Tail or Fade: NFL Week 10

rambler882

Head of the Justin Fields Fan Club
Season: 84-64, 56.8%, +23.56u
Week 1: 9-10, -1.21u
Week 2: 9-7, +2.2u
Week 3: 16-5, +10.32u
Week 4: 6-5, +3.34u
Week 5: 9-11, -1.72u
Week 6: 9-4, +6.7u
Week 7: 9-10, -1.64u
Week 8: 9-3, +8.0u
Week 9: 8-9, -2.43u

Steelers o27.5, 1u -105

Bears / Packers / Chargers, 1u -109
Bears -1 / Patriots -1, 1u -115
Bengals o24, 1u -110
Buccaneers -3, 1u -125
Cowboys +14 / CLOSED, 1u -115
Giants +3.5, 1u -115
Giants o20.5, 1u -105
Jaguars +3, 2u -110
Packers -5 / OPEN, 1u -115
Seahawks +17 / OPEN, 1u -105
Seahawks +17 / OPEN, 1u -105
Browns +6, 1u -110
Browns o23, .75u -105
 
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For those curious, 5D games the numbers in teasers where they’ll show Seahawks +11.5 -140 and Rams -11.5 +120 to limit exposure on teasing favorites down.

Typically I use 5D to tease dogs up as you can see can get good value at a much cheaper cost. Whereas Bovada to get 17.5 (remember i post ties win) would be -140 vs my -105.

This is entirely a value play on a good, solid team getting 17.
 
Think I’m really liking the jags this week myself., not sure I love Seattle but they a must for me getting dd. Gl as always
 
Think I’m really liking the jags this week myself., not sure I love Seattle but they a must for me getting dd. Gl as always
Awesome. Yea once/if Fournette is officially 100% i assume line moves fast so locked it in.

Seattle getting 17 at 105 was too much value to pass up in a teaser. Entirely value play vs “numbers”. That said, +10 is real solid too.
 
Regarding bears/Pats teaser. It is somewhat homer play but all the numbers suggest bears dominate every facet of game. That said, im nervous. Lions-Vikings-Lions with SNF and Thanksgiving on deck....

A ml parlay of the 2 was -120 but teasing to a ML was -115. Small value and i bit.

Favorite play on Bears game will be their TT
 
Cowboys +14 / CLOSED, 1u -115

Another 5D special. Posting Dallas +8 -130. Can use a +6 ties win teaser at -115 for key number. They do this to protect ML teases with Philly. Anyway figured I’ll share context as I rarely post the why behing plays.

Yes. I know. London then bye means auto play says the trend guys. This is Eagles run defense being below to average this season vs Zeke and a motivated Dallas team to win a divisional game because this is it. Maybe Eagles suddenly become last years team but the 14 is a gift by 5D in a teaser.

I like the 7 but this fell in my lap.
 
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Bears / Packers / Chargers, 1u -109
Bears -1 / Patriots -1, 1u -115
Bengals o24, 1u -110
Buccaneers -3, 1u -125
Cowboys +14 / CLOSED, 1u -115
Giants +3.5, 1u -115
Giants o20.5, 1u -105
Jaguars +3, 2u -110
Packers -5 / OPEN, 1u -115
Seahawks +17 / OPEN, 1u -105
Seahawks +17 / OPEN, 1u -105
Steelers o27.5, 1u -105
 
Cowboys +14 / CLOSED, 1u -115

Another 5D special. Posting Dallas +8 -130. Can use a +6 ties win teaser at -115 for key number. They do this to protect ML teases with Philly. Anyway figured I’ll share context as I rarely post the why behing plays.

Yes. I know. London then bye means auto play says the trend guys. This is Eagles run defense being below to average this season vs Zeke and a motivated Dallas team to win a divisional game because this is it. Maybe Eagles suddenly become last years team but the 14 is a gift by 5D in a teaser.

I like the 7 but this fell in my lap.
by the way this has since moved to +9 -130...even cheaper to get to the +14
 
Season: 91-67, 57.6%, +26.81u
Week 1: 9-10, -1.21u
Week 2: 9-7, +2.2u
Week 3: 16-5, +10.32u
Week 4: 6-5, +3.34u
Week 5: 9-11, -1.72u
Week 6: 9-4, +6.7u
Week 7: 9-10, -1.64u
Week 8: 9-3, +8.0u
Week 9: 8-9, -2.43u
Week 10: 7-3, +3.25u

Nice week 10 hitting the first leg on 3 teasers as well.
 
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