Steelers @ Bengals MNF Discussion

Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati

Few offensive lines played worse in Week 1 than Pittsburgh's, which is a red flag for two reasons: 1. They faced the Titans. 2. Their problems are exacerbated by C Maurkice Pouncey's ACL and MCL tears. So the Steelers head to Cincy without their best lineman to face arguably the NFL's most ferocious D-Line. I'd start the Bengals' fantasy defense with excitement. ... Albeit injury shortened, Ben Roethlisberger quietly had one of his most productive seasons in 2012. He still struggled mightily against Mike Zimmer's Cincinnati defense. Big Ben was limited to 41-of-65 passing for 498 yards, two touchdowns, and four turnovers, absorbing seven sacks in their two meetings. I would not be surprised if Roethlisberger were sacked five-plus times Monday night. ... Antonio Brown was one of Pittsburgh's few skill-position players who played well in the two 2012 Bengals matchups, registering stat lines of 7-96 and 5-97-1. Lock in Brown as a WR2. ... Rookie Markus Wheaton had a highly impressive preseason, but still has depth-chart climbing to do. The explosive third-rounder played just seven snaps against Tennessee and wasn't targeted.

Emmanuel Sanders is somewhat appealing as a Week 2 WR3 candidate. Big Ben targeted him a team-high 12 times in Week 1, and Sanders will primarily face 35-year-old Bengals LCB Terence Newman in coverage. ... The Steelers are getting no production from their tight ends with Heath Miller (knee) still on the shelf, which means Sanders and Brown are going to see consistent heavy targets. It's just something to keep in mind. Miller is not expected back until October, possibly in Week 6. ... Pittsburgh's running game is essentially a non-factor, and likely to remain that way in this difficult matchup. The Bengals held Bears backs to 65 yards on 25 Week 1 runs (2.60 YPC), and the unholy triumvirate of Isaac Redman, Jonathan Dwyer, and Felix Jones is much worse than Matt Forte. This Steelers offense is simply going to struggle to sustain and create big plays. I think they need to start giving Wheaton more snaps. And they definitely need Le'Veon Bell back.


Editor's Note: Rotoworld's partner FanDuel is hosting a one-week $25,000 Fantasy Football league for Week 3. It's $10 to join and first prize is $3,500. Starts Sunday at 1pm ET. Here's the link.


The over-under on Steelers-Bengals is 40.5, among the lowest of Week 2. I'd still take the under. Whereas Pittsburgh is in rough shape on offense, they are loaded and vicious on defense, and Dick LeBeau has unfailingly had Andy Dalton's number. In his four career Steelers games, Dalton is 64-of-123 passing (52%) for 688 yards (5.59 YPA), and a 4:5 TD-to-INT ratio. Dalton isn't on the QB2 radar this week. ... A.J. Green was one of the most impressive players on a Week 1 football field, torching Bears CBs Charles Tillman and Tim Jennings for a touchdown apiece en route to a 9-162-2 line. Green's battles with Steelers RCB Ike Taylor have gone either way, but Taylor, 33, is getting up there in age while 25-year-old Green is getting better. Green is a top-five fantasy wideout in Week 2. ... At least from a fantasy perspective, the fear for Bengals TEs Tyler Eifert and Jermaine Gresham is that they will cancel each other out in the box score, and such was the case in Week 1. Both had five targets and five catches, and Eifert led the way with 47 yards. The Steelers annually defend the tight end as stingily as any team in the league. Eifert is probably going to end up with the most 2013 production, but he is not a fantasy TE1.

Possession receiver Mohamed Sanu is vying for targets with Eifert, Gresham, and Marvin Jones behind Green. While Sanu is a respectable red-zone target, his role doesn't lend itself to high-end production. Sanu caught 4-of-5 targets in the opener for 19 yards. Look elsewhere. ... The single biggest surprise of Cincinnati's opener was Giovani Bernard's minimal usage. While BenJarvus Green-Ellis plodded his way to 25 yards and a goal-line score on 14 carries, the Bengals' most explosive runner was limited to five touches and 22 offensive snaps. Until Bernard establishes a larger role, he can't be trusted as a flex play. Perhaps that'll begin as soon as Week 2, but the matchup makes it a wait-and-see fantasy week. The Steelers ranked No. 2 in the NFL in 2012 run defense, and in Week 1 stuffed the Titans for 112 yards on 42 carries (2.67 YPC). Green-Ellis would be a poor flex option. Keep Bernard stashed on your bench, because his time is coming.

Score Prediction: Bengals 17, Steelers 14
Monday Night Football

Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati

Few offensive lines played worse in Week 1 than Pittsburgh's, which is a red flag for two reasons: 1. They faced the Titans. 2. Their problems are exacerbated by C Maurkice Pouncey's ACL and MCL tears. So the Steelers head to Cincy without their best lineman to face arguably the NFL's most ferocious D-Line. I'd start the Bengals' fantasy defense with excitement. ... Albeit injury shortened, Ben Roethlisberger quietly had one of his most productive seasons in 2012. He still struggled mightily against Mike Zimmer's Cincinnati defense. Big Ben was limited to 41-of-65 passing for 498 yards, two touchdowns, and four turnovers, absorbing seven sacks in their two meetings. I would not be surprised if Roethlisberger were sacked five-plus times Monday night. ... Antonio Brown was one of Pittsburgh's few skill-position players who played well in the two 2012 Bengals matchups, registering stat lines of 7-96 and 5-97-1. Lock in Brown as a WR2. ... Rookie Markus Wheaton had a highly impressive preseason, but still has depth-chart climbing to do. The explosive third-rounder played just seven snaps against Tennessee and wasn't targeted.

Emmanuel Sanders is somewhat appealing as a Week 2 WR3 candidate. Big Ben targeted him a team-high 12 times in Week 1, and Sanders will primarily face 35-year-old Bengals LCB Terence Newman in coverage. ... The Steelers are getting no production from their tight ends with Heath Miller (knee) still on the shelf, which means Sanders and Brown are going to see consistent heavy targets. It's just something to keep in mind. Miller is not expected back until October, possibly in Week 6. ... Pittsburgh's running game is essentially a non-factor, and likely to remain that way in this difficult matchup. The Bengals held Bears backs to 65 yards on 25 Week 1 runs (2.60 YPC), and the unholy triumvirate of Isaac Redman, Jonathan Dwyer, and Felix Jones is much worse than Matt Forte. This Steelers offense is simply going to struggle to sustain and create big plays. I think they need to start giving Wheaton more snaps. And they definitely need Le'Veon Bell back.



Editor's Note: Rotoworld's partner FanDuel is hosting a one-week $25,000 Fantasy Football league for Week 3. It's $10 to join and first prize is $3,500. Starts Sunday at 1pm ET. Here's the link.


The over-under on Steelers-Bengals is 40.5, among the lowest of Week 2. I'd still take the under. Whereas Pittsburgh is in rough shape on offense, they are loaded and vicious on defense, and Dick LeBeau has unfailingly had Andy Dalton's number. In his four career Steelers games, Dalton is 64-of-123 passing (52%) for 688 yards (5.59 YPA), and a 4:5 TD-to-INT ratio. Dalton isn't on the QB2 radar this week. ... A.J. Green was one of the most impressive players on a Week 1 football field, torching Bears CBs Charles Tillman and Tim Jennings for a touchdown apiece en route to a 9-162-2 line. Green's battles with Steelers RCB Ike Taylor have gone either way, but Taylor, 33, is getting up there in age while 25-year-old Green is getting better. Green is a top-five fantasy wideout in Week 2. ... At least from a fantasy perspective, the fear for Bengals TEs Tyler Eifert and Jermaine Gresham is that they will cancel each other out in the box score, and such was the case in Week 1. Both had five targets and five catches, and Eifert led the way with 47 yards. The Steelers annually defend the tight end as stingily as any team in the league. Eifert is probably going to end up with the most 2013 production, but he is not a fantasy TE1.

Possession receiver Mohamed Sanu is vying for targets with Eifert, Gresham, and Marvin Jones behind Green. While Sanu is a respectable red-zone target, his role doesn't lend itself to high-end production. Sanu caught 4-of-5 targets in the opener for 19 yards. Look elsewhere. ... The single biggest surprise of Cincinnati's opener was Giovani Bernard's minimal usage. While BenJarvus Green-Ellis plodded his way to 25 yards and a goal-line score on 14 carries, the Bengals' most explosive runner was limited to five touches and 22 offensive snaps. Until Bernard establishes a larger role, he can't be trusted as a flex play. Perhaps that'll begin as soon as Week 2, but the matchup makes it a wait-and-see fantasy week. The Steelers ranked No. 2 in the NFL in 2012 run defense, and in Week 1 stuffed the Titans for 112 yards on 42 carries (2.67 YPC). Green-Ellis would be a poor flex option. Keep Bernard stashed on your bench, because his time is coming.

Score Prediction: Bengals 17, Steelers 14
 
Steelers (0-1) @ Bengals (0-1)—This is most points Bengals have been favored by over Pitt since 1989, but with C Pouncey out for year, heart/soul of Steeler OL is gone. Steelers won five of last six games in series where six of last eight games were decided by 7 or less points. Pitt won last three visits here, by 6-7-7 points- they’re 9-7 as road dog under Tomlin, but 5-6 in divisional games. Since ’08, Cincy has been consistent money burner as HF, going 6-15-1 vs spread, 4-11 in division games. Pitt offense didn’t score until last 2:00 at home last week, gaining 195 yards, running for 32- they went 3/out five of 10 drives, leading to huge 21-yard deficit in average field position. Bengals averaged 8.1/pass attempt, outgained Bears, but were -2 in turnovers and came up short- they started eight of ten drives 80+ yards from goal line, also going 3/out on five of 10 drives. Bengals are 0-3-1 in last four tries as favorite in home opener; Steelers are 2-4 in last six road openers, scoring 19 or less points in all six games. Over last five years, Bengals are 14-21-3 vs spread in game following a loss; over last three years, Steelers are 11-4-1 vs spread in same role.
 
The Steelers have won their last 3 games SU as underdogs at Cincinnati, but they haven't been underdogs there since 2006.
 
These old stats don't mean much in this one IMO. Steez have no running game and are very banged up. I think if cincy doesn't cover it's because they shot themselves in the foot. Pitt D still above average but offensively they are pretty poor. OC Haley has to go. He's a terrible fit for this team.
 
we all "know" that the steelers are the right side. vegas is on em, pinnacle is on em, everyone who knows football is on em. everyone at the local sportsbooks here in vegas on the bengals, every idiot in the world loves them to cover a touchdown...so naturally when the bengals win in a bloodbath it's going to be absurdly tilting for all the smart people lol
 
PITT has cinny number and it's prime time Monday cinny always finds a way to lose
 
Todd Haley is the death of the Steelers.

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we all "know" that the steelers are the right side. vegas is on em, pinnacle is on em, everyone who knows football is on em. everyone at the local sportsbooks here in vegas on the bengals, every idiot in the world loves them to cover a touchdown...so naturally when the bengals win in a bloodbath it's going to be absurdly tilting for all the smart people lol


there are many people on the steelers for the sole fact that they are the steelers... just go to covers and you'll see for yourself... what do you expect the linemakers to do?

i just locked in cincy -6 -120
 
Worst Steeler team that I have seen in a long time,,,and I have been watching them since 70's. Haley and Tomlin need to go. Offense isn't built around Ben it is built against him. Tomlin is now past Cowhers players, now we are into his terrible picks, and well it shows.
 
there are many people on the steelers for the sole fact that they are the steelers... just go to covers and you'll see for yourself... what do you expect the linemakers to do?

i just locked in cincy -6 -120

Um, I expect them to do exactly what they did. Leave up a Cinci -6.5 to get as much bengal money as possible...
 
i am done overthinking this game
pitt is a mess
cincy at home with a great D
cincy rolls, 31-13
 
Pitt's defense was #1 in the league last week... in yards allowed.

They get a week to regroup.

Cinnci is not a top 10 NFL team.
 
Just see everyone and their mom's best friend promoting why Cinnci rolls and how the Steelers will win 2 games. When in fact their defense was still in dominant form, if not the most dominant form, of all week 1 teams.
 
Everyone thinks the sky is falling in Pitt, but I'm still taking the divisional opponent catching an inflated line with the better qb in primetime. GL guys
 
Actually the overall perception is a tight divisional game meaning Pitt plus the points, at least that's the feeling I'm getting among the peeps.

Big Ben also has his share of 'riders'...
 
I take $50-$100 action from about a dozen people and I'm holding... 12 Bengal tickets.

None of that really matters though IMO.
 
I take $50-$100 action from about a dozen people and I'm holding... 12 Bengal tickets.

None of that really matters though IMO.

Where I am, +7 is awfully hard to resist on a former NFL super power. I'd say I would be holding 8 outta 12 Steez tickets...
 
Trent on Pitt. Good sign. The rest of the idiots all over Cinnci.

Just like last week w/ everyone on the Skins. ML and ATS fading that was gold.
 
Everyone wants to be on the anti-public side, lol. It doesn't really matter. But 2 out of every 3 tickets is a Bengals one. But that's not the point.
 
Everyone according to Pinnacle is not on the Bengals, currently holding a very 'juiced' 7...
 
Moral of the story I guess, is that you've got to score points to win. Steez should struggle in that category...
 
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