Sunday Discussion Thread

call your momma, appreciate your significant other today, they’ve put up with you and your ways, since day 1.

ML parlay- Braves / Marlins / Yanks +319 2.6u (DK)
 
Todays 5 pack

wash -134. Nats have a star in the making

pgh under 8.5. Unders are the way to go with this shit lineup. Will not get more than 2 vs Sale

KC -122 lugo a monster at home. Looks to have found his groove.

SF +141 Nice dog play here

WSX +123 Alcantara shouldnt be favorite over any team. He has been horrible.

Remember Sundays are for dogs and unders
 
Todays 5 pack

wash -134. Nats have a star in the making

pgh under 8.5. Unders are the way to go with this shit lineup. Will not get more than 2 vs Sale

KC -122 lugo a monster at home. Looks to have found his groove.

SF +141 Nice dog play here

WSX +123 Alcantara shouldnt be favorite over any team. He has been horrible.

Remember Sundays are for dogs and unders


I liked nats also im so glad I passed on baseball and just played the nba and nhl today. I think I woulda had a bad day and I just wasn’t up for capping all the games. Although a few guys k props I liked hit but far as sides I wouldn’t have did real well. I liked Nats a lot, no clue how cards on a 8 game win streak and just swept Nats w gore on mound? They wernt great sweeping teams before they went to shit, now they on b2b sweeps, that rarely happened vs anyone.
 
Wow. So I was looking at wheeler k’s cause he been a straight beast (per usual) but cle is throwing out 8 lefties or switch hitters against him in their lineup tonight! Historically wheeler k:bb is damn near half as much vs lefties but so far this season he very close to his fantastic 5.5 to 1 k/bb vs left handed hitters but it a very small sample compared to his career obviously, for his career he more like 2.75 to 1, certainly not bad but not that elite 5 to 1, tough call. For the most part guardians always been a fairly high contact low strikeout team as well. Freaking tough one.
 
The top half the guardians lineup just doesn’t strike out. I almost spewed all over to bet wheeler over 6.5 k’s without even capping it, maybe he will still get 7+ and I’ll be mad at myself for doing my due diligence but 6.5 for wheeler has to be at least 1 k lower than they line him in practically every game right? Dude has 66 punch outs in 51 innings! If I had the stones I’d play his under but I can’t do that I’d feel like a god damn moron if he goes out and has 7k’s in 4 innings or some shit! I don’t think that will happen, I believe it would have to be a situation where he pitches at least 7 innings cause he will need to get 3 cracks at the bottom the order to pull this off.
 
So I guess what im saying here is wheeler over 18.5 outs at +130 is a better value cause I just don’t think he fanning 7+ unless he pitches at least into the 7th if not the entire inning. He has been 50/50 going over that number in his 8 starts so +130 has a bit of value imo.
 
Wow. Wheeler got to 7 k’s before completing 6 innings. I was correct he have to do his work vs the bottom half cle lineup but he made super quick work of them fanning 6 after the 4 hole. Punched out the 2 hitter once and he just got Santana who very low k most his career. Bottom line wheeler is just a beast and yes I’m kicking myself for capping it instead of just blindly jumping all over the 6.5 k’s!! lol
 
Wheeler hit his out total as well his k’s. The out total was +130 so I guess that ended up being the better play?!?
 
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