Sunday's NFL Plays (Week Three)...
- Thread starter emkee
- Start date
guaranteeed
Pretty much a regular
Gl em
LockthisMonster
Pretty much a regular
Gl em:shake:
emkee
The Truth Is Out There
Nothing trappy here, average spread for the Pats as a road fave off a loss is -5.4.
Slight movement is meh.
Lions haven't started the season well but they're far from chopped liver.
So yeah the 6.5 spread is fair maybe a little too inflated in the Pats direction.
My line here is -5.5, early lookahead spread from back in April was Detroit +4.
Pats 18-2 SU (14-4-2 ATS) as road chalk off a loss since the 2004 season, average MOV for them in this spot has been 11.7 points.
Pats 18-1 SU (16-3 ATS) off a loss of 10 or more points since 2003, average MOV in this spot is 14.8 points.
On the road in the above spot they're 12-1 SU (11-2 ATS) with aMOV of 12.3 points.
And Matt Stafford has never won a Sunday Night Football game in his career, 0-5 SU and ATS losing by an average margin of 7.8 points.
Is what it is here, Brady Bunch or nada. Nothing 'sharp' about playing the Lions at all aside from the good ol' consensus fade.
Slight movement is meh.
Lions haven't started the season well but they're far from chopped liver.
So yeah the 6.5 spread is fair maybe a little too inflated in the Pats direction.
My line here is -5.5, early lookahead spread from back in April was Detroit +4.
Pats 18-2 SU (14-4-2 ATS) as road chalk off a loss since the 2004 season, average MOV for them in this spot has been 11.7 points.
Pats 18-1 SU (16-3 ATS) off a loss of 10 or more points since 2003, average MOV in this spot is 14.8 points.
On the road in the above spot they're 12-1 SU (11-2 ATS) with aMOV of 12.3 points.
And Matt Stafford has never won a Sunday Night Football game in his career, 0-5 SU and ATS losing by an average margin of 7.8 points.
Is what it is here, Brady Bunch or nada. Nothing 'sharp' about playing the Lions at all aside from the good ol' consensus fade.
