reNew Orleans
Clubbin' with Rasual Butler
April: 91-69-3 +29.126 Units
May: 98-87-1 +23.288 Units
Overall: 189-156-4 +52.414 Units
Sides: 113-90 +30.123 Units
Run Lines: 13-30 -25.065 Units
Totals: 64-36-4 +47.356 Units
*Lines from Pinnacle*
Really more a comment/discussion thing going on here. But posting my Leans as well.
Also I've been using Weather.com but their infomartion on stadium orientation seems to wrong. Does anyone know whats the deal or has a legit source for weather/stadium orientation?
National League:
Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Over/Under 9
Hamels v. Davies
I'm looking at this game and is it possible for the Braves to get swept? I don't know about choosing a side in this match although I'd have to go with Hamels but I feel he might be getting a little too much respect than he deserves. He is a very good pitcher but he's still got room to improve and has faltered from time to time. His ability to get Ks is what makes him such a good pitcher, but he also gives up the long ball, 8 in 68 2/3 Innings pitched (10 games), about 1 per 9 innings. He also walks a little too much to be considered a "dominant" pitcher. He's faced the Braves twice this year, with a no decision at home and a W away.
Game 1 Home: 7 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 8 Ks - threw 110 Pitches
Game 2 Away: 7.1 IP, 9 H, 4 ER, 2 HR, 3 BBs, 6 Ks - threw 107 pitches
He got a ND in game 1... remember the Phils were terrible to start the year. Got a Win in game 2... he started out shaky giving up 3 ERs in the 1st but pitched a very good game, giving up another HR in the 8th.
Last year he didnt fair so well againt the Braves only lasting 11.1 in 2 starts, 12 H, 8 ER 3 HR, 3 BBs, but got 18 Ks. He really only had 1 bad start though but that bad start he racked up 12 Ks giving up 7 ERs.
Now DAVIES... this guys was a nightmare earlier this year but has improved significantly in his last 3 starts. He gave up 2 ER but 6 were scored in one of those so obviously not his fault. But there's on team that owns him and it's the Phillies.
4 Games (3 starts): 10 IP, 23 H, 19 ER, 5 HR, 5 BB, 8 Ks, 17.10 ERA, 2.80 WHIP, .442 OPP BA.
Those aren't very good #'s obviously. Davies career #'s daytime are worse than night. Better pitcher @ home though.
*Chipper may return tomorrow but from Rotoworld.com
Manager Bobby Cox said he hoped to have Chipper Jones (thumbs) back at third base for Sunday's game versus the Phillies.
It wasn't a good sign that Jones didn't make an appearance off the bench in Saturday's two-run loss. We're guessing he won't play tomorrow.
I lean to the Phils -110 and the OVER 9 -104 in the Game.
New York Mets @ Florida Marlins Over/Under 9.5
Sosa v. Olsen
*Matchbook has 9.5 but Pinny has 9, hopefully I'll be seeing 9 tomorrow.
Sosa finally got rocked in his last game. Does he bounce back in the situation or get rocked once again? Fortunately enough for him he has seen the Marlins in his career a # of times and he's done fairly well. The one player who has success is Miggy of course. Now people may be jumping all over the Mets at -120 or whatever line you get but there's no Shawn Green and he's been on fire this entire season. Also Chris Gomez is day to day with a leg injury so they are calling up Ben Johnson for Sundays game in case. A good sign is Delgado had a big day today with 3 multi hit days in his last 4 days.
Olsen... he's been terrible this year too AND he's a Lefty. Mets love lefties right? But Olsen has a 3.66 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 5 Starts and has a 1-0 record but the Mets have hit .266 off of him. Prior to this series the Marlins were hitting very well but only 2 runs in each of the 1st two games. I'd like to say the Olsen can hold it down but he hasn't shown any signs of that this year and then the Marlins bullpen is there to get rocked of course. Olsen doesn't last deep into games so there will be run scoring at some point of the game.
I don't think Sosa will be pitching like he has the 1st 3 games, but no way he repeats his performance. He was pitching against his former team and in most cases, they may know him too well. I just see the Mets atleast scoring 6/7 tomorrow so the Marlins have to do their part and get to Sosa.
Lean: Mets -120 and Over 9 -110
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds O/U 9.5
(Duke v. Saarloos)
*Pinny has 9.5, Matchbook has 10, hoping to see a drop by tomorrow.
I'm not even going to go into much depth here. I don't know where all this offense from the Pirates is coming from but the Reds are by far the worst team in the MLB right now.
Saarloos and Duke on the mound.
Dukes been shaky, Saarloos is garbage, both bullpens don't impress me, especially the Reds.
Lean: Pirates +107 and OVER 9.5 -105
Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals O/U 9.5
Chico v. Wainwright
This game is gonna be hard to bet for me... nothing intriguing about it.
Basically Wainwright... which one will we see? He's pitched well at home in the last few games but the Nats are one of the hottest teams around right now. Chico a lefty against the Cards but the Cards are hitting much better now. I would have to go with Wainwright but I could never back him up at -173. I just see OVER in all these games so far. OVER 9.5 +102 if I had to choose so.
Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Ginats OVER/UNDER 8.5
Bucholz v. Lowry
If you want someone not getting noticed... Lowrys your guy. He's been great this year and I don't see it stopping but Colorado has hit him well in the past and have already seen him twice this year.
But BUCHOLZ he's been bad. and even worse against the Giants with an ERA of 15.43/2.57 WHIP/.456 OPP BA.
4 Games (3 Starts) - 14 IP, 31 H, 24 ER, 3 HR, 5 BB, 12 Ks.
2 this year - 8 IP, 20 H, 14 ER, 1 HR, 1 BB, 10 Ks. Both these games were this month, 2 and 4 starts ago for Bucholz.
The Giants have obviously been hitting him well and need this win to avoid the sweep from the Giants. Early afternoon game so will Barry Bonds be playing? He's not hitting very well this month and is only 1/5 vs Bucholz.
Lean: SF Giants -161/RL +139/OVER 8.5 -103
Chicago Cubs @ Los Angels Dodgers OVER/UNDER 8
Hill v. Wolf
Hill's never faced the Dogers but he's not pitched well in his last 3 starts, while Wolf has been. The Dodgers hit lefties and Rich Hill is the type to give up HRs but hes facing the Dodgers who only have 28 on the year. Tricky game to me really. But I don't think Hill should be +104 and Wolf -112. I'd say the value lies with the Dodgers and no opinion on the total.
Lean: Dodgers -112
Houston Astros @ Arizona Diamondbacks OVER/UNDER 8
Oswalt v. Hernandez
Oswalt has never lost to the D-Backs, but the D-Backs suddenly found some bats.
Oswalt v. D-Backs in 7 Games:
6-0, 50 IP, 45 H, 11 ER, 2 HR, 9 BB, 47 Ks, 1.98 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, .236 Opp BA
Also on the road this year, look at his stats:
4 Games: 2-2, 26 IP, 16 ER, 3 HR, 11 BB, 17 Ks, 5.54 ERA, 1.54 WHIP, .279 ERA
Hernandez has been pretty reliable this year and his bad games were on the road. He's face the Stros once this year and it wasn't pretty, giving up 11 H, 8 ER in 4 IP. But at home hes been much better with a 2.25 ERA/1.36 WHIP/.243 ERA and still hasn't lost at home. Tonight's game still not over but if the score holds then the D-Backs are going for the sweep.
Lean: D-Backs +122, but not strongly and I'd want a better line.
American League:
Los Angeles Angels @ New York Yankees OVER/UNDER 9.5
Lackey v. Mussina
Career #'s for both against opposing teams would = Mussina
Lackey this year v. Mussina this year = Lackey
Getting Lackey at +128? I don't care if this would mean a sweep for the Angels, you don't see that ever. Yanks don't want to be swept and Moose has to step up here, but I don't know if I really trust him enough to bet the total.
Lean: Angels +128, UNDER 9.5 -120
Oakland Athletics @ Baltimore Orioles OVER/UNDER 8.5
Blanton v. Cabrera
Blanton has been a dependable guy this year giving up around 2/3 over 6/7 IP. Great career #'s vs the O's
3 Games (1-0): 18 IP, 19 H, 5 ER, 1 HR, 7 BB, 12 Ks, 2.50 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, .271 Opp BA.
WHIP a little high, so is the BA.
Cabrera... the guy has control issues and has given up atleast 1 HR in his last 6 games. Bullpen is garbage... that is always a factor for some teams for them to lose, even if this thing is tied up going into the 6th they lose it because of their bullpen.
Cabrera's #'s vs the A's:
2 Starts (0-2): 6 IP, 10 H, 10 ER, 2 HR, 7 BB, 5 Ks, 15.00 ERA, 2.83 WHIP, .357 Opp BA
But the last time he faced them was in 04. Still...
Lean: OVER 8.5 -114
Tampa Bay Devil Rays @ Chicago White Sox OVER/UNDER 8 +109
Kazmir v. Vazquez
The D-Rays luck out and can get a victory now. It's up to the D-Rays bats to get runs and their bullpen not to mess up a lead if they have it when Kazmir leaves. But Kaz has been a little shaky on the road and the White Sox are one of the hottest teams right now.
Lean: Kazmir +116, UNDER 8 +109
Other Leans:
Toronto Blue Jays -115 (Burnett v. Silva)
Boston @ Texas OVER 11 -105 (Tavarez v. Loe)- Loe 5 ER last 3 games, Tavarez +6 ERA v. Rangers
Detriot -103 (Maroth v. Carmona) - Maroth finally lost, good #'s v. Indians
Cleveland @ Detriot UNDER 9.5
Sorry for the dropoff in information provided... got tired of it haha but my leans and summaries should tell you where I stand on these games.
BOL to Yall Sunday :cheers:
May: 98-87-1 +23.288 Units
Overall: 189-156-4 +52.414 Units
Sides: 113-90 +30.123 Units
Run Lines: 13-30 -25.065 Units
Totals: 64-36-4 +47.356 Units
*Lines from Pinnacle*
Really more a comment/discussion thing going on here. But posting my Leans as well.
Also I've been using Weather.com but their infomartion on stadium orientation seems to wrong. Does anyone know whats the deal or has a legit source for weather/stadium orientation?
National League:
Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Over/Under 9
Hamels v. Davies
I'm looking at this game and is it possible for the Braves to get swept? I don't know about choosing a side in this match although I'd have to go with Hamels but I feel he might be getting a little too much respect than he deserves. He is a very good pitcher but he's still got room to improve and has faltered from time to time. His ability to get Ks is what makes him such a good pitcher, but he also gives up the long ball, 8 in 68 2/3 Innings pitched (10 games), about 1 per 9 innings. He also walks a little too much to be considered a "dominant" pitcher. He's faced the Braves twice this year, with a no decision at home and a W away.
Game 1 Home: 7 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 8 Ks - threw 110 Pitches
Game 2 Away: 7.1 IP, 9 H, 4 ER, 2 HR, 3 BBs, 6 Ks - threw 107 pitches
He got a ND in game 1... remember the Phils were terrible to start the year. Got a Win in game 2... he started out shaky giving up 3 ERs in the 1st but pitched a very good game, giving up another HR in the 8th.
Last year he didnt fair so well againt the Braves only lasting 11.1 in 2 starts, 12 H, 8 ER 3 HR, 3 BBs, but got 18 Ks. He really only had 1 bad start though but that bad start he racked up 12 Ks giving up 7 ERs.
Now DAVIES... this guys was a nightmare earlier this year but has improved significantly in his last 3 starts. He gave up 2 ER but 6 were scored in one of those so obviously not his fault. But there's on team that owns him and it's the Phillies.
4 Games (3 starts): 10 IP, 23 H, 19 ER, 5 HR, 5 BB, 8 Ks, 17.10 ERA, 2.80 WHIP, .442 OPP BA.
Those aren't very good #'s obviously. Davies career #'s daytime are worse than night. Better pitcher @ home though.
*Chipper may return tomorrow but from Rotoworld.com
Manager Bobby Cox said he hoped to have Chipper Jones (thumbs) back at third base for Sunday's game versus the Phillies.
It wasn't a good sign that Jones didn't make an appearance off the bench in Saturday's two-run loss. We're guessing he won't play tomorrow.
I lean to the Phils -110 and the OVER 9 -104 in the Game.
New York Mets @ Florida Marlins Over/Under 9.5
Sosa v. Olsen
*Matchbook has 9.5 but Pinny has 9, hopefully I'll be seeing 9 tomorrow.
Sosa finally got rocked in his last game. Does he bounce back in the situation or get rocked once again? Fortunately enough for him he has seen the Marlins in his career a # of times and he's done fairly well. The one player who has success is Miggy of course. Now people may be jumping all over the Mets at -120 or whatever line you get but there's no Shawn Green and he's been on fire this entire season. Also Chris Gomez is day to day with a leg injury so they are calling up Ben Johnson for Sundays game in case. A good sign is Delgado had a big day today with 3 multi hit days in his last 4 days.
Olsen... he's been terrible this year too AND he's a Lefty. Mets love lefties right? But Olsen has a 3.66 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 5 Starts and has a 1-0 record but the Mets have hit .266 off of him. Prior to this series the Marlins were hitting very well but only 2 runs in each of the 1st two games. I'd like to say the Olsen can hold it down but he hasn't shown any signs of that this year and then the Marlins bullpen is there to get rocked of course. Olsen doesn't last deep into games so there will be run scoring at some point of the game.
I don't think Sosa will be pitching like he has the 1st 3 games, but no way he repeats his performance. He was pitching against his former team and in most cases, they may know him too well. I just see the Mets atleast scoring 6/7 tomorrow so the Marlins have to do their part and get to Sosa.
Lean: Mets -120 and Over 9 -110
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds O/U 9.5
(Duke v. Saarloos)
*Pinny has 9.5, Matchbook has 10, hoping to see a drop by tomorrow.
I'm not even going to go into much depth here. I don't know where all this offense from the Pirates is coming from but the Reds are by far the worst team in the MLB right now.
Saarloos and Duke on the mound.
Dukes been shaky, Saarloos is garbage, both bullpens don't impress me, especially the Reds.
Lean: Pirates +107 and OVER 9.5 -105
Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals O/U 9.5
Chico v. Wainwright
This game is gonna be hard to bet for me... nothing intriguing about it.
Basically Wainwright... which one will we see? He's pitched well at home in the last few games but the Nats are one of the hottest teams around right now. Chico a lefty against the Cards but the Cards are hitting much better now. I would have to go with Wainwright but I could never back him up at -173. I just see OVER in all these games so far. OVER 9.5 +102 if I had to choose so.
Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Ginats OVER/UNDER 8.5
Bucholz v. Lowry
If you want someone not getting noticed... Lowrys your guy. He's been great this year and I don't see it stopping but Colorado has hit him well in the past and have already seen him twice this year.
But BUCHOLZ he's been bad. and even worse against the Giants with an ERA of 15.43/2.57 WHIP/.456 OPP BA.
4 Games (3 Starts) - 14 IP, 31 H, 24 ER, 3 HR, 5 BB, 12 Ks.
2 this year - 8 IP, 20 H, 14 ER, 1 HR, 1 BB, 10 Ks. Both these games were this month, 2 and 4 starts ago for Bucholz.
The Giants have obviously been hitting him well and need this win to avoid the sweep from the Giants. Early afternoon game so will Barry Bonds be playing? He's not hitting very well this month and is only 1/5 vs Bucholz.
Lean: SF Giants -161/RL +139/OVER 8.5 -103
Chicago Cubs @ Los Angels Dodgers OVER/UNDER 8
Hill v. Wolf
Hill's never faced the Dogers but he's not pitched well in his last 3 starts, while Wolf has been. The Dodgers hit lefties and Rich Hill is the type to give up HRs but hes facing the Dodgers who only have 28 on the year. Tricky game to me really. But I don't think Hill should be +104 and Wolf -112. I'd say the value lies with the Dodgers and no opinion on the total.
Lean: Dodgers -112
Houston Astros @ Arizona Diamondbacks OVER/UNDER 8
Oswalt v. Hernandez
Oswalt has never lost to the D-Backs, but the D-Backs suddenly found some bats.
Oswalt v. D-Backs in 7 Games:
6-0, 50 IP, 45 H, 11 ER, 2 HR, 9 BB, 47 Ks, 1.98 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, .236 Opp BA
Also on the road this year, look at his stats:
4 Games: 2-2, 26 IP, 16 ER, 3 HR, 11 BB, 17 Ks, 5.54 ERA, 1.54 WHIP, .279 ERA
Hernandez has been pretty reliable this year and his bad games were on the road. He's face the Stros once this year and it wasn't pretty, giving up 11 H, 8 ER in 4 IP. But at home hes been much better with a 2.25 ERA/1.36 WHIP/.243 ERA and still hasn't lost at home. Tonight's game still not over but if the score holds then the D-Backs are going for the sweep.
Lean: D-Backs +122, but not strongly and I'd want a better line.
American League:
Los Angeles Angels @ New York Yankees OVER/UNDER 9.5
Lackey v. Mussina
Career #'s for both against opposing teams would = Mussina
Lackey this year v. Mussina this year = Lackey
Getting Lackey at +128? I don't care if this would mean a sweep for the Angels, you don't see that ever. Yanks don't want to be swept and Moose has to step up here, but I don't know if I really trust him enough to bet the total.
Lean: Angels +128, UNDER 9.5 -120
Oakland Athletics @ Baltimore Orioles OVER/UNDER 8.5
Blanton v. Cabrera
Blanton has been a dependable guy this year giving up around 2/3 over 6/7 IP. Great career #'s vs the O's
3 Games (1-0): 18 IP, 19 H, 5 ER, 1 HR, 7 BB, 12 Ks, 2.50 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, .271 Opp BA.
WHIP a little high, so is the BA.
Cabrera... the guy has control issues and has given up atleast 1 HR in his last 6 games. Bullpen is garbage... that is always a factor for some teams for them to lose, even if this thing is tied up going into the 6th they lose it because of their bullpen.
Cabrera's #'s vs the A's:
2 Starts (0-2): 6 IP, 10 H, 10 ER, 2 HR, 7 BB, 5 Ks, 15.00 ERA, 2.83 WHIP, .357 Opp BA
But the last time he faced them was in 04. Still...
Lean: OVER 8.5 -114
Tampa Bay Devil Rays @ Chicago White Sox OVER/UNDER 8 +109
Kazmir v. Vazquez
The D-Rays luck out and can get a victory now. It's up to the D-Rays bats to get runs and their bullpen not to mess up a lead if they have it when Kazmir leaves. But Kaz has been a little shaky on the road and the White Sox are one of the hottest teams right now.
Lean: Kazmir +116, UNDER 8 +109
Other Leans:
Toronto Blue Jays -115 (Burnett v. Silva)
Boston @ Texas OVER 11 -105 (Tavarez v. Loe)- Loe 5 ER last 3 games, Tavarez +6 ERA v. Rangers
Detriot -103 (Maroth v. Carmona) - Maroth finally lost, good #'s v. Indians
Cleveland @ Detriot UNDER 9.5
Sorry for the dropoff in information provided... got tired of it haha but my leans and summaries should tell you where I stand on these games.
BOL to Yall Sunday :cheers:
Last edited:
