Tail or Fade: NFL Playoffs

Why the Texans
  • Allen 1st playoff game on the road
  • Allen a good runner, average passer meanwhile Watson is strong in both...edge to Texans
  • I do expect a form of emotional boost with Watt back. Not motivational because it is the playoffs, but something to be said with your best player returning on defense
  • Fuller is expected to play as of now and when he plays it opens up the entire offense
  • Bills OL has holes and with Watt back it should be exploited to a larger extent than normal

I will say the BIlls rate out higher based on regular season advanced metrics but it is hard to diagnose tied to injuries and the playoffs being a different beast. Both OLs have gaps and I do believe this will come down to which QB is better equipped to handle it and which pass rush will be more disruptive. Texans get the check mark for each.
 
Futures; each 1u:
Seahawks +4000
Packers +2200

Bears +1850
Falcons +3750
Chargers +2150

@B.A.R. any thoughts on hedging Seahawks today?
 
Chiefs -9.5, 1u -105
Chiefs o28, 1u -120
Chiefs -3 / Niners -.5, 1u -130 (ties reduce)
Niners -2 / OPEN, 1u -105
Titans +10, 1u -120
Packers o26, 2u -110
 
Playoffs: 8-2, +4.44u. Patriots 4u monster bet hurt a bit hah

Packers / Chiefs (conf. championship), 1u -107
Packers 1H -3, 1u -110
Packers o26, 2u -110
 
Conference Championships
Packers +13 / CLOSED, 1u
Packers SB, 1u +2200
Chiefs -7, 1u -120
Chiefs / CLOSED, 1u -107
 
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Season: 111-116, -4.04u
Playoffs: 12-3, +8.39u

Chiefs ML, 3u -114
Mahomes o303.5, 1u -120
Kelce o6, 1u -150
Tails, 1u -101
 
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