Tail or Fade: CFB Week 7

[rambler882]

Season: 64-51, 55.7%, +6.15u
Week 1: 4-6, -2.89u
Week 2: 5-9, -4.29u
Week 3: 10-6, +3.22u
Week 4: 14-6, +6.43u
Week 5: 12-15, -5.9u
Week 6: 19-9, +9.58u

Appalachian St. -3 / CLOSED, 1u -115
Tulsa +10, 1u -110
Air Force o16.5, .75u -115

Utah-Arizona u52, .75u -101

TCU -7, 1u -120

Appalachian St. -3 / Nebraska +10, 1u -115
Ball St. +3, .5u -125
Ball St. o26, .5u -110
Colorado St. o32, 1u -110
Duke +1, 1u -110
Indiana +4, 1u -117
Indiana +10 / OPEN, 1u -115
Kent St.-Miami OH o57.5, 1u -110
Michigan -9.5, 1u -115
Nebraska +4, 1u -115
Nebraska o28, 1u -110
Notre Dame-Pittsburgh o55, 1u -105
Oregon +3.5, 1u -110
Oregon +4, .5u -105
Penn St. -7 / OPEN, 1u -105
Southern Mississippi +8, 1u -105
Texas A&M -2.5, 1.5u -110
UAB -16.5, 1u -110
UCLA +7, 1u -105
USC -6, 1u -120
Utah St. -24, 1u -110
Vanderbilt +8, 1u -110
West Virginia / Georgia, 1u -105
Wisconsin u19.5, .75u -110
Georgia +7.5 live, 1u -110

 

[rambler882]

Doubling up on App teaser.

 

[undisputed]

I'm loving there tt at 35

 

[rambler882]

I'm loving there tt at 35

They are a class above Ark St.

 

[undisputed]

They are a class above Ark St.

So I guess u are agreeing with my tt play

 

[rambler882]

So I guess u are agreeing with my tt play

35 is quite high and I "think" Tuesday games tend to go under but I don't put much stock into trends like that. For me, being able to cross 7, 6, 3 in a teaser was the best value. Since locked that in I believe it crossed the -11 to -11.5 line so definitely some good value here.

 

[undisputed]

Looks like arky st. Wants to go fast so for me that means more possessions tie appy st. And I'll take it

 

[booksbestfriend]

35 is quite high and I "think" Tuesday games tend to go under but I don't put much stock into trends like that. For me, being able to cross 7, 6, 3 in a teaser was the best value. Since locked that in I believe it crossed the -11 to -11.5 line so definitely some good value here.

That trend died last year, but was strong for at least 4 years before. Probably clipped at around 75%.

 

[rambler882]

That trend died last year, but was strong for at least 4 years before. Probably clipped at around 75%.

Yea I believe it but that is a good reason why I ignore trends from prior years. I get it, I get why folks use it, but at the same time I feel like I can find a trend every game that supports a play so after years of getting burned by trends I just ignore.

To your point, you made a killing for years so that's good. I'm just not a big trend guy.

 

[rambler882]

TCU -7, 1u -120

 

[B.A.R.]

Good number good luck

 

[rambler882]

Good number good luck

-7 at -115 @ Bovada right now.

 

[rambler882]

Friday boredom plays.

Tulsa +10, 1u -110
Air Force o16.5, .75u -115
Utah-Arizona u52, .75u -101

 

[rambler882]

Nice lil 2-0-1 last night. Bad news is work has been insane this week, my laptop broke, I'm on my POS home laptop and all of the work I did throughout the week is missing now haha. Going to stitch together a card here in a bit.

 

[rambler882]

updated card. enjoy

 

[rambler882]

Forgot I bet Utah St. -24 earlier in week. After betting UNLV early last week, QB getting ruled out, and they looked utterly abysmal I wanted to fade them. That said, Utah St. off of a big win it is not a sure lock but I went for it.

 

[rambler882]

Georgia +7.5 live, 1u -110

 

[rambler882]

West Virginia 2H -2.5, .75u -110

Sucker bet.

 

[rambler882]

Somehow will be up on day despite bad live bets and a few big misreads.

 

[rambler882]

Season: 81-64, 55.9%, +8.86u
Week 1: 4-6, -2.89u
Week 2: 5-9, -4.29u
Week 3: 10-6, +3.22u
Week 4: 14-6, +6.43u
Week 5: 12-15, -5.9u
Week 6: 19-9, +9.58u
Week 7: 17-13, +2.71u