The game @ Texas .....
I think for various reasons you have to like Texas here . Silly things like its Sunday and home teams rule , texas trying to avoid a sweep and not playing that poorly so far when throwing McCarthy and Harrison now there "Ace" goes .
Cle is 7-12 on Sundays but has lost 12 of the past 17 after starting 2-0...also 15-3 UNDER but one caution is MOST of these are day games which just check there day stats and it becomes clearer....
Cle is 3-7 away in 2008 on Sunday and Cliff Lee has all 3 wins. The UND is 7-2-1 with both overs being 7.5 totals...and Lee actually has 5 starts on SUN beating Richmond (Tor) , Silva , And Blanton 2-1.....
of the 7 CLE wins all are by LHP Lee -4 , CC-1 and Sowers -2 ...
Tex is 5-1 L6 situations after losing game 1 and 2 . They are also 12-5 in Game 3 after a LOSS.
Tex is 6-0 in Padilla's L6 Sunday starts
tex is 6-0 In padilla L6 Game 3 starts
tex is 11-2 when Padilla start at home vs a team witha losing record
Tex is 15-4 when Padilla starts after the opponent has allowed 5+ runs L19
Tex is 19-7 L26 with Padilla on normal rest
Tex is 17-7 when he starts in 08 and 20-8 L28 starts
<LI class=morehot>Under is 47-11-4 in Indians last 62 Sunday games. <LI class=more>Under is 44-17-1 in Indians last 62 during game 3 of a series <LI class=more>Under is 17-6 L23 with Estabrook behind the plate
Coming off nine days of rest due to a shoulder problem, the right-hander had given up just one run through six innings against Detroit on Tuesday, but that quickly changed in the seventh. He allowed a walk, a single and two home runs without recording an out in what ended up a nine-run inning during an 11-3 loss.
Cleveland hasn’t swept three or more games in Arlington since Aug. 10-12, 1973 - during the Rangers’ second season in Texas. The Indians haven’t achieved the feat against the Rangers anywhere since Aug. 12-14, 1980 in Cleveland.
Basically Texas has fallen into a slump which injuries to there stacked offense and there already thin pitching staff . Less offense means its more pressure on the bad pitchers and even when they get offense no guarnatee the pitchers can get out ...when Scott Feldman is your # 2 SP in terms of quality its oh shit ! Padilla was doing well until injuries started messing with him . Millwood has been banged up all year . hey have been throwing guys like Tommy Hunetr , Matt Harrison , Luis mendoza who probably delivered maybe 4 quality starts out of 15 .
The above is very important to me ...Padilla pitched well UNTIL the 7th coming off a nine day layoff and inconsistent amount of work recently IMO.
Cle is CLEARLY playing better ball of late but theu have also caught LAA , KC and now Texas in slumps . Reyes has been solid but he only faced one lineup swing well and that was BALT as his others were @ Tor and vs KC. His last time out he lasted only 5 innings ....
The Tribe rely heavily on perez , betancourt and Lewis to finish games . Perez has thrown both games and 2 inn on Friday , Lewis has I believe bene in 3 of 4 ...with the trio in 2 of 3 ..
Very important I think is that CLE sends just 3 LHB out there vs PAdilla and the sidewinder is tough on RHBs..
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=ysptblthbody1 align=right><TD class=yspdetailttl>G</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>GS</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>W</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>L</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>SV</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>CG</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>SHO</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>IP</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>H</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>R</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>ER</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>HR</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>BB</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>K</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>ERA</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>WHIP</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>BAA</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 align=right><TD class=yspscores align=left height=16>vs. Left</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16></TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>24</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>67.1</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>84</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>-</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>-</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>15</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>38</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>42</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>-</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>1.81</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>.304</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16></TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 align=right><TD class=yspscores align=left height=16>vs. Right</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16></TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>24</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>76.0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>74</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>-</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>-</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>10</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>17</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>55</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>-</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>1.20</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>.258</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Now prior history for Padilla is not good vs CLE but would imagine Travis Hafner and Victor Martinez 2 LHBs had alot to do with it and made his life tougher facing those 2 plus SIzemore in the first few hitters...
Still this lineup is 291 off him 16-55 but scary is that they are 8XBHs off him.....
Reyes is 17+ inn allowed 19 hits and 6 walks(only 7ks) not a good indication when ur facing Texas...
Basically in the 1st 2 games TEX was -130 with less proven SP and while they didnt win the games were close ..blowing a nice lead yesterday 7-1 after 4 innings ...Now Reyes has been decent but is he any better then Sowers has been recently ? I dont think so certainly more upside but thats a different topic . So Tex improves its SP and CLE at best is equal then the previous 2 but IMO lesser and u have to pay 10-15-20 cents more when your pen is rested more then theirs and your lineup is stacked tighter .....
RANGERS ML
I think the SP will dictate the TOTAL.If they can throw deep into the game and 6 or 7 innings would expect an under to cash thinking it would be about 5-3 at that point hopefully Texas and just a few atbats to go for each....Plus the CLE UND trends and UMP certainly dont hurt ....
Also looking at -1.5 RL and will probably add some but even Texas 1st 5 inn ML.....
Good Luck ....
This very well written post kept me off of CLEV tonight, but very happy for you and your sweep today.....................nice work!!!! :cheers:
opcorn:
