Tail or Fade: NYE

rambler882

Head of the Justin Fields Fan Club
Season: +24u
Bowls; fresh slate, bad 3 days going overboard

Alabama / Michigan, 4.5u -102
Alabama 1H -3.5, 2u -110
Alabama 1H -4, 1u -110
Alabama o31.5, 2u -115
Ohio St. +6.5, 4u -120

Loved Alabama entering bowl season and saw this as a statement game for them. I can rattle off the numbers but they dominate across all major categories and are a mismatch on talent quality & quantity. I woke up at 2am with a thought of "am I walking into some bullshit benching starters after 2 series?"... maybe. Instead of laying the full line I played 1H. If 1H loses I'll either take the loss or re-evaluate at half for 2H. Hopefully can just cash the win in 1H and hope to close 1st leg of the parlay.

Ohio St. is more of a buy low for me and I do think they are not priced right because of the Michigan game. They are a much better team than what that day showed and from a talent perspective are not a huge mismatch against Georgia. That said, they'll lose by 30 and I'll say whoops!

LSU -9.5 / Liberty +8.5, 1u +105
LSU / Oregon / Minnesota, 1u -129
 
Season: +24u
Bowls; fresh slate, bad 3 days going overboard

Alabama / Michigan, 4.5u -102
Alabama 1H -3.5, 2u -110
Alabama 1H -4, 1u -110
Alabama o31.5, 2u -115
Ohio St. +6.5, 4u -120

Loved Alabama entering bowl season and saw this as a statement game for them. I can rattle off the numbers but they dominate across all major categories and are a mismatch on talent quality & quantity. I woke up at 2am with a thought of "am I walking into some bullshit benching starters after 2 series?"... maybe. Instead of laying the full line I played 1H. If 1H loses I'll either take the loss or re-evaluate at half for 2H. Hopefully can just cash the win in 1H and hope to close 1st leg of the parlay.

Ohio St. is more of a buy low for me and I do think they are not priced right because of the Michigan game. They are a much better team than what that day showed and from a talent perspective are not a huge mismatch against Georgia. That said, they'll lose by 30 and I'll say whoops!

LSU -9.5 / Liberty +8.5, 1u +105
LSU / Oregon / Minnesota, 1u -129
Ohio St. +10.5 / TCU (CBB), 1u +103
Ohio St. +17.5 / Iowa, 1u -101
 
Season: +24u
Bowls; fresh slate, bad 3 days going overboard

Alabama / Michigan, 4.5u -102
Alabama 1H -3.5, 2u -110
Alabama 1H -4, 1u -110
Alabama o31.5, 2u -115
Ohio St. +6.5, 4u -120

Loved Alabama entering bowl season and saw this as a statement game for them. I can rattle off the numbers but they dominate across all major categories and are a mismatch on talent quality & quantity. I woke up at 2am with a thought of "am I walking into some bullshit benching starters after 2 series?"... maybe. Instead of laying the full line I played 1H. If 1H loses I'll either take the loss or re-evaluate at half for 2H. Hopefully can just cash the win in 1H and hope to close 1st leg of the parlay.

Ohio St. is more of a buy low for me and I do think they are not priced right because of the Michigan game. They are a much better team than what that day showed and from a talent perspective are not a huge mismatch against Georgia. That said, they'll lose by 30 and I'll say whoops!

LSU -9.5 / Liberty +8.5, 1u +105
LSU / Oregon / Minnesota, 1u -129


Lfg rambler happy new year. Love the confidence in bama
 
Mississippi St. -3, 2u -110
Tulane o31.5, 2u -102
Penn St. +1.5, 2u -114
LSU -5.5 / Tulane +12.5 / Penn St. +11.5, 2u +100
LSU -9.5 / Liberty +8.5, 1u +105
LSU / Oregon / Minnesota, 1u -129
 
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