Tail or Fade: NFL Week 18

rambler882

Head of the Justin Fields Fan Club
Shitty week 17 for -9.09u. Locking in a few now.

Titans +7, 2u -125
Titans +6.5, 2u -110
Titans +7.5 / Henry o69.5, 2u -112
Titans +7.5 / Niners, 2u -121
Chiefs 1H -5.5, 2u -110
Dolphins -3, 2u -115
Niners 1H -7, 2u -130
Vikings / Packers, 2u -104
Vikings -1.5 / Browns +8.5, 2u -120
Browns +7.5 / Chiefs / Niners, 2u -121
 
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Shitty week 17 for -9.09u. Locking in a few now.

Titans +7, 2u -125
Titans +7.5 / Henry o69.5, 2u -112
Titans +7.5 / Niners, 2u -121
Chiefs 1H -5.5, 2u -110
Dolphins -3, 2u -115
Niners 1H -7, 2u -130
Vikings / Packers, 2u -104
Vikings -1.5 / Browns +8.5, 2u -120
Browns +7.5 / Chiefs / Niners, 2u -121
Henry TD / o59.5, 2u -105
Mahomes u331.5, 1u -110
 
Sharing some high level info.

Chiefs at Raiders

Non-statistical. Raiders caught Niners sleeping to get some points on the board early. I typically have faith in Andy Reid to game plan versus an opponent a second time. On the other side of it, Chiefs were almost caught napping versus Broncos. Motivation is clear on both sides with rivalry, playoffs, etc.

Chiefs defense is middle of the pack but have been trending up over the last 4-6 weeks. Chiefs are 9th in pass yards per attempt and I’m taking a leap that Stidham won’t have the same success. Jacobs should be able to pick up chunks on the ground. Raiders defense is a joke and all statistics data shows Chiefs will not have an issue moving the ball – duh. Stidham struggles v blitz… chiefs blitz heavy.

Titans will be getting key players back from injury who have been out over the last month at varying times – Autry, Simmons, Henry (last week), and Fulton is out

Jaguars are 15th with wDVOA, Titans 26th but injuries played a big factor. Played Jaguars in 1st matchup expecting Henry to be limited but he destroyed them in 1H. Jacobs they held in check, Barkley 100+, Miles Sanders 134. To say, I think their stats versus the run is deflated vs. lesser competition.
 
Shitty week 17 for -9.09u. Locking in a few now.

Titans +7, 2u -125
Titans +6.5, 2u -110
Titans +7.5 / Henry o69.5, 2u -112
Titans +7.5 / Niners, 2u -121
Chiefs 1H -5.5, 2u -110
Dolphins -3, 2u -115
Niners 1H -7, 2u -130
Vikings / Packers, 2u -104
Vikings -1.5 / Browns +8.5, 2u -120
Browns +7.5 / Chiefs / Niners, 2u -121


Look at this guy
 
Good start. More plays. More to come, alot of player props not posted.

Vikings -1.5 / Browns +8.5, 2u -120
Vikings / Packers, 4u -107
Browns +7.5 / Niners / Chiefs, 2u -121
Dolphins -3, 2u -115
Niners 1H -7, 2u -130
Niners / Titans +7.5, 2u -117
Bills / Falcons, 2u -112
Bills / Diggs o59.5, 2u -133
Broncos / Najee Harris o49.5, 2u -101
 
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Good start. More plays. More to come, alot of player props not posted.

Vikings -1.5 / Browns +8.5, 2u -120
Vikings / Packers, 4u -107
Browns +7.5 / Niners / Chiefs, 2u -121
Ravens +10, 3u -110
Dolphins -3, 2u -115
Niners 1H -7, 2u -130
Niners / Titans +7.5, 2u -117
Bills / Falcons, 2u -112
Bills / Diggs o59.5, 2u -133
Broncos / Najee Harris o49.5, 2u -101
Update. Got out of Ravens +10. Ate .5u. Earlier reports had Peters, etc. playing but now they are keeping a few key players out.
 
Bored waiting. I've been having success with alt lines on player props, testing it out a bit. Also the McKenzie incentive.

Moss o49.5 / Shaheed o39.5, 1u -123
Akers o59.5 / Metcalf o49.5 +103
Isaiah McKenzie o34.5, 1u -110
Moss o49.5 / Shaheed o39.5 / Akers o59.5 / Metcalf o49.5 / Diggs o59.5 / Harris o49.5, 1u +541
 
Sort of love this one...Dillon gets at least 10 carries per game and I like the price at o24.5 adjusted. Lazard seemingly gets over 40 yards every game as well so just liked the way it shaped up.

Dillon o24.5 / Lazard o39.5, 2u -116
 
+9.4u

Great year all and learned quite a bit on some new angles. Thanks for stopping by as always

@HUNT @B.A.R. i went back and forth on lions tease or packers ML with Vikes. Bittersweet i lost but good to see packers out and i think its great lions turned a corner this year
 
+9.4u

Great year all and learned quite a bit on some new angles. Thanks for stopping by as always

@HUNT @B.A.R. i went back and forth on lions tease or packers ML with Vikes. Bittersweet i lost but good to see packers out and i think its great lions turned a corner this year

Great work bro
 
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