Tail or Fade: CFB Week 13

rambler882

Head of the Justin Fields Fan Club
Season: 90-95, -24.48u
Week 2: 2-3, -1.28u
Week 3: 1-3, -2.3u
Week 4: 2-6, -4.7u
Week 5: 8-4, +3.6u
Week 6: 6-6, -.92u
Week 7: 12-7, +2.52u
Week 8: 17-5, +11.46u
Week 9: 7-11, -5.11u
Week 10: 11-12, -1.38u
Week 11: 11-19, -15.32u
Week 12: 11-19, -11.05u

Alabama 1H -14, 1u -110
Baylor -5.5, 1u -108
Clemson 1H -13.5, 2u -110
Clemson -23.5, 1u -108
Louisville +1, 2u -110
Maryland +12.5, 1u -110
Maryland +11.5, 1u -110
Penn St.-Michigan o56.5, 2u -108
Georgia -22, 1u -110
Missouri -14, 1u -115
Purdue -11, 2u -110
San Jose St.-Boise St. o58, 1u -115
LSU o21.5, 1.5u -108

Nebraska +14.5, 1u -115

New Mexico -5.5, 1u -114
Texas Pk, 2u -105
North Carolina-Notre Dame o68.5, .75u -106
North Carolina o30.5, 1u -125
Central Michigan-Eastern Michigan o59, 1u -110
Stanford -2, 2u -110
UNLV +16.5, 1u -105
UNLV ML, .25u +590
 
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Thanks my dudes, was up at 1:30am analyzing games haha. Hopefully we get some profit today!
 
Tough L with Texas when they could have easily kicked a FG to go up 7, instead went for it on 4th and short. Perplexing. Hate losing on just awful coaching.
 
Rough start with 2 tough losses on my 2u plays. Per above, at a minimum Texas game should have went to OT. Stanford I was looking at Pk for a few days but bought it at -2....just missing the good line.

1-8, -8.89u on the week, but shooters shoot.

Alabama 1H -14, 1u -110
Baylor -5.5, 1u -108
Clemson 1H -13.5, 2u -110
Clemson -23.5, 1u -108
Louisville +1, 2u -110
Maryland +12.5, 1u -110
Missouri -14, 1u -115
Ohio St. -28, 1u -105
Ohio St. -27, 1u -110
Purdue -11, 2u -110
Purdue / Virginia / Baylor, 1u +140
Purdue -4.5 / Virginia -2.5, 1u -115
San Jose St.-Boise St. o58, 1u -115

Looking to add 2nd unit to Maryland, Penn St., LSU TT.
 
Tough L with Texas when they could have easily kicked a FG to go up 7, instead went for it on 4th and short. Perplexing. Hate losing on just awful coaching.

the fake punt before that was equally as dumb. Coach def gave that game away. He was calling the game like it was a shootout not a grind it out battle.
 
the fake punt before that was equally as dumb. Coach def gave that game away. He was calling the game like it was a shootout not a grind it out battle.
Yea, sometimes shooters go cold but I'll heat up, no doubt in my mind. Still think Texas/Stanford were the right plays and just gotta stick to how I analyze.
 
Yea, sometimes shooters go cold but I'll heat up, no doubt in my mind. Still think Texas/Stanford were the right plays and just gotta stick to how I analyze.

I agree, I think you were on right side of both just bad luck on the outcomes. I hated today’s card, somehow managed to lay off and not play anything, hoping it pays off 2marro!!
 
I agree, I think you were on right side of both just bad luck on the outcomes. I hated today’s card, somehow managed to lay off and not play anything, hoping it pays off 2marro!!
I'm sure you've posted but I've been under water in life, who are you liking tomorrow?
 
Yea I'm gonna add to Maryland myself, hoping it moves to 13 or 14 for my 2nd unit there.

yea I been waiting on them to see if it bounces back up but I’ll take them with anything more than 10. Looks like some cold rain in forecast, not real sure who that would favor?? Was kinda leaning over till I saw that. Check out sjst, I really think they gonna beat boise.
 
yea I been waiting on them to see if it bounces back up but I’ll take them with anything more than 10. Looks like some cold rain in forecast, not real sure who that would favor?? Was kinda leaning over till I saw that. Check out sjst, I really think they gonna beat boise.
I took the over there but did like what I saw, the only hesitation I had is SJST pass defense
 
I took the over there but did like what I saw, the only hesitation I had is SJST pass defense

I suppose that fair, I’m not real sure bout their pass d cause they havnt faced many accomplished passing attacks, I do like their front and ability to get pressure tho and boise hasn’t been great protecting the qb so I think the pass rush will be able to offset any problems the back end might have. I been drooling over this sjst team since last year, not ready to stop now. I think dd is kinda redic, I’ll def be getting a taste that money line!!
 
Maryland +11.5, 1u -110
Penn St.-Michigan o56.5, 2u -108
Georgia -22, 1u -110
 
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Total bullshit, Bovada will not refund UVA because it is in a teaser and a parlay. So essentially I have to pay -250 to -300 on what is essentially an alternate line. I bet if I win they refund, if I lose they keep the money. What pricks. I might switch platforms from Bovada because of this.

Draftkings, BetRivers, WilliamHill...any recommendations?
 
The plunge continues into the abyss. Woof. Perhaps gambling on kids with covid, school, partying, constant distractions, etc. isn't a smart thing? I'm just going to set a target to get back to -15u on the season as a goal. Gonna go full on Major League with this one. One unit at a time.

Season: 97-112, -39.98u
Week 2: 2-3, -1.28u
Week 3: 1-3, -2.3u
Week 4: 2-6, -4.7u
Week 5: 8-4, +3.6u
Week 6: 6-6, -.92u
Week 7: 12-7, +2.52u
Week 8: 17-5, +11.46u
Week 9: 7-11, -5.11u
Week 10: 11-12, -1.38u
Week 11: 11-19, -15.32u
Week 12: 11-19, -11.05u
Week 13: 7-17, -15.5u
 
Right there with ya this week as I went 1-6 and really wasn't close on most...Having 2 of my games canceled due to Covid was probably for the best as I would probably have been 1-8 if that hadn't happened. Good thing is...week 14 lines are coming out shortly, so time to get back on that horse!
 
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