SUNDAY MORNING COFFEE--Week 7 Review and Week 8 Line Predictions

RJ Esq

RJ Esq

Prick Since 1974
301 USF
302 Rutgers

303 Utah
304 TCU

305 Northwestern
306 EMU

307 L-ville
308 UConn

309 Buffalo
310 Syracuse

311 Miami OH
312 Temple

313 Mississippi St
314 WVU

315 Penn St
316 Indiana

317 CMU
318 Clemson

319 N Illinois
320 Wisconsin

321 Arkansas
322 Mississippi

323 Vanderbilt
324 S Carolina

325 Wake Forest
326 Navy

327 Army
328 Georgia Tech

329 Wyoming
330 Air Force

331 Ball St
332 WMU

333 Kansas
334 Colorado

335 Memphi
336 Rice

337 Tulane
338 SMU

339 Nevada
340 Utah St

341 Tennessee
342 Alabama

343 Texas A&M
344 Nebraska

345 Oklahoma
346 Iowa St

347 Texas Tech
348 Iowa St

349 California
350 UCLA

351 USC
352 Notre Dame

353 Miami
354 Florida St

355 Oregon
356 Washington

357 Michigan St
358 Ohio St

359 Virginia
360 Maryland

361 Bowling Greent
362 Kent

363 Tulsa
364 UCF

365 NC State
366 ECU

367 Stanford
368 Arizona

369 SJSU
370 Fresno St

371 Houston
372 UAB

373 Florida
374 Kentucky

375 Boise St
376 La Tech

377 Iowa
378 Purdue

379 Ohio
380 Toledo

381 Texas
382 Baylor

383 Kansas St
384 Oklahoma St

385 Cincinnati
386 Pittsburgh

387 Michigan
388 Illinois

389 Idaho
390 New Mexico St

391 Auburn
392 LSU

393 UNM
394 SDSU

395 Colorado St
396 UNLV

397 North Texas
398 Troy

399 Arkansas St
400 MTSU

401 FAU
402 ULL

403 FIU
404 ULM
 
Let me just sum up Week 7.

I love college football. To death. Best thing ever.

I hate betting college football this year.

Enough said.
 
Stayed up to watch the ASU game b/c I couldn't sleep, so had some time to do my initial look over the card last night.

Here are the sides I will be focused against depending on the lines of course..

NW/EMU Over (hope to get a totals line in the Minny/NW range)
TxTech/Mizzou Over (will probably be too high though as I am hoping <70)
OU (they need to hand out a beating to someone, ISU in wrong place)
Texas (the beatings continue, sorry Baylor)
Miami Ohio (hopefully will see value since Temple got the W yesterday)
Cincy (should see decent value here, Cincy should roll Pitt)
Troy (again, hope I get some value with NT's win yesterday, Troy rolls)
ULM (same story, hoping for value with ULM's loss)
Ohio State (I shoulda jumped on this train weeks ago, any value left?)
Ball State (nice run matchup vs WMU, who seems to do better on road)
 
Last edited:
Scratch Fresno from my list, as I don't like playing on teams that are 100 or worse in TO margin (Fresno #106), and I did this list before I started looking at my updated stats.

Add Ball State to the list.
 
Be careful w/ the tOSU/MSU, Tressel/Dantonio angle..

D'Antonio is Tress's best friend in the entire world and coached w/ him for 18 years at YSU and for tOSU until 04.
 
JumpOnBoard said:
Be careful w/ the tOSU/MSU, Tressel/Dantonio angle..

D'Antonio is Tress's best friend in the entire world and coached w/ him for 18 years at YSU and for tOSU until 04.
Click to expand...

Thanks Jump, completely aware of that angle and it is a great point. Honestly don't think there will be much value in this line anyway, but with the way OSU is playing it at least deserves mention on my rough draft list as they are clicking on all cylinders right now. Just going through the games one by one right now, so I expect early leans to change by this afternoon as I am just starting my analysis on each matchup. Appreciate the early morning response!
 
have to go Wally World and Robert Evans w/ the wife and daughter, but will be back 1ish w/ my power ratings/line discussion..

Great games this week.
 
Has tOSU played a physical run team yet? I'll be interested to see how they hold up there. Maybe MSU can be the second team this season to hit double digits against the Buckeyes.

Games/lines on my radar:

Rutg -2 to pick vs USF
Utah pick at TCU
UConn pick vs Louisville
Maryland -3 vs UVA
Fla -6 at UK
 
My first play I'm locking in is Texas -whatever. It almost doesn't matter what the line is in this game.

I'm way ahead of schedule so I'll be done with my predictions in a few hours.
 
Going into last week I thought Vandy would be a good play this week. After watching the worst 2nd half of SC football I've witnessed in quite some time (maybe UGA 06' was worse) and Vandy off an OT loss to UGA, I don't know anymore. SC has Tennessee on deck and it is a noon game, the crowd will suck.
 
Just finished the first batch of analysis, and here is an updated list of early leans from me...

Troy
ULM
OU
Texas
Cincy
Ball State
 
I think we see some value on Clemson this week. Central Mich has looked great as of late, but they often falter once they have to take a step up in competition.
 
Where do you think UConn-Louisville line gets set? I have never been more clueless in my life as to where a line would fall..>I can usually at lest guess it within a FG...
 
Okay, more than likely my plays will come from the following list of updated leans...Won't really be looking at the rest of the card since these are the only matchups that have passed the first cut, unless of course a line is way off vs what I am expecting.

Troy - anything reasonable say 16.5 or less
ULM - anything around 6 or less
Oklahoma - will give it consideration at 21 or less
Texas - will give it consideration at 21 or less
Cincy - hoping for under a TD
Ball State - would probably lean strongly up to a small fav line
Arkie State - lean at anything around a FG or less either way
Buffalo - lean at anything around a FG
Houston - hoping for under 2 TDs here
Toledo - hoping for a pk, but like up to about 3 or so
 
Seabass said:
Where do you think UConn-Louisville line gets set? I have never been more clueless in my life as to where a line would fall..>I can usually at lest guess it within a FG...
Click to expand...



I agree. I'd guess Uconn +3...... Are you goign to homecoming? I'll be there, i really hope they take yesterdays close loss as a wake up and inspires them.. cuz they did play well.
 
husky17 said:
I agree. I'd guess Uconn +3...... Are you goign to homecoming? I'll be there, i really hope they take yesterdays close loss as a wake up and inspires them.. cuz they did play well.
Click to expand...

Yeah I'll be there...

Yesterday was frustrating...I really thought they had it, and if you just take away about one of 8 huge mistakes, they would have had the game. The center snaps thing is just frustrating, but a known evil on the road...but what kills me is DJ fumbling at the 4 yard line stretching out for no apparent reason, and Lou Allen getting the ball on 2nd and 1 and going sideways for a loss-he runs like a sissy for someone so big.

At least they covered. They came awfully close to not doing that, either...but Gould pushed it. UVA never should have been going for that FG anyway, IMO-I realize it would have forced UConn to score a TD, but the kickoff would have improved field position a ton and given Uconn a chance for a runback...

As for the game, I'm not sure I can back UConn in good faith. Louisville seems to be moderately back on track, and UConn can stop themselves on a few positions with mis-throws and dumb miscues, so UConn D will need to stop Brohm at least a few times. I'm not sure they can.

We'll find out what kind of heart they have in a bounceback game this week...
 
301 USF -5
302 Rutgers

303 Utah
304 TCU -2

305 Northwestern -14 (Detroit--Neutral)
306 EMU

307 L-ville -1
308 UConn

309 Buffalo -2
310 Syracuse

311 Miami OH -8
312 Temple

313 Mississippi St
314 WVU -20

315 Penn St -8
316 Indiana

317 CMU
318 Clemson -10

319 N Illinois
320 Wisconsin -24

321 Arkansas -8
322 Mississippi

323 Vanderbilt
324 S Carolina -16

325 Wake Forest -1
326 Navy

327 Army
328 Georgia Tech -25

329 Wyoming
330 Air Force -3

331 Ball St -3
332 WMU

333 Kansas -6
334 Colorado

335 Memphis -4
336 Rice

337 Tulane
338 SMU -10

339 Nevada
340 Utah St

341 Tennessee -4
342 Alabama

343 Texas A&M -2
344 Nebraska

345 Oklahoma -33
346 Iowa St

347 Texas Tech
348 Mizzou -3

349 California -4
350 UCLA

351 USC -9
352 Notre Dame

353 Miami
354 Florida St -5

355 Oregon -8
356 Washington

357 Michigan St
358 Ohio St -17

359 Virginia
360 Maryland -8

361 Bowling Green -3
362 Kent

363 Tulsa
364 UCF -4

365 NC State
366 ECU -11

367 Stanford
368 Arizona -12

369 SJSU
370 Fresno St -14

371 Houston -8
372 UAB

373 Florida -4
374 Kentucky

375 Boise St
376 La Tech

377 Iowa
378 Purdue -3

379 Ohio -6
380 Toledo

381 Texas -23
382 Baylor

383 Kansas St
384 Oklahoma St -3

385 Cincinnati -11
386 Pittsburgh

387 Michigan
388 Illinois -2

389 Idaho
390 New Mexico St -6

391 Auburn
392 LSU -10

393 UNM -12
394 SDSU

395 Colorado St
396 UNLV -3

397 North Texas
398 Troy -19

399 Arkansas St
400 MTSU -7

401 FAU -4
402 ULL

403 FIU
404 ULM -15

405 USM -6
406 Marshall<!-- / message -->
 
Last edited:
301 USF -4.5
302 Rutgers

303 Utah
304 TCU -5.5

305 Northwestern -10.5
306 EMU

307 L-ville -3.5
308 UConn

309 Buffalo
310 Syracuse -7

311 Miami OH -8.5
312 Temple

313 Mississippi St
314 WVU -18.5

315 Penn St -6.5
316 Indiana

317 CMU
318 Clemson -16

319 N Illinois
320 Wisconsin -19

321 Arkansas -3
322 Mississippi

323 Vanderbilt
324 S Carolina -12.5

325 Wake Forest -2
326 Navy

327 Army
328 Georgia Tech -20

329 Wyoming -3
330 Air Force

331 Ball St
332 WMU -3

333 Kansas -8.5
334 Colorado

335 Memphis
336 Rice PK

337 Tulane
338 SMU -8.5

339 Nevada
340 Utah St

341 Tennessee -1
342 Alabama

343 Texas A&M -4
344 Nebraska

345 Oklahoma -25.5
346 Iowa St

347 Texas Tech
348 Mizzou -6.5

349 California -1
350 UCLA

351 USC -16.5
352 Notre Dame

353 Miami
354 Florida St -7

355 Oregon -8
356 Washington

357 Michigan St
358 Ohio St -18

359 Virginia
360 Maryland -4.5

361 Bowling Green
362 Kent -2

363 Tulsa
364 UCF -4

365 NC State
366 ECU -8

367 Stanford
368 Arizona -12

369 SJSU
370 Fresno St -8.5

371 Houston -12
372 UAB

373 Florida -4.5
374 Kentucky

375 Boise St
376 La Tech

377 Iowa
378 Purdue -7

379 Ohio
380 Toledo -1

381 Texas -22
382 Baylor

383 Kansas St
384 Oklahoma St -3

385 Cincinnati -10.5
386 Pittsburgh

387 Michigan -3
388 Illinois

389 Idaho
390 New Mexico St -4.5

391 Auburn
392 LSU -12.5

393 UNM-9
394 SDSU

395 Colorado St
396 UNLV -5

397 North Texas
398 Troy -19.5

399 Arkansas St
400 MTSU -5.5

401 FAU PK
402 ULL

403 FIU
404 ULM -11
 
husky and seabass,

I lean to Connecticut again this week, but was wondering why Donald Brown didn't get any carries yesterday...you guys got any info?...
 
He apparently is suffering from a "slightly sprained ankle"

It was sustained in the Akron game 2 weeks ago, which means that the coaching staff is full of shit, or Donald Brown was actually suspended under the radar. They need him badly. I really think if Donald was in at the goal line instead of Lou Allen, UConn wins yesterday...
 
I have removed Arkie State and Toledo from my short list as I just don't have faith either one can produce this week and I don't wanna lay my money with bad road teams (Arkie St) or teams that are just plain bad (Toledo). Now if the lines come out a lot different than I expect, then I may reconsider just from a value standpoint, but just don't see either getting a ton of points due to their opposition this week.
 
seabass,

I agree with you that it may have been some type of disciplinary action, 'cause if he was even remotely healthy he would have played yesterday...thanks for that info...
 
Anyone have the LVSC openers for the entire card so that we can get a discussion going around those numbers? Thanks!
 
Thanks guys, appreciate it. Kansas just got added to my short list as I was expecting a TD or so on that one. Not much jumping out at me though so more work still to be done before the lines come out.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Similar threads

bookieassassin
WEEK 4
Replies
44
Views
2K
bookieassassin
bookieassassin
bookieassassin
WEEK 7
Replies
18
Views
1K
Wolfeman
Wolfeman
bookieassassin
WEEK 5
Replies
43
Views
2K
PRIMETIMEE21
P
B.A.R.
Week #7 Underdog Contest Lines
2
Replies
57
Views
458
B.A.R.
B.A.R.
B
Kids Foots Week 6
Replies
3
Views
60
Bigtiger
B
Back
Top