System Plays NFL Week 14 / YTD 92-54-7 (63%)

[PappyOSU]

Best of luck to all NFL week 14. Ill do my best to help everyone pick some winners.

NFL thread below, CFB Bowl Game thread will be separate. Lets finish strong.

Combined YTD Record Splits Update - NFL and CFB

	Unit P&L	Win	Loss	Push	Win %
Overall	85	219	151	11	59.19%
CFB Spread Record	26.5	117	93	4	55.71%
CFB Totals Record	5.5	10	4	0	71.43%
NFL Spread Record	45	69	43	6	61.61%
NFL Totals Record	8	23	11	1	67.65%
	Unit P&L	Win	Loss	Push	Win %
Overall	85	219	151	11	59.19%
CFB Week 0	1.5	3	0	0	100.00%
CFB Week 1	3	12	4	0	75.00%
CFB Week 2	2.5	10	6	1	62.50%
CFB Week 3	3	9	7	0	56.25%
CFB Week 4	9	10	7	0	58.82%
CFB Week 5	-5.5	10	11	1	47.62%
CFB Week 6	-8	7	9	0	43.75%
CFB Week 7	5.5	9	5	1	64.29%
CFB Week 8	5.5	9	3	0	75.00%
CFB Week 9	-1.5	6	11	0	35.29%
CFB Week 10	4.5	11	8	0	57.89%
CFB Week 11	0	9	9	0	50.00%
CFB Week 12	10.5	11	5	0	68.75%
CFB Week 13	-3.5	6	10	1	37.50%
CFB Conf Title	5.5	5	2	0	71.43%
NFL Week 1	11.5	11	3	0	78.57%
NFL Week 2	5.5	8	4	1	66.67%
NFL Week 3	14.5	10	2	2	83.33%
NFL Week 4	7.5	9	5	0	64.29%
NFL Week 5	6	9	4	0	69.23%
NFL Week 6	-2.5	4	7	0	36.36%
NFL Week 7	2	2	2	0	50.00%
NFL Week 8	1	8	4	0	66.67%
NFL Week 9	6.5	7	5	2	58.33%
NFL Week 10	2	9	6	0	60.00%
NFL Week 11	-1	5	5	2	50.00%
NFL Week 12	-3.5	6	5	0	54.55%
NFL Week 13	3.5	4	2	0	66.67%
	Unit P&L	Win	Loss	Push	Win %
Overall	85	219	151	11	59.19%
3 Unit Bets	15	21	16	2	56.76%
2.5 Unit Bets	7.5	21	18	3	53.85%
2 Unit Bets	22	31	20	0	60.78%
1.5 Unit Bets	12	30	22	3	57.69%
1 Unit Bets	16	51	35	1	59.30%
0.5 Unit Bets	12.5	65	40	2	61.90%

 

[Eric Antrobus]

Good stuff man. Killing it on the totals.

 

[PappyOSU]

Good stuff man. Killing it on the totals.

Thanks man, Ill do what I can to keep it going here. Best of luck to you!

 

[PappyOSU]

Final Composite Scores - NFL Week 14

NFL Spread YTD 69-43-6 (62%)
NFL Totals YTD 23-11-1 (68%)

Pick	Source Count	Composite Score	Recommended Units
Giants +7	27	70	3 (Max Bet)
PHI/NYG Under 45	9	NA	3 (Max Bet)
Browns +5.5	26	59	2.5
Lions -2	24	57	2.5
Broncos +9	22	54	2.5
Cardinals +2	19	45	2
Jets +10	20	38	1.5
Titans -3.5	26	33	1.5
KC/DEN Under 44	5	NA	1
Ravens +2	19	16	0.5
Texans +17.5	16	15	0.5
HOU/DAL Under 44	3	NA	0.5
Chargers +3.5	20	13	FYI
Panthers +4	18	11	FYI
Bucs +3.5	18	10	FYI

Hopefully this information helps pick some winners. Best of luck to all this week.

EDIT: CLE/CIN Under 46.5 was the next best total. Just missed the cut for a 0.5 unit play

 

[emg2525]

Final Composite Scores - NFL Week 14

NFL Spread YTD 69-43-6 (62%)
NFL Totals YTD 23-11-1 (68%)

Pick	Source Count	Composite Score	Recommended Units
Giants +7	27	70	3 (Max Bet)
PHI/NYG Under 45	9	NA	3 (Max Bet)
Browns +5.5	26	59	2.5
Lions -2	24	57	2.5
Broncos +9	22	54	2.5
Cardinals +2	19	45	2
Jets +10	20	38	1.5
Titans -3.5	26	33	1.5
KC/DEN Under 44	5	NA	1
Ravens +2	19	16	0.5
Texans +17.5	16	15	0.5
HOU/DAL Under 44	3	NA	0.5
Chargers +3.5	20	13	FYI
Panthers +4	18	11	FYI
Bucs +3.5	18	10	FYI

Hopefully this information helps pick some winners. Best of luck to all this week.

EDIT: CLE/CIN Under 46.5 was the next best total. Just missed the cut for a 0.5 unit play

Good stuff! Out of curiosity, are the max plays impacted by Barkley’s availability? GL!

 

[PappyOSU]

Good stuff! Out of curiosity, are the max plays impacted by Barkley’s availability? GL!

Good question thanks for asking. Injuries and weather are accounted for as best as possible as I collect data throughout the week. Most of the individual sources I score throughout the week already account for these risk factors when they make their picks (except for computer models and trend data). Then before posting the final results I make any minor adjustments to early week source scoring that I think may be a bit compromised or didn’t account for the current information. So to answer your question, yes the injury information is factored into the final scoring/recommendation results, and the max play is not impacted.

Barkley is one of the few non-QBs that are worth more than a half point against the spread (Barkley is worth a full point). He is going to play, but will likely be a bit limited and you are starting to see the Giants catch +7.5 I think as a result…