Tail or Fade | NFL Week 8

[rambler882]

112-138, -25.98u

Was on a lil heater, was having some weeks +15u or so but then would blow it on MNF...then it all crashed down last week. Whatever.

Rams +2.5, 2u -104
Rams +3.5, 2u -115 (FD Boost)
Rams +3.5 / Cooper Kupp o6.5 / Justin Jefferson o84.5, 1u +447 (No Sweat)
Justin Jefferson o84.5, 2u -110

Bears Pk, 5u -110
Bears -2.5, 2u -120
Bengals -2.5, 7u -115

 

[rambler882]

Lets summarize.

Sides
Bears Pk, 8u -110
Bears -2.5, 2u -120
Bears o23.5, 2u -104
Bengals -2.5, 7u -115
Colts +5, 4u -110
Browns +7.5, 3u -110
Jaguars +3.5, 2u -112
Saints +7, 2u -110

Props
Sam LaPorta o34.5, 3u -110
David Njoku o57.5, 2u -110
James Conner o70.5, 2u -110
Jordan Mason o79.5, 2u -110
Kareem Hunt o66.5, 2u -110
Tyreek Hill o80.5, 2u -110
James Cook o61.5, 2u -110
Rachaad White o3.5, 2u +108
Davante Adams TD, 2u +189 (FD Boost)
Ja'Marr Chase o85.5, 1.5u -110
Ja'Marr Chase o6.5, 1u -128
Jordan Mason TD, 1u -150
Stefon Diggs o5.5, 1u -113
DJ Moore o59.5, 1u -110
DJ Moore o4.5, 1u -146
Anthony Richardson o38.5 rushing, 1u -110
Drake London o66.5, 1u -110
Javonte Williams o63.5, 1u -110
Raheem Mostert o36.5, 1u -110
Courtland Sutton TD, 1u +180
Jalen McMillan o3.5, 1u +102

Exotics
Jets -1 / Colts +11, 2u -125
Jets -1.5 / Bears +7, 2u -120
Dolphins ML / Niners ML, 2u +110
Bears +4.5 / DJ Moore o3.5 / Bengals +3.5 / Ja'Marr Chase o59.5, 2u +299

 

[rambler882]

Bears biggest bet of season so I'll share a bit of the why.

• Commanders have had a bottom 5 SoS
• Commanders have played a bottom 3 defensive schedule. Meaning their offense has played one of the easiest defensive schedules
• Commanders are a bottom 5 defense
• Bears are a top 10 defense and based on results, matchups, etc. conservatively are an equal offense. That said, I think the Bears are better offensively
• The Bears are off of a bye as well so more prep time
• The defensive matchup of this game is so skewed and Jonathan Allen is out as well
• Overall, so much of this game favors the Bears yet people are hammering Washington too because of their high scoring output versus bad teams

 

[rambler882]

hah, Mostert TD +180 was last play I left off, fun

 

[rambler882]

Bears biggest bet of season so I'll share a bit of the why.

• Commanders have had a bottom 5 SoS
• Commanders have played a bottom 3 defensive schedule. Meaning their offense has played one of the easiest defensive schedules
• Commanders are a bottom 5 defense
• Bears are a top 10 defense and based on results, matchups, etc. conservatively are an equal offense. That said, I think the Bears are better offensively
• The Bears are off of a bye as well so more prep time
• The defensive matchup of this game is so skewed and Jonathan Allen is out as well
• Overall, so much of this game favors the Bears yet people are hammering Washington too because of their high scoring output versus bad teams

And if you value this, Sweat going back to WSH will have him and the team motivated as he is a big time team leader. To a lesser extent, aint no way Caleb and the offense not tired of hearing about Jayden.

 

[rambler882]

Alright I've been cold on props the last 2-3 weeks so going to dial them back a bit moving forward. Adding:

Bears +7 / Niners Pk, 2u -120
Bears +1.5, 2u -105

 

[rambler882]

Losing Braxton Jones has utterly ruined the Bears. Rookie LT has missed 4 blocks immediately killing the drive. This is gross

 

[rambler882]

Absolute fucking joke Waldron is. A fucking handoff to a backup OL at the 1 down 5. Just seriously WTF

 

[rambler882]

Well... I lost 40u on that hail mary. Yup. Done

 

[rambler882]

Biggest bet of my life, just unreal and betting season done with it

 

[C-MAN]

Shit, sorry man. Tough way to lose.

 

[rambler882]

-27.84u on the week. Disaster with that hail mary as I was live betting Bears ML at +200 to +300 throughout.

Malik Nabers o68.5, 3u -110
George Pickens o62.5, 1u -110
Jaylen Warren o14.5, 1u -110
Jaylen Warren o2.5, 1u +136

Giants +6, 1u -105
Giants +11 / Jets +7 (TNF), 1u -120
Giants +11.5 / Malik Nabers o59.5 / George Pickens o39.5 / Jaylen Warren o1.5, 2u +390

 

[B.A.R.]

-27.84u on the week. Disaster with that hail mary as I was live betting Bears ML at +200 to +300 throughout.

Malik Nabers o68.5, 3u -110
George Pickens o62.5, 1u -110
Jaylen Warren o14.5, 1u -110
Jaylen Warren o2.5, 1u +136

Giants +6, 1u -105
Giants +11 / Jets +7 (TNF), 1u -120
Giants +11.5 / Malik Nabers o59.5 / George Pickens o39.5 / Jaylen Warren o1.5, 2u +390

Props look good bud