SUPER BOWL CHAMPION 2025-2026

L

Loves2kickass

Here to cap the games
One more week! Final Tiers posted at the conclusion of week 4, at which time the Tiers dont change. I'll update the final Tiers with conference playoff seed each week thereafter.

Below are the results for the past 22 seasons. Last season both Super Bowl particpinats were 2nd Tier teams but as you see below the 1st Tier is the prime spot with a significant edge. 4th Tier - 7th Tier teams have never participated in the Super Bowl during this time span.

SUPER BOWL PARTICIPANT L22 YEARS (2004-2025)
1ST TIER 29/44, 66%
2ND TIER 11/44, 25%
3RD TIER 4/44, 9%
4TH TIER 0/44, 0%
5TH TIER 0/44, 0%
6TH TIER 0/44, 0%
7TH TIER 0/44, 0%

SUPER BOWL CHAMPION L22 YEARS (2004-2025)
1ST TIER 16/22, 73%
2ND TIER 4/22, 18%
3RD TIER 2/22, 9%
4TH TIER 0/22, 0%
5TH TIER 0/22, 0%
6TH TIER 0/22, 0%
7TH TIER 0/22, 0%

1ST TIER SUPER BOWL WINNING SEASONS
2005, 2006, 2007, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024

2ND TIER SUPER BOWL WINNING SEASONS
2009, 2017, 2018, 2025

3RD TIER SUPER BOWL WINNING SEASONS
2004, 2008


SUPER BOWL TEAMS,TIERS & CONFERENCE SEEDS L 22 YEARS. WINNER IN BOLD.

2025
2PHI (2ND TIER)
1KC (2ND TIER)

2024
3KC (1st Tier)
1SF (1st Tier)

2023
1KC (1st Tier)
1PHI (1st Tier)

2022
4LAR (1st Tier)
4CIN (2nd Tier)

2021
5TB (1st Tier)
1KC (1st Tier)

2020
2KC (1st Tier)
1SF (2nd Tier)

2019
2NE (1st Tier)
2LAR (1st Tier)

2018
1PHI (2nd Tier)
1NE (2nd Tier)

2017
1NE (2nd Tier)
2ATL (3rd Tier)

2016
1DEN (1st Tier)
1CAR (1st Tier)

2015
1NE (1st Tier)
1SEA (1st Tier)

2014
1SEA (1st Tier)
1DEN (1st Tier)

2013
4BAL (1st Tier)
2SF (1st Tier)

2012
4NYG (1st Tier)
1NE (1st Tier)

2011
6GB (1st Tier)
2PIT (3rd Tier)

2010
1NO (1st Tier)
1IND (1st Tier)

2009
2PIT (2nd Tier)
4AZ (2nd Tier)

2008
5NYG (3rd Tier)
1NE (1st Tier)

2007
3IND (1st Tier)
1CHI (1st Tier)

2006
6PIT (1st Tier)
1SEA (2nd Tier)

2005
2NE (1st Tier)
1PHI (1st Tier)

2004
1NE (3rd Tier)
3CAR (2nd Tier)
 
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Loves2kickass said:
One more week! Final Tiers posted at the conclusion of week 4, at which time the Tiers dont change. I'll update the final tiers with conference playoff seed each week thereafter.

Below are the results for the past 22 seasons. Last season both Super Bowl particpinats were 2nd Tier teams but as you see below the 1st Tier is the prime spot with a significant edge. 4th Tier - 7th Tier teams have never participated in the Super Bowl during this time span.

SUPER BOWL PARTICIPANT L22 YEARS (2004-2025)
1ST TIER 29/44, 66%
2ND TIER 11/44, 25%
3RD TIER 4/44, 9%
4TH TIER 0/44, 0%
5TH TIER 0/44, 0%
6TH TIER 0/44, 0%
7TH TIER 0/44, 0%

SUPER BOWL CHAMPION L22 YEARS (2004-2025)
1ST TIER 16/22, 73%
2ND TIER 4/22, 18%
3RD TIER 2/22, 9%
4TH TIER 0/22, 0%
5TH TIER 0/22, 0%
6TH TIER 0/22, 0%
7TH TIER 0/22, 0%

1ST TIER SUPER BOWL WINNING SEASONS
2005, 2006, 2007, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024

2ND TIER SUPER BOWL WINNING SEASONS
2009, 2017, 2018, 2025

3RD TIER SUPER BOWL WINNING SEASONS
2004, 2008


SUPER BOWL TEAMS,TIERS & CONFERENCE SEEDS L 22 YEARS. WINNER IN BOLD.

2025
2PHI (2ND TIER)
1KC (2ND TIER)

2024
3KC (1st Tier)
1SF (1st Tier)

2023
1KC (1st Tier)
1PHI (1st Tier)

2022
4LAR (1st Tier)
4CIN (2nd Tier)

2021
5TB (1st Tier)
1KC (1st Tier)

2020
2KC (1st Tier)
1SF (2nd Tier)

2019
2NE (1st Tier)
2LAR (1st Tier)

2018
1PHI (2nd Tier)
1NE (2nd Tier)

2017
1NE (2nd Tier)
2ATL (3rd Tier)

2016
1DEN (1st Tier)
1CAR (1st Tier)

2015
1NE (1st Tier)
1SEA (1st Tier)

2014
1SEA (1st Tier)
1DEN (1st Tier)

2013
4BAL (1st Tier)
2SF (1st Tier)

2012
4NYG (1st Tier)
1NE (1st Tier)

2011
6GB (1st Tier)
2PIT (3rd Tier)

2010
1NO (1st Tier)
1IND (1st Tier)

2009
2PIT (2nd Tier)
4AZ (2nd Tier)

2008
5NYG (3rd Tier)
1NE (1st Tier)

2007
3IND (1st Tier)
1CHI (1st Tier)

2006
6PIT (1st Tier)
1SEA (2nd Tier)

2005
2NE (1st Tier)
1PHI (1st Tier)

2004
1NE (3rd Tier)
3CAR (2nd Tier)
Click to expand...

Can't wait, thank you for doing this again. Really helps when scouring the futures market.
 
Between now and the conclusion of week 4 if you want an idea of the specifics of a individual team(s), I'll gladly give you an idea of what Tier is within reach for them.
 
I'll mention SF possibilities since they are my favorite team.

They could be as high as the1st Tier and as low as the 5th Tier. They'll be a 1st Tier team if they meet all the requirements below in week 4.

● Defeat JAC by DD
● Score at least 21 pts vs JAC
● Allow 30 pts or less vs JAC
 
Last edited:
Loves2kickass said:
I'll mention SF possibilities since they are my favorite team.

They could be as high as the1st Tier and as low as the 5th Tier. They'll be a 1st Tier team if they meet all the requirements below in week 4.

● Defeat JAC by DD
● Score at least 21 pts vs JAC
● Allow 30 pts or less vs JAC
Click to expand...

How about Detroit? My favorite team.
 
Loves2kickass said:
I'll mention SF possibilities since they are my favorite team.

They could be as high as the1st Tier and as low as the 5th Tier. They'll be a 1st Tier team if they meet all the requirements below in week 4.

● Defeat JAC by DD
● Score at least 21 pts vs JAC
● Allow 30 pts or less vs JAC
Click to expand...

We need Trey now. The other horses are all coming back soon. Should be a top 3 offense and the young D is flying all over the place. But Bosa is a 1/1.
 
It appears after looking into several teams with 3 weeks in the books there's going to be some new faces popping up in the 1st Tier potentially and a possible a suprise or two in the 2nd Tier. There's also a few teams that could be a higher Tier but also a lower Tier.

I'll start posting them at the conclusion of Thursday nights game and as games are completed Sunday and Monday.

Should be fun to track. Last season I hit a nice bet with TB (2nd Tier) to win division at +800 at about week 9 or so when they were 3 games behind the ELIMINATED Atlanta Falcons. Hopefully another situation occurs like that again this season.
 
I took a look at the Cleveland Browns possibilities solely because of their great defense and this is where they stand with 1 week left before final Tiers.

The highest they can be is the 3rd Tier. The lowest is at the bottom, 7th Tier.

To be a 3rd Tier team they must...
●Win @ Detroit
●Win by DD @ Detroit
●Score at least 34 points @ Detroit
●Allow less than 32 points @Detroit

If they fail all the above in week 4 they'll be at the bottom, 7th Tier. Last season there was 1, 7th Tier team the Jacksonville Jaguars (4-13).
 
The Chiefs can finish as low as the 6th Tier if they don't win along with a few other scoring limits, which would ELIMINATE them from not only winning the Super Bowl but being a participant as well. Their best finish is the 2nd Tier if they accomplish 4 criteria. They need a dominate showing this week.
 
FINAL SUPER BOWL TIERS - WEEK 4 (09/25/2025)


1ST TIER (SB Champ 16/22, 73%, L 22 yrs)


2ND TIER (SB Champ 4/22, 18%, L 22 yrs)
SEATTLE

3RD TIER (SB Champ 2/22, 9%, L 22 yrs)
ARIZONA

4TH TIER (SB Champ 0/22, 0%, L 22 yrs)


5TH TIER (SB Champ 0/22, 0%, L 22 yrs)


6TH TIER (SB Champ 0-22, 0%, L 22 yrs)


7TH TIER (SB Champ 0-22, 0%, L 22 yrs)
 
FINAL SUPER BOWL TIERS - WEEK 4 (09/27/2025)


1ST TIER
SB Participant 29/44, 66% L22 yrs
SB Champ 16/22, 73% L 22 yrs
Minnesota Vikings

2ND TIER
SB Participant 11/44, 25% L22 yrs
SB Champ 4/22, 18% L 22 yrs
Seattle Seahawks
Pittsburgh Steelers

3RD TIER
SB Participant 4/44, 9% L22 yrs
SB Champ 2/22, 9% L 22 yrs
Arizona Cardinals

4TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champ 0/22, 0% L 22 yrs


5TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champ 0/22, 0% L 22 yrs


6TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champ 0-22, 0% L 22 yrs


7TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champ 0-22, 0% L 22 yrs)
 
UPDATED FINAL SUPER BOWL TIERS - WEEK 4 (09/27/2025)

1ST TIER
SB Participant 29/44, 66% L22 yrs
SB Champ 16/22, 73% L 22 yrs
Los Angeles Rams
Minnesota Vikings
Buffalo Bills
Los Angeles Chargers

2ND TIER
SB Participant 11/44, 25% L22 yrs
SB Champ 4/22, 18% L 22 yrs
Philadelphia Eagles
Detroit Lions
Washington Commanders
San Francisco 49ers
Seattle Seahawks
Jacksonville Jaguars
Kansas City Chiefs
Indianapolis Colts
New England Patriots
Pittsburgh Steelers

3RD TIER
SB Participant 4/44, 9% L22 yrs
SB Champ 2/22, 9% L 22 yrs
Arizona Cardinals
Chicago Bears
Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Baltimore Ravens

4TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champ 0/22, 0% L 22 yrs
Carolina Panthers (ELIMINATED)

5TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champ 0/22, 0% L 22 yrs
New York Giants (ELIMINATED)
Las Vegas Raiders (ELIMINATED)
Houston Texans (ELIMINATED)

6TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champ 0-22, 0% L 22 yrs
Cleveland Browns (ELIMINATED)

7TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champ 0-22, 0% L 22 yrs)
New Orleans Saints (ELIMINATED)
Tennessee Titans (ELIMINATED)
 
UPDATED FINAL SUPER BOWL TIERS - WEEK 4 (Through 09/27/2025)

1ST TIER
SB Participant 29/44, 66% L22 yrs
SB Champion 16/22, 73% L 22 yrs
Buffalo Bills (AFC #1)
Los Angeles Chargers (AFC #3)
Los Angeles Rams (NFC #6)
Green Bay Packers (NFC (NFC #7)
Minnesota Vikings (NFC #8)

2ND TIER
SB Participant 11/44, 25% L22 yrs
SB Champion 4/22, 18% L 22 yrs
Philadelphia Eagles (NFC #1)
San Francisco 49ers (NFC #2)
Pittsburgh Steelers (AFC #2)
Detroit Lions (NFC #3)
Indianapolis Colts (AFC #4)
Seattle Seahawks (NFC #5)
Jacksonville Jaguars (AFC #5)
Kansas City Chiefs (AFC #7)
New England Patriots AFC (AFC #8)
Washington Commanders (NFC #12)

3RD TIER
SB Participant 4/44, 9% L22 yrs
SB Champion 2/22, 9% L 22 yrs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFC #4)
Atlanta Falcons NFC #9
Arizona Cardinals (NFC #10)
Chicago Bears (NFC #11)
Baltimore Ravens (AFC #12)

4TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champion 0/22, 0% L 22 yrs
Carolina Panthers (ELIMINATED)

5TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champion 0/22, 0% L 22 yrs
Dallas Cowboys (ELIMINATED)
New York Giants (ELIMINATED)
Las Vegas Raiders (ELIMINATED)
Houston Texans (ELIMINATED)

6TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champion 0-22, 0% L 22 yrs
Cleveland Browns (ELIMINATED)

7TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champion 0-22, 0% L 22 yrs)
New Orleans Saints (ELIMINATED)
Tennessee Titans (ELIMINATED)
 
UPDATED FINAL SUPER BOWL TIERS
(THROGH WEEK 4). I'll update playoff seeding after each week due to its importance. I'll explain at a later time.

1ST TIER
SB Participant 29/44, 66% L22 yrs
SB Champion 16/22, 73% L 22 yrs
Buffalo Bills (AFC #1)
Los Angeles Chargers (AFC #2)
Los Angeles Rams (NFC #6)
Green Bay Packers (NFC #7)
Denver Broncos (AFC #8)
Minnesota Vikings (NFC #9)

2ND TIER
SB Participant 11/44, 25% L22 yrs
SB Champion 4/22, 18% L 22 yrs
Philadelphia Eagles (NFC #1)
San Francisco 49ers (NFC #2)
Pittsburgh Steelers (AFC #3)
Detroit Lions (NFC #3)
Indianapolis Colts (AFC #4)
Seattle Seahawks (NFC #5)
Jacksonville Jaguars (AFC #5)
Kansas City Chiefs (AFC #7)
New England Patriots AFC (AFC #9)
Washington Commanders (NFC #12)

3RD TIER
SB Participant 4/44, 9% L22 yrs
SB Champion 2/22, 9% L 22 yrs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFC #4)
Atlanta Falcons (NFC #8)
Arizona Cardinals (NFC #10)
Chicago Bears (NFC #11)
Baltimore Ravens (AFC #12)

4TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champion 0/22, 0% L 22 yrs
Carolina Panthers (ELIMINATED)

5TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champion 0/22, 0% L 22 yrs
Dallas Cowboys (ELIMINATED)
New York Giants (ELIMINATED)
Miami Dolphins (ELIMINATED)
New York Jets (ELIMINATED)
Las Vegas Raiders (ELIMINATED)
Houston Texans (ELIMINATED)

6TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champion 0-22, 0% L 22 yrs
Cleveland Browns (ELIMINATED)
Cincinnati Bengals (AFC #6) (ELIMINATED)

7TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champion 0-22, 0% L 22 yrs)
New Orleans Saints (ELIMINATED)
Tennessee Titans (ELIMINATED)
 
Last edited:
UPDATED FINAL SUPER BOWL TIERS
(THROGH WEEK 5)

1ST TIER
SB Participant 29/44, 66% L22 yrs
SB Champion 16/22, 73% L 22 yrs
Buffalo Bills (AFC #2)
Los Angeles Chargers (AFC #4)
Green Bay Packers (NFC #5)
Denver Broncos (AFC #6)
Minnesota Vikings (NFC #7)
Los Angeles Rams (NFC #9)

2ND TIER
SB Participant 11/44, 25% L22 yrs
SB Champion 4/22, 18% L 22 yrs
Indianapolis Colts (AFC #1)
Philadelphia Eagles (NFC #1)
San Francisco 49ers (NFC #2)
Pittsburgh Steelers (AFC #3)
Detroit Lions (NFC #4)
Jacksonville Jaguars (AFC #5)
Seattle Seahawks (NFC #6)
New England Patriots AFC (AFC #7)
Washington Commanders (NFC #8)
Kansas City Chiefs (AFC #10)

3RD TIER
SB Participant 4/44, 9% L22 yrs
SB Champion 2/22, 9% L 22 yrs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFC #3)
Atlanta Falcons (NFC #10)
Chicago Bears (NFC #11)
Baltimore Ravens (AFC #12)
Arizona Cardinals (NFC #13)

4TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champion 0/22, 0% L 22 yrs
Carolina Panthers

5TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champion 0/22, 0% L 22 yrs
Dallas Cowboys
New York Giants
Miami Dolphins
New York Jets
Las Vegas Raiders
Houston Texans

6TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champion 0-22, 0% L 22 yrs
Cleveland Browns
Cincinnati Bengals

7TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champion 0-22, 0% L 22 yrs)
New Orleans Saints
Tennessee Titans
 
Through week 5 - Super Bowl Champion list based on Tier & conference seed. (1st Tier must be top 6 seed/2nd Tier must be top 2 seed) **Last season the champion Eagles were the NFC #10 seed at the conclusion of week 5**

1ST TIER
Buffalo Bills (AFC #2)
Los Angeles Chargers (AFC #4)
Green Bay Packers (NFC #5)
Denver Broncos (AFC #6)

2ND TIER
Indianapolis Colts (AFC #1)
Philadelphia Eagles (NFC #1)
San Francisco 49ers (NFC #2)
 
Loves2kickass said:
Through week 5 - Super Bowl Champion list based on Tier & conference seed. (1st Tier must be top 6 seed/2nd Tier must be top 2 seed) **Last season the champion Eagles were the NFC #10 seed at the conclusion of week 5**

1ST TIER
Buffalo Bills (AFC #2)
Los Angeles Chargers (AFC #4)
Green Bay Packers (NFC #5)
Denver Broncos (AFC #6)

2ND TIER
Indianapolis Colts (AFC #1)
Philadelphia Eagles (NFC #1)
San Francisco 49ers (NFC #2)
Click to expand...
Using this same approach at the end of the 2025 regular season (before playoffs) the Super Bowl Champion list was -

1ST TIER
DETROIT LIONS (NFC #1)
BALTIMORE RAVENS (AFC #3)

2ND TIER
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (AFC #1)
BUFFALO BILLS (AFC #2)
*PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (NFC #2)
 
The Eagles disaster tonight moved them out heading into Sunday. Tampa Bay is iffy as a 2 seed, 3rd Tier team but they can't be ignored.

1ST TIER
Buffalo Bills (AFC #2)
Los Angeles Chargers (AFC #4)
Green Bay Packers (NFC #5)
Denver Broncos (AFC #6)

2ND TIER
Indianapolis Colts (AFC #1)
San Francisco 49ers (NFC #1)
 
Loves2kickass said:
UPDATED FINAL SUPER BOWL TIERS - WEEK 4 (Through 09/27/2025)

1ST TIER
SB Participant 29/44, 66% L22 yrs
SB Champion 16/22, 73% L 22 yrs
Buffalo Bills (AFC #1)
Los Angeles Chargers (AFC #3)
Los Angeles Rams (NFC #6)
Green Bay Packers (NFC (NFC #7)
Minnesota Vikings (NFC #8)

2ND TIER
SB Participant 11/44, 25% L22 yrs
SB Champion 4/22, 18% L 22 yrs
Philadelphia Eagles (NFC #1)
San Francisco 49ers (NFC #2)
Pittsburgh Steelers (AFC #2)
Detroit Lions (NFC #3)
Indianapolis Colts (AFC #4)
Seattle Seahawks (NFC #5)
Jacksonville Jaguars (AFC #5)
Kansas City Chiefs (AFC #7)
New England Patriots AFC (AFC #8)
Washington Commanders (NFC #12)

3RD TIER
SB Participant 4/44, 9% L22 yrs
SB Champion 2/22, 9% L 22 yrs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFC #4)
Atlanta Falcons NFC #9
Arizona Cardinals (NFC #10)
Chicago Bears (NFC #11)
Baltimore Ravens (AFC #12)

4TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champion 0/22, 0% L 22 yrs
Carolina Panthers (ELIMINATED)

5TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champion 0/22, 0% L 22 yrs
Dallas Cowboys (ELIMINATED)
New York Giants (ELIMINATED)
Las Vegas Raiders (ELIMINATED)
Houston Texans (ELIMINATED)

6TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champion 0-22, 0% L 22 yrs
Cleveland Browns (ELIMINATED)

7TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champion 0-22, 0% L 22 yrs)
New Orleans Saints (ELIMINATED)
Tennessee Titans (ELIMINATED)
Click to expand...
So is this the final tiers? I know you do seedings but these are it right?
 
HUNT said:
So is this the final tiers? I know you do seedings but these are it right?
Click to expand...
Yes I just update seeding and use the history of the seeds of previous SB winners for Tiers 1-3. Also to update who the playoff teams are after each week. Comment #1 has all past SB champions with Tiers and seeds.
 
FINAL TIERS - UPDATED PLAYOFF SEEDS
(THROGH WEEK 6)

1ST TIER
SB Participant 29/44, 66% L22 yrs
SB Champion 16/22, 73% L 22 yrs
Green Bay Packers (NFC #2)
Los Angeles Chargers (AFC #3)
Buffalo Bills (AFC #5)
Denver Broncos (AFC #7)
Los Angeles Rams (NFC #7)
Minnesota Vikings (NFC #9)

2ND TIER
SB Participant 11/44, 25% L22 yrs
SB Champion 4/22, 18% L 22 yrs
Indianapolis Colts (AFC #1)
Pittsburgh Steelers (AFC #2)
San Francisco 49ers (NFC #3)
Philadelphia Eagles (NFC #4)
New England Patriots AFC (AFC #4)
Seattle Seahawks (NFC #5)
Detroit Lions (NFC #6)
Jacksonville Jaguars (AFC #6)
Kansas City Chiefs (AFC #8)
Washington Commanders (NFC #12)

3RD TIER
SB Participant 4/44, 9% L22 yrs
SB Champion 2/22, 9% L 22 yrs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFC #1)
Atlanta Falcons (NFC #8)
Chicago Bears (NFC #10)
Baltimore Ravens (AFC #12)
Arizona Cardinals (NFC #14)

4TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champion 0/22, 0% L 22 yrs
Carolina Panthers

5TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champion 0/22, 0% L 22 yrs
Dallas Cowboys
New York Giants
Miami Dolphins
New York Jets
Las Vegas Raiders
Houston Texans

6TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champion 0-22, 0% L 22 yrs
Cleveland Browns
Cincinnati Bengals

7TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champion 0-22, 0% L 22 yrs)
New Orleans Saints
Tennessee Titans
 
Through week 6 - Super Bowl Champion list based on Tier & conference seed. (1st Tier must be top 6 seed; 2nd Tier & 3rd Tier must be top 2 seed) *This is my list from previous history

1ST TIER
Green Bay Packers (NFC #2)
Los Angeles Chargers (AFC #3)
Buffalo Bills (AFC #5)


2ND TIER
Indianapolis Colts (AFC #1)
Pittsburgh Steelers (AFC #2)
San Francisco 49ers (NFC #3)
Philadelphia Eagles (NFC #4)
New England Patriots AFC (AFC #4)

3RD TIER
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFC #1)
 
FINAL TIERS - UPDATED PLAYOFF SEEDS
(THROGH WEEK 6)

1ST TIER
SB Participant 29/44, 66% L22 yrs
SB Champion 16/22, 73% L 22 yrs
Green Bay Packers (NFC #2)
Los Angeles Chargers (AFC #3)
Buffalo Bills (AFC #5)
Denver Broncos (AFC #7)
Los Angeles Rams (NFC #7)
Minnesota Vikings (NFC #9)

2ND TIER
SB Participant 11/44, 25% L22 yrs
SB Champion 4/22, 18% L 22 yrs
Indianapolis Colts (AFC #1)
Pittsburgh Steelers (AFC #2)
San Francisco 49ers (NFC #3)
Philadelphia Eagles (NFC #4)
New England Patriots AFC (AFC #4)
Seattle Seahawks (NFC #5)
Detroit Lions (NFC #6)
Jacksonville Jaguars (AFC #6)
Kansas City Chiefs (AFC #8)
Washington Commanders (NFC #12)

3RD TIER
SB Participant 4/44, 9% L22 yrs
SB Champion 2/22, 9% L 22 yrs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFC #1)
Atlanta Falcons (NFC #8)
Chicago Bears (NFC #10)
Baltimore Ravens (AFC #12)
Arizona Cardinals (NFC #14)

4TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champion 0/22, 0% L 22 yrs
Carolina Panthers

5TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champion 0/22, 0% L 22 yrs
Dallas Cowboys
New York Giants
Miami Dolphins
New York Jets
Las Vegas Raiders
Houston Texans

6TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champion 0-22, 0% L 22 yrs
Cleveland Browns
Cincinnati Bengals

7TH TIER
SB Participant 0/44, 0% L22 yrs
SB Champion 0-22, 0% L 22 yrs)
New Orleans Saints
Tennessee Titans
 
Last edited:
B.A.R. said:
Wait, they can be revived on your list?
Click to expand...
Teams in red are 1st-3rd Tier Super Bowl qualifiers that are currently in the playoffs at the moment. 4th-7th Tier teams are out for the remainder of the season.

The Tier qualifiers don't change after week 4, I just update the Tiers with current playoff seeds.

For example, the Chiefs qualify as a locked in 2nd Tier team but they are out because they aren't in the playoffs if season ended today.
 
The 2nd Tier Seattle Seahawks look very intriguing to me if they can win their division putting them as a top 4 seed.

Past history of 2nd Tier teams show they must be a top 4 seed as a 2nd Tier team to qualify as a SB Champion, as listed in my opening comment with past champion Tiers & Seeds.

San Francisco looks down and out with all the injuries so their only hurdle in being a serious contender will be the Los Angeles Rams "in" division. Out of division it will be the Detroit Lions in my opinion.

If Seattle can manage a top 2 seed in the NFC and stay healthy look out. They're the only team in the NFL in the top 5 in all 3 categories (DEF, OFF, ST) in DVOA after 6 weeks. This has happened 6 times. 4 of those 6 won the SB, 1 lost the SB and 1 failed to make the playoffs.

The Seattle Seahawks are a team to keep a close eye on.
 
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