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VirginiaCavs

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2 Parlays June 18: Marlins and Rangers Are On Upset Alert


Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals
Sunday, June 18, 2023 at 1:35 p.m. ET at Nationals Park in Washington & Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners Sunday, June 18, 2023 at 4:10 p.m. ET at T-Mobile Park in Seattle

Who Starts for Miami?

Jesus Luzardo starts for the Marlins today.

Luzardo has grown increasingly unreliable as the season has progressed.

His three worst starts all came in the last month.

In those three starts, he allowed six earned runs to the Giants after holding them to three in his first start against them in April; more recently, he allowed five earned runs both to the Padres and to the Mariners.

Rematch

While Luzardo's last start against Washington went well, there are two things to note.

One, that start took place on May 15, before Luzardo began having his worst starts of the season.

Two, that start happened in Miami where Washington's lineup has generally struggled the last two seasons.

This rematch, which takes place in Washington D.C., will yield a different result.

Obviously, the Nationals are more comfortable hitting in their own ballpark than in Miami.

At home, they can exploit their matchup advantage against him.

The Nats rank 11th against Luzardo's pitches from lefties.

As a lineup, they are way better against lefties than righties, and they are likewise way stronger daytime than nighttime.

Lane Thomas, Keibert Ruiz, and Joey Meneses all boast strong track record against Luzardo, in terms of slugging rate.

Who Starts for Washington?

Patrick Corbin starts for Washington.

The Nats are dogged largely because he is starting and his overall numbers are awful.

But he repeatedly owns Miami in Washington, where he has held them to two earned runs or fewer in at least six innings in three straight starts.

Who Starts for Seattle?

Bryce Miller starts for the Mariners today.

Miller's ERA is as high as it is because he got slammed by Rangers and Yankees lineups that match up superbly well against him.

But he has thrived otherwise.

His outlook is solid against a White Sox lineup that slugs .381 against his favorite pitches from righties.

Who Starts for the White Sox?

Lance Lynn starts for Chicago today.

Lynn loves facing the Mariners: he boasts a 1.97 ERA against them in seven career starts.

The fact that the Mariners rank 24th in slugging .392 against his pitches from righties suggests that Lynn will continue flourishing against them.

Today's situation suggests the same.

This situation is that the Mariners tend to struggle to hit in the final game of a home stand, in which situation they've scored three runs or fewer every time.

Best Bet: Parlay Nationals ML at +143 & White Sox/Mariners under 8 at -115 at +354 odds with BetOnline






Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals
Sunday, June 18, 2023 at 2:10 p.m. ET at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City & Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers Sunday, June 18, 2023 at 2:35 p.m. ET at Globe Life Field in Arlington

Who Starts for the Angels?

Tyler Anderson starts for L.A. today.

Anderson enters today's game in awful form: he has allowed at least four earned runs in three straight starts -- those starts came against the White Sox, Cubs, and Rangers.

In these starts, he allowed a combined total of 15 earned runs.

Kansas City's Lineup

Hitting-wise, the Royals are in an optimal spot.

They slug stronger against lefties than righties (Anderson is a lefty), stronger at home than on the road, and stronger during the day than at night.

Supported by all these advantages, expect them to extend the momentum that they built last night when they scored eight runs in the final three innings.

Who Starts for the Royals?

Zack Greinke starts for the Royals today.

Greinke enters this game in a rough stretch, having allowed a combined total of eight earned runs in his past two starts, which took place against the Marlins and Reds.

Angels' Lineup

The Angels are sure to extend Greinke's ongoing struggle, as they match up well against Greinke.

They rank fifth in slugging .449 against his pitches from righties.

Among others, look out for Hunter Renfroe and Mike Trout.

Both slug over .680 in over 20 career at-bats against Greinke.

Who Starts for the Blue Jays?

Chris Bassitt starts for Toronto today.

After his last start in Baltimore, he is in a great bounce-back spot.

Bassitt has done a great job of bouncing back after his worst starts.

For example, after allowing seven earned runs on May 27 in Minnesota, he shut out the Mets in 7.2 innings in his following start.

Bassitt's Matchup

Bassitt's outlook tonight is particularly solid because he loves facing Texas.

He is 5-2 with a 3.07 ERA in nine career starts against Texas.

No active Rangers batter has even managed an extra-base hit off him.

Who Starts for Texas?

Jon Gray starts for the Rangers today.

Gray has benefitted from facing soft competition in terms of matchup.

Baltimore is one of two teams he's faced that rank top-10 against his pitches from righties.

He yielded a 6.11 FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) against them.

Arizona is the other team, and he allowed a season-high four earned runs against it.

Toronto will be the third: it ranks fifth in slugging .445 against his pitches from righties.

Best Bet: Parlay Angels/Royals over 9.5 at -105 & Blue Jays ML at +110 at +310 with BetOnline
 
I was assigned parlays, but I have no idea why anyone would parlay my plays. It's four straight wagers for me.
 
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