How to Bet on Super Bowl LIX Props
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Sunday, February 9, 2025 at 6:30 p.m. ET at Caesars Superdome
How to Bet on Player Props
In order to find the best bets for player props, you'll want to think about a confluence of different factors in a given game.
It's important to identify weaknesses in each team's defense and to discern whether the opposing offense can exploit them. Matchup advantages are something that sportsbooks can't account for because they are not things that one calculates with numbers. Rather, one interprets them to exist.
Moreover, one should consider game script and what it entails.
For example, if you think that the Chiefs will win in a blowout, then you might want to consider the "under" on Saquon Barkley's rush attempt total.
Saquon Barkley's Rush Attempt Total
The spread is close to pk, suggesting that it might be a close game. The Eagles, with their elite defense and their top-caliber running back, have several advantages on both sides of the ball that will certainly prevent them from getting blown out.
They are not going to want to rely on quarterback Jalen Hurts to win for them. As evident in his low passing totals in Philadelphia's first two postseason games, Hurts is a game manager who avoids making mistakes and completes modest passes to help sustain drives.
It is Saquon Barkley who the Eagles want to really carry the offense.
Hence, Barkley reliably amasses a lot of carries in close games and in games against tough opponents.
In Philly's first two postseason games, he accumulated 25 and 26 carries, respectively.
Conversely, when the Eagles blew out Washington last week, Barkley ran the ball only 15 times.
Likewise, in tight regular season games, such as Philadelphia's win over Jacksonville and Philly's season-opener, Barkley had over 23 carries. On the other hand, Barkley had only 14 carries when the Eagles annihilated Dallas on November 10.
If the Eagles won't get blown out, then the only risk of Barkley not reaching his rush attempt total is a Chiefs blowout loss. But one can't expect the two-time defending champs to no-show in the Super Bowl.
Not only will this be a competitive game, but it will also be the last game of the season.
The Eagles preserved Barkley last week because they were able to win comfortably. They will, in the Super Bowl, use him until he has nothing very positive left to give.
Best Bet: Saquon Barkley over 21.5 rush attempts at -115 with Bet365
Saquon Barkley's Rushing Total
Barkley will run the ball a lot, and he will also run for a lot of yards. This prop bet goes hand-in-hand with the last one.
Philly's star running back is a 2,000-yard runner, the NFL's leading rusher. Barkley has continued to excel in the postseason, averaging close to 150 rushing yards per game.
His outlook is great against a Kansas City run defense that just allowed Buffalo's starting running back to average 6.5 YPC and, the week before, Houston's to average 4.9.
The Chiefs continually struggle to contain opposing running backs. Barkley, being the NFL's best one, will continue to thrive.
Best Bet: Saquon Barkley over 113.5 rushing yards at -110 with Bet365
Jalen Hurts' Longest Pass
The over/under for Hurts' longest pass is 35.5 yards.
This number seems way too high. Hurts hasn't completed a pass as long as 32 yards in any of his last seven games.
As the game-manager, he simply doesn't need to make big plays. He can also count on his team's running game.
Best Bet: Jalen Hurts longest pass completion under 35.5 yards at -115 with Bet365
Tight Ends Against Philadelphia's Defense
The Eagles are struggling to contain opposing tight ends.
Last week, Washington quarterback Jayden Daniels was able to rely on tight end Zach Ertz to move the sticks in critical third- and fourth-down situations.
Overall, Ertz led Washington with eleven receptions and 104 receiving yards. He had almost three times as many receptions as any of his teammates.
Philadelphia's struggles against tight ends goes well beyond its last game, though.
Against the Rams, the Eagles conceded seven receptions and 54 receiving yads to tight end Tyler Higbee.
In their first playoff game, against Green Bay, Tucker Kraft accumulated five receptions for 26 yards.
One must expect Kansas City's starting tight end, Travis Kelce, to prolong Philadelphia's struggles.
Kelce is star quarterback Patrick Mahomes' favorite target. Kelce is famous for his ability to get open in general. More specifically, the seven-time All-Pro selection also knows where to go
when a play breaks down and Mahomes is looking for a target on the run.
In his first playoff game, against Houston, Kelce had seven receptions. It is fair to expect him to catch at least as many passes against Philadelphia's defense, which, like Houston's, boasts strong cornerback play that makes life difficult for opposing wide receivers and therefore practically requires opposing quarterbacks to find their tight end.
Best Bet: Travis Kelce over 6.5 receptions at +105 with Bet365
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Sunday, February 9, 2025 at 6:30 p.m. ET at Caesars Superdome
How to Bet on Player Props
In order to find the best bets for player props, you'll want to think about a confluence of different factors in a given game.
It's important to identify weaknesses in each team's defense and to discern whether the opposing offense can exploit them. Matchup advantages are something that sportsbooks can't account for because they are not things that one calculates with numbers. Rather, one interprets them to exist.
Moreover, one should consider game script and what it entails.
For example, if you think that the Chiefs will win in a blowout, then you might want to consider the "under" on Saquon Barkley's rush attempt total.
Saquon Barkley's Rush Attempt Total
The spread is close to pk, suggesting that it might be a close game. The Eagles, with their elite defense and their top-caliber running back, have several advantages on both sides of the ball that will certainly prevent them from getting blown out.
They are not going to want to rely on quarterback Jalen Hurts to win for them. As evident in his low passing totals in Philadelphia's first two postseason games, Hurts is a game manager who avoids making mistakes and completes modest passes to help sustain drives.
It is Saquon Barkley who the Eagles want to really carry the offense.
Hence, Barkley reliably amasses a lot of carries in close games and in games against tough opponents.
In Philly's first two postseason games, he accumulated 25 and 26 carries, respectively.
Conversely, when the Eagles blew out Washington last week, Barkley ran the ball only 15 times.
Likewise, in tight regular season games, such as Philadelphia's win over Jacksonville and Philly's season-opener, Barkley had over 23 carries. On the other hand, Barkley had only 14 carries when the Eagles annihilated Dallas on November 10.
If the Eagles won't get blown out, then the only risk of Barkley not reaching his rush attempt total is a Chiefs blowout loss. But one can't expect the two-time defending champs to no-show in the Super Bowl.
Not only will this be a competitive game, but it will also be the last game of the season.
The Eagles preserved Barkley last week because they were able to win comfortably. They will, in the Super Bowl, use him until he has nothing very positive left to give.
Best Bet: Saquon Barkley over 21.5 rush attempts at -115 with Bet365
Saquon Barkley's Rushing Total
Barkley will run the ball a lot, and he will also run for a lot of yards. This prop bet goes hand-in-hand with the last one.
Philly's star running back is a 2,000-yard runner, the NFL's leading rusher. Barkley has continued to excel in the postseason, averaging close to 150 rushing yards per game.
His outlook is great against a Kansas City run defense that just allowed Buffalo's starting running back to average 6.5 YPC and, the week before, Houston's to average 4.9.
The Chiefs continually struggle to contain opposing running backs. Barkley, being the NFL's best one, will continue to thrive.
Best Bet: Saquon Barkley over 113.5 rushing yards at -110 with Bet365
Jalen Hurts' Longest Pass
The over/under for Hurts' longest pass is 35.5 yards.
This number seems way too high. Hurts hasn't completed a pass as long as 32 yards in any of his last seven games.
As the game-manager, he simply doesn't need to make big plays. He can also count on his team's running game.
Best Bet: Jalen Hurts longest pass completion under 35.5 yards at -115 with Bet365
Tight Ends Against Philadelphia's Defense
The Eagles are struggling to contain opposing tight ends.
Last week, Washington quarterback Jayden Daniels was able to rely on tight end Zach Ertz to move the sticks in critical third- and fourth-down situations.
Overall, Ertz led Washington with eleven receptions and 104 receiving yards. He had almost three times as many receptions as any of his teammates.
Philadelphia's struggles against tight ends goes well beyond its last game, though.
Against the Rams, the Eagles conceded seven receptions and 54 receiving yads to tight end Tyler Higbee.
In their first playoff game, against Green Bay, Tucker Kraft accumulated five receptions for 26 yards.
One must expect Kansas City's starting tight end, Travis Kelce, to prolong Philadelphia's struggles.
Kelce is star quarterback Patrick Mahomes' favorite target. Kelce is famous for his ability to get open in general. More specifically, the seven-time All-Pro selection also knows where to go
when a play breaks down and Mahomes is looking for a target on the run.
In his first playoff game, against Houston, Kelce had seven receptions. It is fair to expect him to catch at least as many passes against Philadelphia's defense, which, like Houston's, boasts strong cornerback play that makes life difficult for opposing wide receivers and therefore practically requires opposing quarterbacks to find their tight end.
Best Bet: Travis Kelce over 6.5 receptions at +105 with Bet365
