Tail or Fade: Week 3

[rambler882]

Season: 20-11, 64.5%, +6.58u
Week 0-1: 12-7, +3.48u
Week 2: 8-4, +3.1u

Boise St. o36, .5u -120
LSU -1 / Troy -1, 1u -115
LSU -7, .5u -115
Toledo -2 / OPEN, 1u -105
Kentucky +6, 1u -110
Houston -22.5, 1u -105
Akron +11, 1u -108
Florida -4, 1u -108
SMU +21, 1u -120
Middle Tennessee St. +10, 1u -120
Toledo -8, .5u -105
Virginia-Connecticut u50.5, 1u -105
Memphis +3.5, 1.5u -125

 

[rambler882]

Memphis+ will be a play and possibly 2U. Right now it is juiced at +3.5 and +3 on my books so waiting.

Other leans:
Akron +10.5
Northern Illinois +14
Florida -4.5
Middle Tenn St. +10
SMU +19.5
Toledo -9
Louisiana Tech +7
Wyoming +14 or TT over
Vanderbilt +3.5
Troy -7
Texas +15.5

 

[rambler882]

Boise St. o36, .5u -120 (action play)

 

[SIGO]

Why do you like Memphis so much? GL.

 

[rambler882]

SIGO - I like their running game to control the clock, chew up UCLA, and put points on the board. I also feel the 9am/10am start time for UCLA could mess with them and they could/will be sluggish to start the game. Rosen could certainly take this one over, but when a line is somewhat fishy I dig in and if I can find more pros than cons on Memphis I bite. Layer in the majority of bets are on UCLA and the line has not moved...well it has in UCLA favor - I'm biting.

 

[VirginiaCavs]

BOL amigo

 

[rambler882]

Same to you, I enjoy your write ups

 

[rambler882]

Still waiting for juice to settle on Memphis, thinking I'll be making this 1.5 to 2u. Also, am leaning heavily towards MTSU.

As a reminder, my teasers are always "ties win" unless otherwise noted.

LSU -1 / Troy -1, 1u -115
LSU -7, .5u -115
Toledo -2 / OPEN, 1u -105
Kentucky +6, 1u -110
Houston -22.5, 1u -105
Akron +11, 1u -108 (holds nose)
Florida -4, 1u -108 (tread lightly, several suspensions, but fading TN and playing the defense)
SMU +21, 1u -120

More later.

 

[rambler882]

Toledo -8, .5u -105
Virginia-Connecticut u50.5, 1u -105

Still waiting on Memphis juice. Mtsu hits 10 i bite.

 

[rambler882]

Memphis +3.5, 1.5u -125

 

[rambler882]

Very tempted by memphis 1H but high juice on FG keeping me off because dont want to sink more than 2u of risk there.

 

[Fondybadger]

Best of luck today rambler

 

[rambler882]

Thanks. The last one to leave off was NIU...up14 off the bat. Ugh

 

[rambler882]

Middle Tennessee St. +10, 1u -120

 

[rambler882]

Dont play mtsu. Qb out. Fuck me. Letting it ride

 

[rambler882]

Clemson -3, 1u -110

 

[rambler882]

Bloodbath in this thread today. Yikes. Everything going against me today. Florida goes up 10...immediately gives up TD.

Thought about doing a 3-4 game card...whooops.

Sorry all

 

[rambler882]

Toledo 2H -6, .5u -120

Because im a glutton.

 

[rambler882]

I got lucky after posting no luck.......

7-7, +.82u