Strongly recommend a wager on KC -138 SUNDAY. LONG EXPLANATION

[Gyno]

Royals are a solid wager for Sunday and here is why.

I give the Royals over a 70% chance of winning this game and with the odds saying KC has a 58.3% (-140) chance of winning I have a tremendous edge I believe.

White Sox pitcher Rienzo hasn't pitched since 6/6 so this will be 8 days rest. His last start was postponed due to weather. Rienzo has a career whip of 1.49 and his WHIP this season is 1.50. HIS FIP is 4.9 and during his last two starts he couldn't get past the 3rd inning. In fact Rienzo hasn't gone more than 6 all season which means White Sox BP which has been used quite a bit lately will be used a lot again. Noesi only lasted 3.2 on Saturday using 3 relievers and Carrol made 69 pitchers on Friday.

White Sox BP has a league leading xERA of 4.02 , an OPPBA of .341 and a league leading 1.47 WHIP. Rienzo will need to go long to give this used up BP a chance and considering his track record and the fact KC bats are smoking hot I think there is a great chance we see 3+ innings of WS bullpen.

Royals BP is just fine.. 3.28 FIP, 3.36 xERA


KC bats have actually been hot lately batting around .300 with an OPS of .800 last 6 games and thats great for KC.


Shields vs WS
[TABLE="class: cms_table_tablehead, width: 612"]
<tbody>[TR="class: cms_table_stathead"]
[TD="colspan: 13"]CHICAGO WHITE SOX CAREER STATISTICS VS. JAMES SHIELDS[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: cms_table_colhead"]
[TD]BATTER[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]AB[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]H[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]2B[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]3B[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]HR[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]RBI[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]BB[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]SO[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]AVG[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]OBP[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]SLG[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]OPS[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: cms_table_oddrow cms_table_player-10-33095"]
[TD]Jose Abreu[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].333[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].333[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: cms_table_evenrow cms_table_player-10-30117"]
[TD]Gordon Beckham[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]29[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]9[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]9[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].310[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].355[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].586[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].941[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: cms_table_oddrow cms_table_player-10-30449"]
[TD]Jordan Danks[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]6[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]4[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].167[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].167[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].333[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].500[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: cms_table_evenrow cms_table_player-10-28728"]
[TD]Alejandro De Aza[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]24[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]4[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].167[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].231[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].167[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].397[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: cms_table_oddrow cms_table_player-10-4808"]
[TD]Adam Dunn[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]29[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]5[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]4[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]5[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]12[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].172[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].294[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].276[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].570[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: cms_table_evenrow cms_table_player-10-32068"]
[TD]Adam Eaton[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].333[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].333[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].333[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].667[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: cms_table_oddrow cms_table_player-10-30157"]
[TD]Tyler Flowers[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]8[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].125[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].222[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].500[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].722[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: cms_table_evenrow cms_table_player-10-30729"]
[TD]Avisail Garcia[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]12[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].167[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].231[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].250[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].481[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: cms_table_oddrow cms_table_player-10-29263"]
[TD]Conor Gillaspie[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]15[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]5[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].333[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].333[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].467[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].800[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: cms_table_evenrow cms_table_player-10-3747"]
[TD]Paul Konerko[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]38[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]6[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]6[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]11[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].158[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].289[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].158[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].447[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: cms_table_oddrow cms_table_player-10-30600"]
[TD]Josh Phegley[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]8[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].125[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].125[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].250[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].375[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: cms_table_evenrow cms_table_player-10-28952"]
[TD]Alexei Ramirez[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]45[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]19[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]6[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]4[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].422[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].458[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].622[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]1.081[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: cms_table_oddrow cms_table_player-10-32146"]
[TD]Marcus Semien[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]5[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].200[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].200[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].200[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].400[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: cms_table_evenrow cms_table_player-10-30675"]
[TD]Moises Sierra[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: cms_table_oddrow cms_table_player-10-30103"]
[TD]Dayan Viciedo[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]22[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]8[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]4[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].364[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].417[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].364[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].780[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: cms_table_evenrow cms_table_bi"]
[TD]Totals[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]249[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]63[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]8[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]6[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]19[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]19[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"]60[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].253[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].319[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].365[/TD]
[TD="class: cms_table_textright"].684[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]



Not great or bad so that's ok.

Shields doing his thing this season ERA 3.44..xFIP of 3.49

5 of his last 7 outings were QS and historically he's been a solid pitcher in June.


It doesn't hurt that KC has won 7 games in a row while the White Sox have lost 4 in a row. Hot team vs cold team. Royals are very close to first place and I don't think they will take a game off, this team is fighting right now.

They have outscored the White Sox 16-3 last two games. Beating them 7-2 on friday and 9-1 Saturday.


Giving .38 cents on the road is not my cup of tea as I am more of a dog player but this is a really good wager.

 

[KowboyKarl]

Good info... GL brotha

 

[KeyKnee]

Good Stuff gyno. Sheilds I believe is better on the road as well. GL today

 

[az1538]

Stupid White Sox

GL!

 

[GWarner27]

You ain't no dog player!!

Good luck buddy, hope big game James shows up for you

 

[Gyno]

Almost all my big plays this season has been on dogs...

The majority of my plays have been on +..

I'm not against betting faves though and bet them often.. I bet when I have an edge..

If a team is - 160 when they should be - 230, hell yeah ill bet..

Some of the best wagers I've made in my life were of odds of - 300 to - 600..
If a wager is - 500 when you have a 95% edge that's a great investment...

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

Sunday, away, rival is scary. I hope you win. Gl gyo.

 

[Gyno]

Balk?

 

[cogenman]

good call

 

[tipyerbartender1]

Thanks, gyno. Played it, parlayed it. Good work!

 

[Gyno]

No problem..

I posted this write up cause I had time and in case people want to know what I look at when looking at these games..

 

[P-Unit]

Very nice work again gyno. I tailed big. Love the info.

 

[D-Woww]

Solid as always

 

[B.A.R.]

Great work.

 

[HUNT]

Good job.