Tail or Fade: Week 6

[rambler882]

Season: 66-45, 59.5%, +14.92u
Week 0-1: 12-7, +3.48u
Week 2: 8-4, +3.1u
Week 3: 7-7, +.82u
Week 4: 12-6, +4.46u
Week 5: 13-11, +.27u
Week 6: 14-10, +2.79u

Texas -1 / OPEN, 1u -105
Arizona +7, 1u -105
Stanford -3, 1u -108
Stanford live ml, .5u +100
Stanford / LSU, .5u +195

Boise St -2 / CLOSED, 1u -115
Vanderbilt o13, .5u -110
LSU Pk, 2u -105
Air Force +7.5, 1.5u -104
West Virginia +13, 1u +100
Air Force 2H o10.5, 1u -125
Colorado St. -3 / CLOSED, 1u -115
Purdue -3, 1u -123
Purdue live +3.5, .5u -120
Purdue live ml, .5u +150
Texas A&M o14.5, 1u -110

Louisville -3, 1u -115
Vanderbilt +18, 1u -110
Northwestern +14, 1u -105
Duke Pk, 1u -105
Syracuse-Pittsburgh o64, 1u -108
Arkansas St. / Arkansas, 1u +130
West Virginia o27, 1u -115
Oregon live ml, .5u +850
Oregon +3, 1.5u -110
SMU 2H o10.5, 1u -120

 

[rambler882]

Louisville -3, 1u -115

 

[casual]

GL this week

 

[VirginiaCavs]

BOL Amigo

 

[rambler882]

Thank you. Felt last night was a coin flip play...rarely go road favorite but oh well.

Boise St. -2 / CLOSED, 1u -115

 

[KJ]

Get it rambler

 

[rambler882]

Thanks kj.

Sadly when i dug into the game mangun was listed out, now hes in...the play was entirely fading koy detmer jr

Lets see how it goes.

 

[rambler882]

Duke Pk, 1u -105
Oregon +3, 1.5u -110
LSU Pk, 1.5u -103
Northwestern +14, 1u -105
Air Force +7.5, 1u -103
Vanderbilt +18, 1u -110
Vanderbilt o13, .5u -110
Texas -1 / OPEN, 1u -105

Edit: made a few updates here.

 

[rambler882]

West Virginia will probably be a play. Stanford & Purdue I'm hoping it hits -3.

Fell asleep last night about to lock in Duke +2, LSU +3, and Florida St. +3.5...wake up to serious movement on all 3. Right now FSU I may tease up but waiting.

 

[rambler882]

West Virginia o27, 1u -115
West Virginia +13, 1u +100

 

[rambler882]

Syracuse-Pittsburgh o64, 1u -108

 

[rambler882]

Adding a .5u to LSU Pk and AF +7.5. Cincinnati added to watch list.

 

[booksbestfriend]

Why Cincy?

 

[rambler882]

Colorado St. -3 / CLOSED, 1u -115
Arizona +7, 1u -105

 

[rambler882]

Why Cincy?

At a high level double digit home dogs typically catch my eye to at least review. Since it worked so well for Vanderbilt and Northwestern I figured it would for Cincy too (joking). Not a play yet, but what I do like:

Cincy has a form of home field advantage
Sr. RB is back
UCF is off a few big wins and 'could' be sleepy
Cincy did play Michigan tough so they have the ability to compete
UCF wins have been outstanding, but I don't really consider any that quality - Memphis was a clear fade

All of this said, these are soft points and more feel. When you dig into the numbers and look at offense v. defense (pass and run) UCF wins on all 4 fronts essentially. It is just a game I am monitoring for now and if it hits 17+ I may bite.

 

[rambler882]

Purdue -3, 1u -123

Trending to my first losing week this season, was bound to happen but will keep firing.

 

[rambler882]

Stanford -3, 1u -108
Stanford / LSU, .5u +195

 

[rambler882]

Air Force 2H o10.5, 1u -125

 

[rambler882]

Purdue live +3.5, .5u -120
Purdue live ml, .5u +150

 

[rambler882]

Texas A&M o14.5, 1u -110

 

[rambler882]

Sitting 7-7 for +.42u. Been grinding to get out of an early hole.

Need Purdue & Stanford big.

 

[rambler882]

SMU 2H o10.5, 1u -120

 

[rambler882]

Oregon live ml, .5u +850

 

[rambler882]

Lol first play int

 

[rambler882]

11-10 for +.32u

Stanford / LSU
Stanford -3
Arizona +7
Add: Stanford live ml, .5u +100

remaining...here is to ending with a winning week.

 

[rambler882]

14-10 for +2.79