Tail or Fade: Week 18

[rambler882]

+26.42u

Javonte Williams TD, .75u +185
Darrel Williams TD, 1u +100
Darrel Williams o59.5, .75u -105
Corey Clement TD, .5u +240
Quez Watkins TD, .5u +410
Kenny Gainwell TD, .75u +120

 

[2daBank]

freaking Lock has kinda killed williams for me, got totally lucky in his 1st start against raiders where Carr threw a pick to hand williams a td right before half., love williams i just hate donks offense with lock under center, have a hard time seeing them score more than 1td which makes the odds of one guy feel shitty to me, afraid lock gonna look really bad vs all the blitzing kc likes to do..

 

[rambler882]

freaking Lock has kinda killed williams for me, got totally lucky in his 1st start against raiders where Carr threw a pick to hand williams a td right before half., love williams i just hate donks offense with lock under center, have a hard time seeing them score more than 1td which makes the odds of one guy feel shitty to me, afraid lock gonna look really bad vs all the blitzing kc likes to do..

I'm just focusing on a potential game plan, last game of the year, 1st year RB, and inevitably he should get more looks than Gordon. They have been split 50/50 but end of the day their path to winning is controlling the clock and grinding.

 

[2daBank]

I'm just focusing on a potential game plan, last game of the year, 1st year RB, and inevitably he should get more looks than Gordon. They have been split 50/50 but end of the day their path to winning is controlling the clock and grinding.

i feel ya, i just dont think they capable as lock wont be able to pick up 3rd downs to extend drives, it was awful in the raider game,. his numbers looked better last week but im assuming that was mostly against a very passive chargers d playing with a huge lead in 2nd half..

 

[rambler882]

+26.42u

Javonte Williams TD, .75u +185
Darrel Williams TD, 1u +100
Darrel Williams o59.5, .75u -105
Corey Clement TD, .5u +240
Quez Watkins TD, .5u +410
Kenny Gainwell TD, .75u +120

Darrel Williams is the only player I'd really be betting on from this group. I, of course, just love to gamble so I find plays on a shitty, hard card. I'll take the shot on the 2nd game of some starters resting plus there are no other RBs than Gainwell. Thought about Hurts TD at +195 but he might get rested too.

 

[rambler882]

i feel ya, i just dont think they capable as lock wont be able to pick up 3rd downs to extend drives, it was awful in the raider game,. his numbers looked better last week but im assuming that was mostly against a very passive chargers d playing with a huge lead in 2nd half..

Maybe, its a gamble. Just sprinkling bets really. If something is ever under a 1u bet for me you can generally assume it is for action. +185 is just too good a value to pass up on a good RB vs. a meh run defense in a game that can go 1 of 2 ways. If Broncos keeping it close it is because they are running the ball well. Or Chiefs blow them out and garbage time Williams for the outstanding rookie

 

[2daBank]

Maybe, its a gamble. Just sprinkling bets really. If something is ever under a 1u bet for me you can generally assume it is for action. +185 is just too good a value to pass up on a good RB vs. a meh run defense in a game that can go 1 of 2 ways. If Broncos keeping it close it is because they are running the ball well. Or Chiefs blow them out and garbage time Williams for the outstanding rookie

i love williams and have played him a bunch at anything above +150 so i feel ya, i def prefer him over gordon, i just cant stand to play any donks with lock starting, it was so gross watching him vs raiders, he so bad!!! not like that offense has any sort of creativity or juice in play calling and now it being lead by a guy who doesnt have the 1st freaking clue where to go with the ball pre snap and looks confused while dropping back, dunno wtf they saw in him ever, he was awful at mizzou.

 

[rambler882]

i love williams and have played him a bunch at anything above +150 so i feel ya, i def prefer him over gordon, i just cant stand to play any donks with lock starting, it was so gross watching him vs raiders, he so bad!!! not like that offense has any sort of creativity or juice in play calling and now it being lead by a guy who doesnt have the 1st freaking clue where to go with the ball pre snap and looks confused while dropping back, dunno wtf they saw in him ever, he was awful at mizzou.

Just like we said. Lock 2 rushing tds

 

[rambler882]

Live

Mecole Hardman TD, .5u +850

 

[HUNT]

GL on the weekend sir.

 

[rambler882]

Seahawks +6.5, 2u -130
Niners +3.5, 2u -114
Jaguars +14.5, 2u -110
Panthers +10, 1u -110
Saints -4, 1u -110
Lions +3.5, 1u -105

Bears +9.5 / Seahawks +11, 1u -120
Bears +9.5 / Washington -.5, 1u -120
Niners +9.5 / Seahawks +11, 1u -120
Browns / Patriots, 1u -107
Washington / Saints, 1u +107

Rob Gronkowski o6.5, 1.5u -106
D'Onta Foreman TD, 1.5u -105
Stefon Diggs o6.5, 1.5u +105
Dalvin Cook TD, 1u -135
AJ Green o56.5, 1u -110
Alvin Kamara TD, 1u -110
Brandin Cooks o64.5, 1u -110
Trevor Lawrence o210.5, 1u -110
Marvin Jones Jr. o4.5, 1u +102
D'Andrew Swift TD, 1u +200
Mark Andrews o68.5, .75u -110
Mark Andrews o5.5, .75u +100
David Njoku TD, .5u +550
Rashard Higgins TD, .5u +600

 

[rambler882]

Same Game Parlay
Bears +7.5 / Montgomery TD / Jefferson TD / Cook TD, .5u +1222

 

[rambler882]

Gronkowski o6.5 / Diggs o6.5 / Foreman TD / Saints / Seahawks +7.5 / Niners +7.5, .5u +2004

 

[rambler882]

AJ Green TD, .75u +185

 

[2daBank]

I was kinda worried about cook workload, dunno how much they use him in a meaningless game? Other than that I def woulda played him to score.

 

[rambler882]

I was kinda worried about cook workload, dunno how much they use him in a meaningless game? Other than that I def woulda played him to score.

Same but with Hicks out going for it

 

[rambler882]

David Montgomery TD, 1u -106

 

[rambler882]

Live

Montgomery TD, .5u +225
Gibson TD, .5u +300

 

[rambler882]

Marvin Jones TD, .5u +500

 

[rambler882]

Live

Montgomery TD, .5u +225
Gibson TD, .5u +300

Nagy is the absolute worst coach

 

[rambler882]

Nagy seriously should never be hired again. Losing +9.5 on 2 teasers entirely tied to his ineptitude. Montgomery dominating and he throws it 4x on 4th and short. On the inch line and does an awful pass call.

Im done with the Bears if they make a bonehead fucking hire

 

[rambler882]

Seahawks +6.5, 2u -130
Niners +3.5, 2u -114
Jaguars +14.5, 2u -110
Panthers +10, 1u -110
Saints -4, 1u -110
Lions +3.5, 1u -105

Bears +9.5 / Seahawks +11, 1u -120
Bears +9.5 / Washington -.5, 1u -120
Niners +9.5 / Seahawks +11, 1u -120
Browns / Patriots, 1u -107
Washington / Saints, 1u +107

Rob Gronkowski o6.5, 1.5u -106
D'Onta Foreman TD, 1.5u -105
Stefon Diggs o6.5, 1.5u +105
Dalvin Cook TD, 1u -135
AJ Green o56.5, 1u -110
Alvin Kamara TD, 1u -110
Brandin Cooks o64.5, 1u -110
Trevor Lawrence o210.5, 1u -110
Marvin Jones Jr. o4.5, 1u +102
D'Andrew Swift TD, 1u +200
Mark Andrews o68.5, .75u -110
Mark Andrews o5.5, .75u +100
David Njoku TD, .5u +550
Rashard Higgins TD, .5u +600

Live

Adding to Kamara TD, .75u +100

 

[rambler882]

Patriots-Dolphins u50.5, 1u -113

 

[rambler882]

Sitting on +8u this week. Still annoyed at Bears and Nagy completely fucking me over. Montgomery TD and +9.5 were easy wins until he took over play calling. Kamara...bad beat with over 150 yards and didn't see the end zone. Oh and @2daBank Foreman bullshit, that fat fuck lineman.

Looking into SNF now.

 

[SIGO]

Great job on your 2 unit plays.

 

[rambler882]

Zay Jones o4.5, .75u +115
Zay Jones o46.5, .75u -110
Ekeler TD / Jacobs TD / Raiders o23.5 / Chargers o26.5, .5u +607

 

[rambler882]

Live

Austin Ekeler TD, .75u -111

 

[rambler882]

Zay Jones TD, .5u +330

 

[rambler882]

Zay Jones o30.5, .5u -114

 

[rambler882]

+10.75u on week. +37.17u on season. Thanks for stopping by, I appreciate the support and commentary.

See you for the playoffs