Tail or Fade: NFL Week 3

[rambler882]

Season: 21-8, 10.59u
Week 1: 8-5, +2.78u
Week 2: 13-5, +7.81u

Dolphins +3, 1u -105
Bears o22.5, 1u -110
Bears o23, 1u -112
Patriots -6, 1u -110
Patriots -5.5, 1u -130
Patriots / Browns, 1u -120
Devin Singletary o65.5 rush, .75u -115
Devin Singletary o3 rec, .75u -115
Miles Sanders o80.5 rushing, .75u -115
Lions +12 / Colts -5.5, 1u -120
Lions +6, .75u -115
Panthers +6.5, 1u -110
Patriots / Seahawks, 1u +101

Giants +3.5, 2u -117
Texans +4, 1u -105
Miles Sanders o114.5 rush + rec, .75u -115
Saints -3, 2u -112

Ravens o29.5, 1u -112
Ravens -3, 1u -120

 

[rambler882]

Dolphins +3, 1u -105

 

[B.A.R.]

Keep crushing brother

 

[rambler882]

Bears o22.5, 1u -110
Giants +3.5, 1u -120
Panthers +6.5, 1u -110
Patriots -6, 1u -110
Patriots / Browns, 1u -120
Patriots / Seahawks, 1u +101
Ravens o29.5, 1u -112
Saints -3, 2u -112
Texans +4, 1u -105

 

[rambler882]

Miles Sanders o80.5 rushing, .75u -115
Miles Sanders o114.5 rush + rec, .75u -115

 

[rambler882]

Patriots -5.5, 1u -130

 

[rambler882]

Adding 1u to Giants at -115

 

[rambler882]

Bears o23, 1u -112

Essentially 2u play, just .5 pt difference on the TT

 

[rambler882]

Have a few minutes to share some quick thoughts.

Bears TT - Falcons top pass rushers are out, their secondary is destroyed, and Mitch has been competent this season + better play calling. They may even hit this in the 1H. The Falcons have a 2nd string defense at this point

Giants - injuries are piled too high for the Niners. Was going to lock this in earlier in the week but got busy and the line dropped otherwise this might have been a 3-4u play. Daniel Jones should have success passing and I'm looking at a Slayton prop again. He should get fed too. In short, the Niners are trotting out a 2nd and 3rd string defense. See a theme these first 2 plays

Miles Sanders - Bengals rush defense is subpar if I'm being nice, Sanders will get fed one way or another being their most talented offensive player right now, he looked fresh last week, and they "should" take notes from how the Browns won and replicate

Panthers - honestly this is more gut than anything with the Chargers coming off a tough loss and perhaps a slight over reaction to McCaffrey being out. I like Bridgewater to manage this game and keep it close. Serious injuries on both sides of the defense so going with feel here

Patriots - fading the Raiders getting too much love as a starting point, factor in a top 5ish defense that should slow down the Raiders offense much more effectively than the Saints did and the Patriots offense is looking like it is a top 10-12 unit against a bottom 5 defense of the Raiders.

Saints - buy low against an overrated Packers squad. Keeping this one simple, stupid

Texans - spot play, plain and simple. Steelers have not played anyone half way decent and the Texans played arguably the top 2 teams in the league.

 

[rambler882]

Lions +12 / Colts -5.5, 1u -120
Lions +6, .75u -115

 

[SIGO]

Good luck today, chief. Appreciate your thoughts.

 

[rambler882]

Devin Singletary o65.5 rush, .75u -115
Devin Singletary o3 rec, .75u -115

 

[rambler882]

Wild early slate. Lets keep it going

 

[rambler882]

13-3, +7.74u with 2 to go.

 

[Dsn150]

Excellent day-
:shake:

 

[B.A.R.]

Great day brother

 

[rambler882]

Great day brother

13 wins a lil misleading bc of bears and patriots half pt difference when i added a unit. Ya just never know what itll land on. Bears were sitting on 23 in game

 

[Teapot9]

Great job man.

 

[rambler882]

Ravens -3, 1u -120
Ravens o29.5, 1u -112

 

[rambler882]

Bad close to the week losing about 5u on Saints and Ravens.

Season: 34-16, +13.76u
Week 1: 8-5, +2.78u
Week 2: 13-5, +7.81u
Week 3: 13-6, +3.17u