2 Parlays August 13: "Under"-whelming Day In Store for Today
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago White Sox
Sunday, August 13, 2023 at 2:10 p.m. ET at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago & Texas Rangers vs. San Francisco Giants Sunday, August 13, 2023 at 4:05 p.m. ET at Oracle Park in San Francisco
Who Starts for Milwaukee?
Freddy Peralta starts for the Brewers today.
Peralta enters today's game in tremendous form: he has yielded a sub-two FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) in each of his last three starts.
Of these three starts, he allowed more than one run in one start.
But in that start, he did a superb job of limiting hard contact. He was merely unfortunate to yield a high BABIP (batting average of balls in play).
While his last two opponents -- Colorado and Washington -- might be said to have weak lineups, he also victimized Cincinnati three starts ago, although the Reds rank eighth in runs per game.
Besides limiting runs, Peralta is doing a great job of amassing strikeouts while avoiding walks and home runs.
He's also lasted at least six innings in each of his last three starts.
Who Starts for Chicago?
The White Sox start Dylan Cease.
Cease's disaster two starts ago in Texas obscures the extent of his improvement, measured especially by FIP, in the second half of the season in which he has looked more like his characteristically dominant self.
In his last start, Cease reapproached his previously solid form by limiting the Yankees to zero runs in 5.1 innings.
While he did walk a lot of batters, he also did an incredible job of limiting hard contact -- the Yankees made hard contact on 9.1 percent of his pitches while he induced soft contact on four times as many of his pitches.
Cease vs. Brewers Batters
Cease enjoys an unusually strong matchup opportunity.
He primarily throws a fastball, slider, and curveball.
Milwaukee ranks 25th with a .387 slugging rate against these pitches from righties.
Who Starts for Texas?
Dane Dunning starts for the Rangers today.
Dunning enters today's contest in strong form: he has yielded an FIP below 2.80 in two straight starts.
While his last two opponents were the meager White Sox and A's, the Giants themselves are struggling.
They've scored a combined total of five runs in their past three games.
Who Starts for San Francisco?
Logan Webb starts for the Giants today.
Webb currently looks reliable against anyone: he has allowed a combined total of five runs in his last three starts, totaling 18 innings.
But he is especially solid at home where he yields a .344 slugging rate and has allowed no more than three earned runs all season.
Best Bet: Parlay Brewers-White Sox under 8 at -105 & Rangers-Giants under 8 at -110 at +273 odds with BetOnline
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Sunday, August 13, 2023 at 4:10 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles & San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks at 4:10 p.m. ET at Chase Field in Phoenix
Who Starts for the Dodgers?
Julio Urias starts for L.A. today.
Urias' most recent starts justify confidence in him.
In his last two starts, totaling eleven innings, he allowed zero runs to Oakland and Arizona.
Besides holding them to a combined total of seven hits, he amassed ten strikeouts while only walking two batters.
Rockies Lineup
Colorado is an excellent candidate for Urias to prolong his strong form against
His recent history against the Rockies provides one reason for thinking this.
Dating to last year, he's allowed a combined total of three earned runs in his last three starts at home against them.
They struggle to hit Urias because they match up poorly against him, as evident in the fact that, outside of their super hitter-friendly home ballpark, they slug .317 against his pitches from lefties.
Plus, the Rockies are slumping. They've mustered one run in each of their last three games.
Who Starts for Colorado?
Kyle Freeland starts for the Rockies today.
The fact that today's game takes place during the day suits Freeland in two crucial respects.
One, his ERA is 2.22 lower in day games than night games -- this fact helps explain why the "under" is 8-2 this year in his daytime starts.
Two, the Dodgers slug .35 worse during the day than at night. They are a bad bet in day games.
Who Starts for San Diego?
Seth Lugo starts for the Padres.
Lugo's last start creates a misleadingly negative impression of him: while he struggled, it took place against the mighty Dodgers.
Before that start, he held the Rockies, Pirates, and Tigers to two runs each and did so while lasting six or seven innings in every start.
Arizona's Lineup
While the Diamondbacks may be said to have a stronger lineup than those three teams, this is not the case right now.
Since July 30, they've exceeded three runs in only three of twelve games. They required extra innings one time in order to do so.
During this period of time, they're slugging .274 against Lugo's pitches from righties.
Who Starts for Arizona?
The Diamondbacks start Brandon Pfaadt tonight.
Pfaadt is a tremendous "under" pitcher.
The "under" is 8-1-1 in all his starts and 5-0-1 in his home starts.
His outlook against San Diego is also strong: the Padres rank 21st with a .406 slugging rate against his pitches from righties.
Best Bet: Parlay Rockies-Dodgers under 9 at -115 & Padres-Diamondbacks under 9.5 at -117 at +247 odds with BetOnline
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago White Sox
Sunday, August 13, 2023 at 2:10 p.m. ET at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago & Texas Rangers vs. San Francisco Giants Sunday, August 13, 2023 at 4:05 p.m. ET at Oracle Park in San Francisco
- Freddy Peralta, Dane Dunning, and Logan Webb enjoy strong form
- Dylan Cease has improved tremendously and matches up excellently against Milwaukee
- Webb is automatic at home while his lineup is struggling
Who Starts for Milwaukee?
Freddy Peralta starts for the Brewers today.
Peralta enters today's game in tremendous form: he has yielded a sub-two FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) in each of his last three starts.
Of these three starts, he allowed more than one run in one start.
But in that start, he did a superb job of limiting hard contact. He was merely unfortunate to yield a high BABIP (batting average of balls in play).
While his last two opponents -- Colorado and Washington -- might be said to have weak lineups, he also victimized Cincinnati three starts ago, although the Reds rank eighth in runs per game.
Besides limiting runs, Peralta is doing a great job of amassing strikeouts while avoiding walks and home runs.
He's also lasted at least six innings in each of his last three starts.
Who Starts for Chicago?
The White Sox start Dylan Cease.
Cease's disaster two starts ago in Texas obscures the extent of his improvement, measured especially by FIP, in the second half of the season in which he has looked more like his characteristically dominant self.
In his last start, Cease reapproached his previously solid form by limiting the Yankees to zero runs in 5.1 innings.
While he did walk a lot of batters, he also did an incredible job of limiting hard contact -- the Yankees made hard contact on 9.1 percent of his pitches while he induced soft contact on four times as many of his pitches.
Cease vs. Brewers Batters
Cease enjoys an unusually strong matchup opportunity.
He primarily throws a fastball, slider, and curveball.
Milwaukee ranks 25th with a .387 slugging rate against these pitches from righties.
Who Starts for Texas?
Dane Dunning starts for the Rangers today.
Dunning enters today's contest in strong form: he has yielded an FIP below 2.80 in two straight starts.
While his last two opponents were the meager White Sox and A's, the Giants themselves are struggling.
They've scored a combined total of five runs in their past three games.
Who Starts for San Francisco?
Logan Webb starts for the Giants today.
Webb currently looks reliable against anyone: he has allowed a combined total of five runs in his last three starts, totaling 18 innings.
But he is especially solid at home where he yields a .344 slugging rate and has allowed no more than three earned runs all season.
Best Bet: Parlay Brewers-White Sox under 8 at -105 & Rangers-Giants under 8 at -110 at +273 odds with BetOnline
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Sunday, August 13, 2023 at 4:10 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles & San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks at 4:10 p.m. ET at Chase Field in Phoenix
- Julio Urias enjoys strong form while Seth Lugo is primed to recover his form against a weaker opponent
- The Rockies and Diamondbacks are hitting very poorly
- The Dodgers hit terribly in day games, whereas Kyle Freeland is much better during the day and Brandon Pfaadt is an "under" pitcher in general
Who Starts for the Dodgers?
Julio Urias starts for L.A. today.
Urias' most recent starts justify confidence in him.
In his last two starts, totaling eleven innings, he allowed zero runs to Oakland and Arizona.
Besides holding them to a combined total of seven hits, he amassed ten strikeouts while only walking two batters.
Rockies Lineup
Colorado is an excellent candidate for Urias to prolong his strong form against
His recent history against the Rockies provides one reason for thinking this.
Dating to last year, he's allowed a combined total of three earned runs in his last three starts at home against them.
They struggle to hit Urias because they match up poorly against him, as evident in the fact that, outside of their super hitter-friendly home ballpark, they slug .317 against his pitches from lefties.
Plus, the Rockies are slumping. They've mustered one run in each of their last three games.
Who Starts for Colorado?
Kyle Freeland starts for the Rockies today.
The fact that today's game takes place during the day suits Freeland in two crucial respects.
One, his ERA is 2.22 lower in day games than night games -- this fact helps explain why the "under" is 8-2 this year in his daytime starts.
Two, the Dodgers slug .35 worse during the day than at night. They are a bad bet in day games.
Who Starts for San Diego?
Seth Lugo starts for the Padres.
Lugo's last start creates a misleadingly negative impression of him: while he struggled, it took place against the mighty Dodgers.
Before that start, he held the Rockies, Pirates, and Tigers to two runs each and did so while lasting six or seven innings in every start.
Arizona's Lineup
While the Diamondbacks may be said to have a stronger lineup than those three teams, this is not the case right now.
Since July 30, they've exceeded three runs in only three of twelve games. They required extra innings one time in order to do so.
During this period of time, they're slugging .274 against Lugo's pitches from righties.
Who Starts for Arizona?
The Diamondbacks start Brandon Pfaadt tonight.
Pfaadt is a tremendous "under" pitcher.
The "under" is 8-1-1 in all his starts and 5-0-1 in his home starts.
His outlook against San Diego is also strong: the Padres rank 21st with a .406 slugging rate against his pitches from righties.
Best Bet: Parlay Rockies-Dodgers under 9 at -115 & Padres-Diamondbacks under 9.5 at -117 at +247 odds with BetOnline
