batters merit pessimism tonight for ranking 27thin slugging against Syndergaard's pitches from righties.
Who Starts for Miami?
Pablo Lopez starts for Miami tonight.
Lopez is not the pitcher he was to start the season.
While his FIP was 1.66 in March/April, it has remained over 4.00 in August and September.
Lopez vs. Philly Batters
Even if Lopez hadn't regressed in quality, he looks unreliable tonight because Philly batters match up well against him in view of the pitches that he throws.
By far, Lopez relies on his fastball and changeup.
He throws each pitch over three times as often as any of his other pitches.
Together, they form about 75 percent of his arsenal.
Philly batters enjoy a strong outlook tonight because they rank seventh in slugging against Lopez's favorite pitches from righties.
Best Bet: Parlay Rays/Blue Jays Under 7.5 at -120 & Phillies ML at -131 at +223 odds with BetOnline
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Thursday, September 15, 2022 at 3:07 p.m. ET at Rogers Centre In Toronto
Who Starts for Tampa Bay?
Shane McClanahan starts for Tampa Bay tonight.
After dealing with shoulder issues that required him to endure a stint on the IL, he is back.
Reportedly, he looked sharp in light workouts on the mound, in simulated game action, and in bullpen sessions.
Given these reports, one should expect him to be back in full force, his usual self.
Plus, he's obviously going to be fresher than usual.
McClanahan's Betting Numbers
Pertinently to my favorite play for this game, McClanahan is a strong "under" pitcher.
The "under" is hitting in 59.1 percent of his starts overall.
McClanahan vs. Blue Jay Batters
McClanahan is in a great spot tonight in which to rediscover his strong form -- he allowed two runs or fewer in three straight starts in which he endured at least six innings before getting injured -- because he is playing Toronto.
In his career, he enjoys a 2.53 ERA in four starts against Toronto.
One must expect his positive history against Toronto to continue because the Blue Jays rank below-average in slugging against his favorite pitches -- the fastball, changeup, curveball, and slider -- from lefties despite facing many iterations of these pitches that are inferior to McClanahan's.
Who Starts for Toronto?
Kevin Gausman starts for Toronto today.
Gausman's ERA creates a misleading perception of him.
While, to be sure, his 3.31 ERA is good, it masks a superb 2.28 FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding).
Gausman vs. Ray Batters
Primarily, Gausman throws a fastball and split finger.
These are, by far, his favorite pitches.
Together, they combine for about 85 percent of his arsenal.
Gausman merits optimism today because Tampa Bay ranks 23rdin slugging against his favorite pitches from righties.
Expect little from Randy Arozarena, among others.
Arozarena is cold -- he has one hit in his last 13 at-bats.
Normally an important power hitter for Tampa Bay, his outlook tonight would be negative even if his form weren't so poor.
He is 0-for-6 in his career with Gausman in the mound.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
Thursday, September 15, 2022 at 6:40 p.m. ET at loanDepot Park in Miami
Who Starts for Philadelphia?
Newly acquired pitcher Noah Syndergaard starts for the Phillies tonight.
One might think that Syndergaard is enduring a bout of negative form in view of the number of runs that he's allowed in his recent starts.
Before allowing three runs in six innings in a victory over Washington, he yielded a high ERA against the Giants and Pirates.
But, crucially, he yielded a sub-2.50 FIP against the latter two opponents.
In those two starts, he yielded a BABIP (batting average of balls in play) that was unfortunately high given the success with which he limited hard contact.
Syndergaard vs. Marlin Batters
Syndergaard faces an ideal opponent tonight because historically he thrives in Miami.
He enjoys a 2.47 career ERA in eight starts in the Marlins' venue.
His pitching arsenal -- he throws a sinker, slider, changeup, fastball, and curveball with between 10 and 30 percent frequency -- will serve him well tonight.
Besides struggling in general to score runs in their games, especially recently, Miami batters merit pessimism tonight for ranking 27thin slugging against Syndergaard's pitches from righties.
Who Starts for Miami?
Pablo Lopez starts for Miami tonight.
Lopez is not the pitcher he was to start the season.
While his FIP was 1.66 in March/April, it has remained over 4.00 in August and September.
Lopez vs. Philly Batters
Even if Lopez hadn't regressed in quality, he looks unreliable tonight because Philly batters match up well against him in view of the pitches that he throws.
By far, Lopez relies on his fastball and changeup.
He throws each pitch over three times as often as any of his other pitches.
Together, they form about 75 percent of his arsenal.
Philly batters enjoy a strong outlook tonight because they rank seventh in slugging against Lopez's favorite pitches from righties.
Best Bet: Parlay Rays/Blue Jays Under 7.5 at -120 & Phillies ML at -131 at +223 odds with BetOnline
