Austria - Erste Division
Kapfenberg -1.5 (AH) +115 vs FC Karnten (3 units to win 3.45 units)
Huge mismatch here as you have the third place team in Kapfenberg hosting the worst team in the league in Karnten. Just to show how bad Karnten has been, overall in 14 games they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 11 losses with a 8-32 goal differential. Karntens only 2 positives on the road so far has been beating a team just as bad as them and a miracle scoreless draw against Austria Lustenau. Kapfenberg has been good at home so far this season with 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss and a 16-11 goal differential. Both these teams met at Karnten in August with Kapfenberg winning 3-0.
Hard to see anything but a Kapfenberg win here. I hated how high the price was on the -1 so waited for it to reach -1.5 at plus money. think it has a great chance to cover as when Karten loses on the road its usually by a 2+ goal margin.
Schwadorf ASK/Salzburg Am over 3 -123 (4.92 units to win 4 units)
Think this game could see plenty of goals as both teams avg a good amount with their home/away form so far. Schwadorf ASK at home has a goal differential of 14-14 in 7 games so a 4 goal avg overall and in their last 4 home games all 4 have gone 3 or more. As for Salzburg Am they have a 12-15 goal differential on the road in 7 games so just slightly under a 4 goal avg and 3 out of their last 4 road games have gone over 3. Both teams met at Salzburg in August with Salzburg winning 3-2. Both of these teams can score goals and concede goals at a good rate, so hard not to like the over.