Sunday NBA

S

SportsNut

Breaking it down briefly
Last nite was extremely solid and I am bit hungover & exhausted...

Portland & Tor
We know Zach is OUT who happens to be the only consistent scorer on Port. Tor has scrapped the run and gun offense and is now playing consistent defense...Bosh is also questionable here regardles not interested in a side

Being the Sunday Morning special this is teams come out flat often so I would be cautious when a bad team is missing its best player in this spot...disinterested??With Portland you never can tell.....

These may be SUCKER plays...

Under 91 -104 Portalnd team (small)
Under 191 -110 (Small)

Thats all I looked out so far...
 
xpression syst_m said:
GL Nut, may try lakers ml this evening, only nfl action at the moment
Click to expand...

I couldnt even tell you who was playing in the NBA later on...gonna look once the 1's kickoff..

Thanks and good call afterall on the Minny under...u gave me that extra push...GL
 
That was supposed to be my avatar!

Actually I like the under...think when the 4th comes no one is capable of consistently scoring with the pressure on....

One team in Port seems to be a 1st H team and is shooting to good to continue...

GL though....
 
Still real lazy but have 2 STRONG NCAA Half plays....


Marist PK -122 (XLarge) Win +5.
Loyola , MD +4 -121 (Medium) Win +2.ML +171 (Small) Win +1.71
Over 66.5 +100 VT (Small) Win +1.00

3-0 +9.71
 
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6 PM Suns @ Charlotte

The Suns have shown alot past few games and now ride a 9 game Win streak. Charlotte has shown IMO justhow important Breven Knight is to there team. They have look absolute horrible the past 6 quarters without him. Worsening the situation is in Adam Morrision is in a slump as is Emeka Okefor. They lost key role player Matt Carroll last week as well. This team is falling quickly. I owuld love to play the Suns here because I think -7.5 could be fairly chep right now. However being a 3rd in 4 nites and the past few games being taxing I will pass or wait till halftime.

The Bobcats played Denver at home who I would consider similiar to the Suns....They final was 108-101 and a 204 total...so you might see why I see ome value in this UNDER after the Suns rampage and now OVER streak away...

Under 212.5 -110 (XLarge) downgraded to Large Play...just being cautious



What we know is Char @ home holds opponents to a low FG % and teams have struggled to shoot threes against them @ 27%...now the Suns are a different animal...However situation , the early SUnday start against a bad team leads me to believe this will be a flat performance.....
 
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NCAAB -

Under 141 -112 Texas (Medium)

Neutral court in Houston

Over 147.5 -110 Maryland (Medium)

ML +115 Terps (Small)


2nd H

Canisus +2 -110 (medium) ML +134 (Small)

Working on the NBA night games now....
 
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9 PM

Atl @ Sac

Back in the day when the Kings where rolling teams from the East coming into ARCO mine as well NOT show up and just take the LOSS. Thats how badly they dominanted Eastern Conference teams . Now recently they lost in OT to Miami and a buzzer beater to Orlando...my how things change..

Been a little up and down this year but afer stringing together a few wins they had a tough 5 in 7 stretch where they managed to lose all 5!! Since then they have had 2 days to regroup and take a step back. Hopefully Artest is feeling better cause he should be guarding Joe Johnson....bad news for JJ...Marvin Williams is back and he is working his way back into game shape...

Kings have won 10 of 11 in the series , 6 straight @ Arco vs Atlanta and basically just beat up the Hawks when they came out West(M.O.V. 25 , 10 ,16 , 8 ,20 ). I would say that ATL started feeling this trip in the 2nd H @ LAL after the upset in Denver. Now in the final stop versus a desperate team there backs should be up the wall.. w/o a consistent threat after JJ this should be a game SAC is able to control...

This is a team that was catching 8.5 in LAL w/o Kobe , +12 in Denver so the lineisnt as high as it might seem...

Kings -7 -113 (Medium)..also looking at Kings Over 101

GS @ Seattle

I guess this is one of those lines I just dont understand. GS has alooked awful on the road but that was versus a couple solid teams and those whom played DEFENSE...

Seattle has now won 3 straight at home after dropping 3 straight. To me this is the game you miss Ray Allen cause these arent the Hawks or the Hornets its another high powered offense w or w/o Richardson.....

I have this game at closer to a PKem...hell they both just played N.O. one team was -3.5 the other -7.5......so regardless GS is the stronger team while 3 /3.5 denotes equal on neutral court...

Warriors (buy) +4 (Large) ML +152 (value)...thinking another Under here

Be back with the SA / LAL game in a few hours and update the 9 PM plays..
 
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2nd half 1-1-1.00

Under 105 +110 Suns (Medium) Win +2.10

Bobcats +4 -105 (Medium) ML +180 (Small) Loss -3.10


111pts on 52 % shooting that will decline IMO in the 2nd H...not watching but Nash 1 of 7 is a good indicator IMO......
 
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Well I couldnt be happier with the fact Char shit the bed in the 3rd Q except I made a last minute decision to take them 2nd h!!

161 to start the 4th Q is good with me though in a game that is close to a blowout...
 
Not sure of Kobe's status but I would guess he plays....

Basically if you expect a competitive game which I do the OVER should be the play...Spurs offense is playing well since Manu's return...

Spurs usually high 90's or top 100 away....they have 5 @ 100++ , 96 +++ another three times ...

You get the SA @ 47% away and LAL nearly 49@ home...its gonna be about tempo and pace...you just dont want the Spurs to slow it down and play half court to much...


Play: Over 189 -102 (Large)
 
Tonite:

Kings -7 -113 ( Large)
Over 193 -106 Kings (Large)...had a feeling I should have waited
Over 189 -102 Spurs (Large)
Warriors +4 -110 (Large ) ML +152 (Value)

Lean : Lakers +5


Someone has to be OUT in ATL....see boDog has 9.5
 
SportsNut said:
Tonite:

Kings -7 -113 ( Large)
Over 193 -106 Kings (Large)...had a feeling I should have waited
Over 189 -102 Spurs (Large)
Warriors +4 -110 (Large ) ML +152 (Value)

Lean : Lakers +5


Someone has to be OUT in ATL....see boDog has 9.5
Click to expand...


Looks like its Joe Johnson of all people!!!

add:

Lakers +5 -110 (medium) ML +188 (value)..explain this line...?
 
2nd Half 1-1 +0.89

Kings -1.5 -115 (Medium) WIN +2.00

Under 97.5 -111 (Small) really trying to hedge my original play since I feel Sac just pulls away....Loss -1.11

Not touching the GS game.....over looks solid as long as Seattle cab get a bit closer....

GL
 
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xpression syst_m said:
warriors are totally flat in the 2H, hope they pick up the energy again soon
Click to expand...

Yeah I am so pissed for not taking some SEA -6 @ Half....

rough to be up 16 catching 4 in my case and lose but I guess if you can outscore them by 16 in half then they can easily do the same..

a cover would be fantastic....
 
RECAP-

SportsNut said:
Early :
Under 191 Port (Small) WIN +1.00
Under 212.5 Suns (Large) WIN +4.00

Team Total
Under 91 -1.04 Port (Small) Loss -1.04

Nite:
Kings -7 -113 ( Large) WIN +4.00
Over 193 -106 Kings (Large)WIN +4.00
Over 189 -102 Spurs (Large)WIN +4.00
Warriors +4 -110 (Large ) WIN +4.00 ML +152 (Value)L -0.50
Lakers +5 -110 (Medium) WIN +2.00 ML +188 (Value) W+0.47


Someone has to be OUT in ATL....see boDog has 9.5
Click to expand...
 
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Oh my ...all GS backers thank Rashard Lewis for the foul and Mcleod for knocking down 3 FTs with 00.3 secs left...

It was going to be disgusting to lose that but I felt the line should have been -1 and thats why I played it....

Lakers & the over to complete a ridiculous 2 day stretch..?
 
SportsNut said:
Oh my ...all GS backers thank Rashard Lewis for the foul and Mcleod for knocking down 3 FTs with 00.3 secs left...

It was going to be disgusting to lose that but I felt the line should have been -1 and thats why I played it....

Lakers & the over to complete a ridiculous 2 day stretch..?
Click to expand...
I watched that live, was thinking of you Nut when I saw that foul on the double pump 3 pointer LOL. did nothing for me as i lost 2 units taking those idiot warriors on the ml.

need lakers +6, ml, and over too in this nightcap to make it a -2 unit day or so (we just got that over though :) )
 
Rashard Lewis tried to give it away. Why didn't GS foul with 4 secs left?
 
Crazy ending......if only the Boys didnt shit the bed...

One thing I definetly respect you for is your abilities to lay it on ML's....

ATS wins would drive me crazy when they didnt win SU...
 
ontime23 said:
Rashard Lewis tried to give it away. Why didn't GS foul with 4 secs left?
Click to expand...

Golden state fouled with 8sec left, ridnour made both to make it 117-112, i think barnes missed a 3 pointer, the ball bounced to mcleod, he did a double pump 3 pointer and rashard fouled him hard, so they had to whistle it with 0.3 seconds left, he made all 3, hill called a timeout, they took ball to halfcourt, inbounded and ended the game 117-115
 
oh the cpu scoreboard left 4 secs.... Thanks what is your previous name?
 
My last 2 days have been ridiculous....and definetly the cure to my hangover....the question is can I continue

NBA(Saturday)

Sides(5-3 +14.49)
Wizards ML +107 (XLarge) L -5.00
Cavs -8 -107 (XLarge) W +5.00
Celtics +8 -110 (XLarge) Win +5.00 ML +290 (value) W +1.45
LAC ML -142 (Large)Win +4.00
Nuggets +8.5 +102 (+9???) (Medium) L -2.00 ML +370 (value) Downgraded Mavs steamed? L -0.25
Wolves +8 -108 (Large) Win +4.00 ML +315 (value) +1.57
Warriors -6.5 -112 (Medium) Win +2.00
Sixers +12 -110 (small) ML +675 (value) No Play....!!!
Bucks +3 -115 (Small)L - 1.15 ML +125 (value) L-0.13

Leans
Sixers +12 -110
Bucks +2.5 -106 & ML +126

Totals(3-0 +4.00)
Over 207.5 -113 Milw (Small)W +1.00
Under 187 -105 Minny (Small)W+1.00
Under 202.5 -110 NO (Medium)W +2.00

Team Totals(2-0 +2.00)
Over 103 -110 Milw (small) W+1.00
Under 97.5 -108 Bulls (small)W +1.00

1st H(even)
Bucks mL +121 (Small)L-1.00
Under 93 -108 Chi (Small)W+1.00

Leans
Over 187 Orlando
Over 207 Mil
Und 190.5 Cle
Und 188 Chi
Und 202.5 GS

2nd H (5-0 +6.00)
O 95 -105 Wiz (Medium) W +2.00
O 103 -108 NYJ (Small) W +1.00
U 95 -121 cavs (Smal) W +1.00
Cavs PK -117 (Small) W +1.00
Under 101 -110 NJ (Small) W +1.00

Today
Early :(2-0 +5.00)
Under 191 Port (Small) WIN +1.00
Under 212.5 Suns (Large) WIN +4.00

Team Total(0-1 -1.04)
Under 91 -1.04 Port (Small) Loss -1.04

Nite: 5-0 +17.97
Kings -7 -113 ( Large) WIN +4.00
Over 193 -106 Kings (Large)WIN +4.00
Over 189 -102 Spurs (Large)WIN +4.00
Warriors +4 -110 (Large ) WIN +4.00 ML +152 (Value)L -0.50
Lakers +5 -110 (Medium) WIN +2.00 ML +188 (Value) W+0.47

2nd H (2-2 -0.11)

1st H 0-1 -1.
Char ML +200 (small) L -1.00

15-3 sides & totals +41.45
7-2 2nd H's +5.89
2-1 team totals +0.96...
1-2 1st H -1.00
 
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