Tail or Fade: CFB Week 11

rambler882

rambler882

Head of the Justin Fields Fan Club
Season: 129-101, 56.1%, +15.62u
Week 1: 4-6, -2.89u
Week 2: 5-9, -4.29u
Week 3: 10-6, +3.22u
Week 4: 14-6, +6.43u
Week 5: 12-15, -5.9u
Week 6: 19-9, +9.58u
Week 7: 17-13, +2.71u
Week 8: 17-7, +9.38u
Week 9: 13-16, -5.1u
Week 10: 18-14, +2.48u

Miami Ohio +6, 75u -115
Miami Ohio o27.5, .75u -110
Northern Illinois -3, 1u -125

NC State -17, 1u -105
Fresno St. -3, 1u -115

Ohio St. -3, 2u -127
Kentucky -4, 1u -110
Purdue -6 / OPEN, 1u +101
UCLA-Arizona St. o59.5, 1u -110
Kansas +12, 1u -110
Nebraska -16.5, 1u -110
UAB-Southern Mississippi u46, 1u -110
Vanderbilt +17, 1u -110
Oklahoma -13 / CLOSED, 1u +105
California u21, 1u -110
Miami Florida +3, 1.5u -105
Georgia Tech u28.5, .75u -110
Penn St. -3 / OPEN, 1u -105
Mississippi o27.5, 1.5u -110
Georgia Southern +1, 1u -108
North Texas -14, 1u -105
Texas o32, 1u -110
Texas ML, .75u -130
TCU +11.5, .75u -102
Temple +4.5, .75u -105
TCU +18 / Temple +11, .75u -115
TCU +18 / UCLA +17, .75u +101
UL Monroe / Florida, 1u -107
Notre Dame -10 / CLOSED, 1u -115
North Carolina +11, 1u -110
Ohio St. / Iowa, 1u -106
South Florida +14.5, 1u -107
 
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Got through the first half of the card reviewing at a macro level what sides I like. Here is where I'll keep looking into...

BYU -14
Miami OH +4 or TT
Syracuse TT
Mississippi +12 or TT
Colorado
TCU +14.5
Maryland +4 (most likely stay away)
Iowa
Penn St.
Vanderbilt +14.5
Nebraska -17 or TT
Florida
Oklahoma St.-Oklahoma over
Iowa St. -14
Northern Illinois -3
Troy Pk
North Texas -14 or TT
Arizona St.
Virginia Tech-Pittsburgh over
Virginia Tech TT
Air Force teaser
UL Monroe TT
 
Updated card. Where I'll be focusing deeper...
Air Force
California TT under
Colorado
Florida
Iowa St.
Iowa
Miami Florida
Miami Ohio
Mississippi
North Texas
Penn St.
Syracuse TT
TCU
Temple
Texas TT
UCLA
UL Monroe TT
Utah
Virginia Tech TT
 
Miami Ohio +6, 75u -115
Miami Ohio o27.5, .75u -110

Edit was able to buy off +5 and lock in +6.

Adding unit to Ohio St. -3, -125
 
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Good luck. I am in a totals funk which I have not experienced in years. A few duds (UVA tt last Friday) and a few WTF like Iowa St TT failing to break 30.5 after not being able to score a TD from the 1 against Kansas and having 27 early in the 3rd and go scoreless the rest of the way. A bit gun shy to take anything right now, although Ohio St, UCF and Clemson TT's are on my radar.
 
J. Ru Perrot said:
Good luck. I am in a totals funk which I have not experienced in years. A few duds (UVA tt last Friday) and a few WTF like Iowa St TT failing to break 30.5 after not being able to score a TD from the 1 against Kansas and having 27 early in the 3rd and go scoreless the rest of the way. A bit gun shy to take anything right now, although Ohio St, UCF and Clemson TT's are on my radar.
Click to expand...
Im not certain the TT off the top of my head but my 2u play is tOSU so naturally i like anything associated there.

I am fine paying the juice to get to -3 and if it drops to -3 ill add another unit. Frankly im very low on MSU and theres too much chatter shitting on OSU. People thought theyd roll Nebraska but Nebraska has the offense to keep up within a big number.

Maybe im way off but not certain how MSU secondary keep osu in check enough while the offense will need to put up at least 24.
 
Seeing a few lines I was waiting on went against me. TCU was hoping for 14 and it dropped to 11. TBD there now.
 
California u21, 1u -110
Miami Florida +3, 1.5u -105
Penn St. -3 / OPEN, 1u -105
Mississippi o27.5, 1.5u -110
North Texas -14, 1u -105
Georgia Southern +1, 1u -108
Texas o32, 1u -110
TCU +11.5, .75u -102
Temple +4.5, .75u -105
TCU +18 / Temple +11, .75u -115
UL Monroe / Florida, 1u -107
Notre Dame -10 / CLOSED, 1u -115
North Carolina +11, 1u -110
 
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Hey squad. Going to be at gym for the next 90 or so and if you have any questions on any game lob it out. I reviewed almost all games this week and can give a quick summary of what i found.

If not, BOL all.
 
Thrilled i made a mistake on tcu and after thinking on ole miss tt vs side i chose TT. sigh sigh sigh
 
15-15, -1.72

California u21... just kicking off
UAB-Southern Mississippi u47...20-20 setting up for OT

Outside shot of somehow ending up a few bucks lol
 
Tough losses on my two totals today. A hook & OT. Will lose about 2-3 units all said and done. Will begin to limit my plays come next week as I've been playing with fire playing 25+ each week.

Or I'll play 30+ again....on to NFL!
 
rambler882 said:
Tough losses on my two totals today. A hook & OT. Will lose about 2-3 units all said and done. Will begin to limit my plays come next week as I've been playing with fire playing 25+ each week.

Or I'll play 30+ again....on to NFL!
Click to expand...

I feel you.....lol

I had 40 plays today too.......hard to limit myself...
 
SIGO said:
Why do you like Miami so much? Good luck on the late games.
Click to expand...
Sorry just seeing this. Primary tbeir run defense and success against option teams. Secondary GT can be exposed in run.

Was mostly a play on miami success vs option + top 10 defense. Didnt work out entirely.
 
Season: 145-117, 55.3%, +13.8u
Week 1: 4-6, -2.89u
Week 2: 5-9, -4.29u
Week 3: 10-6, +3.22u
Week 4: 14-6, +6.43u
Week 5: 12-15, -5.9u
Week 6: 19-9, +9.58u
Week 7: 17-13, +2.71u
Week 8: 17-7, +9.38u
Week 9: 13-16, -5.1u
Week 10: 18-14, +2.48u
Week 11: 16-16, -1.82u
 
The collapse by tcu to end the first half basically caused them to lose hope at halftime had them and under and those five minutes basically killed both). Usm/uab overtime bleh
 
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