Tail or Fade: NFL Playoffs

[rambler882]

Season: -11.18u

Overall, solid season despite being down. Tried alot of new types of bets/angles and learned quite a bit. Went off a deep end inevitably per usual, weathered a -70u run and have strung together +25u over the last 5 weeks including a -9u week. Had a fun time, most of the time this season and thanks to all who stop by.

Futures bought pre-season and during season:
Buccaneers 1u, +2500
Chargers, 1u +2400
Bengals, 1u +2000
Niners, 1u +1500

Dead futures - Packers +4000 bought mid-season. Panthers +5000 when was a top 3 spot for Watson (dumb)

I've done my first round of analysis on the playoffs, gave a good grasp at what I'd like to play, just letting it marinade right now.

 

[B.A.R.]

Let's go Niners!

Great grab on Cincy preseason.

I have a Chargers future too but don't think much of it obviously with the big 3 in-conference.

 

[rambler882]

Let's go Niners!

Great grab on Cincy preseason.

I have a Chargers future too but don't think much of it obviously with the big 3 in-conference.

Niners Bengals matchup please

 

[rambler882]

So far....if Buccaneers gets back to +3 I'll add another 2u there

George Kittle o3.5, 2u -135
Chargers -2.5, 2u -106
Chargers / Bills, 2u -111
Chargers +3.5 / Buccaneers +8.5, 2u -120
Giants +3, 3u -114
Ravens +8.5, 2u -110
Ravens +14 / Niners -4, 2u -120
Buccaneers +3.5 / Brady o199.5, 2u -115

Etienne o59.5 / Cook o49.5 / Allen o49.5, 2u +109
Chargers / Niners / Ravens +14.5 / Buccaneers +3.5 / Etienne o59.5 / Cook o49.5 / Allen o49.5, 1u +934

 

[rambler882]

Niners / Mitchell o24.5 / Jefferson o69.5, 2u -117

 

[rambler882]

Niners 1H -5.5 / u42.5 / Kittle o24.5 / Mitchell o24.5, 1u +435

 

[rambler882]

Chargers / Allen o39.5, 1u -105

 

[rambler882]

Trying to shake off feeling tilted after Chargers blow 27-0 lead. Was out at dinner and not watching, focused as I typically would have middled.

Still feeling corse.

 

[rambler882]

Giants +3, 3u -114
Giants +7.5 / Hodgins o24.5, 1u -125
Giants +9 / Ravens +15, 1u -120

Ravens +14 / Niners -4, 2u -120
Ravens +8.5, 2u -110
Ravens +9, 1u -115

Buccaneers +3.5 / Bills, 2u -116
Buccaneers +3.5 / Brady o199.5, 2u -116
Buccaneers +8.5 / Chargers +3.5, 2u -120

Cook o59.5 / Andrews o24.5, 2u -134
Diggs o49.5 / Hill o49.5, 2u -120
Davis o24.5 / Hodgins o24.5 / Barkley o49.5, 2u -104
Etienne o59.5 / Cook o49.5 / Allen o49.5, 2u +109
Jeff Wilson Jr. o14.5 rec yards, 1u -115
Jeff Wilson Jr. o2.5, 1u +114
Joe Burrow u270.5, 1u -115

 

[B.A.R.]

Get after it.

 

[rambler882]

Giants +3, 3u -114
Giants +7.5 / Hodgins o24.5, 1u -125
Giants +9 / Ravens +15, 1u -120

Ravens +14 / Niners -4, 2u -120
Ravens +8.5, 2u -110
Ravens +9, 1u -115

Buccaneers +3.5 / Bills, 2u -116
Buccaneers +3.5 / Brady o199.5, 2u -116
Buccaneers +8.5 / Chargers +3.5, 2u -120

Cook o59.5 / Andrews o24.5, 2u -134
Diggs o49.5 / Hill o49.5, 2u -120
Davis o24.5 / Hodgins o24.5 / Barkley o49.5, 2u -104
Etienne o59.5 / Cook o49.5 / Allen o49.5, 2u +109
Jeff Wilson Jr. o14.5 rec yards, 1u -115
Jeff Wilson Jr. o2.5, 1u +114
Joe Burrow u270.5, 1u -115

Alt lines paid off on saquon and cook paid off. Meanwhile davis diggs and hodgins cruise. Dick hands wilson cost me.

Still pissed about chargers.

 

[HUNT]

Way to clean it up bro

 

[rambler882]

Way to clean it up bro

Thank you sir. Read the majority very well and up a few units. Chargers fucked me but silver lining getting up 27-0 is a win 99% of time sooo. Then other losses were waffled on kittle v eli alt yards, then dick hands wilson jr dropping 2 easy balls.

Clearly love the bucs. OL coming back is a big part of it

 

[HUNT]

Thank you sir. Read the majority very well and up a few units. Chargers fucked me but silver lining getting up 27-0 is a win 99% of time sooo. Then other losses were waffled on kittle v eli alt yards, then dick hands wilson jr dropping 2 easy balls.

Clearly love the bucs. OL coming back is a big part of it

You and I are against each other on the bucs/Cowboys game but that's probably a good thing for you since my pre game bets have been mostly shit this weekend.

 

[rambler882]

You and I are against each other on the bucs/Cowboys game but that's probably a good thing for you since my pre game bets have been mostly shit this weekend.

Haha ill post when home my angles

 

[rambler882]

Remaining Plays.

Buccaneers +3.5 / Bills, 2u -116
Buccaneers +3.5 / Brady o199.5, 2u -116
Buccaneers +8.5 / Chargers +3.5, 2u -120

Key pieces for me on why I like the Buccaneers. Brady over Dak in experience, cannot say this enough as mattering. Dallas defense is built on getting to QB, Brady gets it out quick plus Smith, Wirfs, and possibly Jensen on OL are back...that is huge. Defensively Buccaneers are weaker vs. run but have been improving there as players have gotten healthy, same goes for their DBs, Carlton Davis is back.

When you look at skill positions, the Buccaneers (to me) have a big advantage with both Godwin and Evans. RBs Pollard is the best of the bunch but Fournette/White fit the offense very well and TB is the most pass happy team.

OLs statistically are about even, pass rush statistically about even...then there is the head coaches. Maybe Arians helps out? Call it all a wash because speculation.

So, boiling it all down:
1. Brady
2. Bucs getting healthier
3. HFA

Will be looking into some player props in a bit.

 

[rambler882]

Remaining Plays.

Buccaneers +3.5 / Bills, 2u -116
Buccaneers +3.5 / Brady o199.5, 2u -116
Buccaneers +8.5 / Chargers +3.5, 2u -120

Key pieces for me on why I like the Buccaneers. Brady over Dak in experience, cannot say this enough as mattering. Dallas defense is built on getting to QB, Brady gets it out quick plus Smith, Wirfs, and possibly Jensen on OL are back...that is huge. Defensively Buccaneers are weaker vs. run but have been improving there as players have gotten healthy, same goes for their DBs, Carlton Davis is back.

When you look at skill positions, the Buccaneers (to me) have a big advantage with both Godwin and Evans. RBs Pollard is the best of the bunch but Fournette/White fit the offense very well and TB is the most pass happy team.

OLs statistically are about even, pass rush statistically about even...then there is the head coaches. Maybe Arians helps out? Call it all a wash because speculation.

So, boiling it all down:
1. Brady
2. Bucs getting healthier
3. HFA

Will be looking into some player props in a bit.

Godwin o39.5 / Fournette o24.5 / Schultz o24.5, 2u +120
Godwin o49.5 / Fournette o24.5 / Schultz o24.5 / Brady o249.5 / Buccaneers +7.5 / Eagles ML, 1u +447 (free bet)
Brady o249.5 / Godwin o49.5, 1u -119
Mike Evans TD, 1u +195

 

[B.A.R.]

Good luck sir

 

[rambler882]

Good luck sir

Im 100% gonna need it.

 

[B.A.R.]

Im 100% gonna need it.

Without luck, I'd never lose.