Tail or Fade: Week 6

rambler882

Head of the Justin Fields Fan Club
Season: 37-35, 51.4%, +5.86u
Week 1: 7-4, +1.27u
Week 2: 3-6, -3.35u
Week 3: 6-9, -.23u
Week 4: 10-7, +4.75u
Week 5: 6-6, +1.47u
Week 6: 5-3, +1.95u

Titans ML / OPEN, risk 1.5u
Titans o27, 1u -110

Steelers +4, 1u -105
Niners-Redskins o46, 1u -102
Vikings +3, 1u -110
Dolphins o16.5, 1u -105
Cardinals o22, 1u -110


Panthers -3, 1u +105
Chargers o23, 1u -105
Ravens / Saints, 1u +112
 
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The amount of large favorites will make this week very difficult to play and find value. Will try though.
 
Panthers -3, 1u +105

Not a great feel here, but think Lane Johnson being out is a big enough factor to bite for action on TNF.
 
Alright all, been digging and starting to settle....not final by any means but here is what I'm liking right now

Vikings +3 but am still scared of Rodgers after ruining a huge day with DAL
Chargers TT
Ravens ML
Saints TT and/or side
Steelers +4
Bucs
Rams
Dolphins TT - yes, really
 
Steelers +4, 1u -105
Niners-Redskins o46, 1u -102
Ravens / Saints, 1u +112
Vikings +3, 1u -110
Chargers o23, 1u -105
 
Dolphins o16.5, 1u -105
Cardinals o22, 1u -110

Deciding on Bucs, Rams, if I should tease down Pats with...etc.

Update: Going with Cardinals TT instead of Bucs here. A few factors in play here but Bucs defense is pretty poor and their YPP is bottom of league and allowing plenty of points. AP boost? who knows....but Palmer should have some success moving the chains with his WR healthy and I do think AP at a minimum will be putting forth a huge effort.
 
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5 fgs by the Titans. Had them moving the ball quite a bit but their lack of converting being a year removed from a top red zone offense.....ugh. No idea why I went so big tonight...oh yea, boredom.
 
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