Silkydiamonds
Imma sip this tea
Ehh last week went 5-7, not so good. Basically have the results of flipping a coin. Maybe I can breakout this week. Will certainly try
overall: 46-45 | 50.5% | -2.55u
I've posted my FSU plays in a couple other threads, but I've got FSU -2 & -1.5 so far. I'm gonna write this one up, it'll come in sections (lil silky comes 1st).
Stat That Stands Out
16
That’s how many 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] downs Miami has picked up passing this season ranking them #121. How bad is that? Everyone’s favorite passing offense the Florida Gators have picked up 20 on only 10 more attempts. It’s just 3 better than New Mexico on 16 more attempts. NEW FUCKING MEXICO!! You know the triple option team that’s attempted 113 passes all season. Yeah they are better at converting 3rds into 1[SUP]st[/SUP] passing than Miami. As a percent of passing attempts to conversions Miami is hitting at a leisurely 27.1%, the triple option Lobos? 30.2%
This begins to describe that Miami is pretty much an all or nothing squad. When you cant convert 3rds passing, you limit the actual 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] downs you have a chance on. Yeah with a great RB & OL 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] & <4 is doable and hit almost around 50%. But what you gon do when you’re seeing 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] & 5+ all the time? Might as well send the punter out in that situation.
As a comparison, in the same 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] down passing situation FSU has picked up 39 1sts (#16 in the country) on 81 att. Hitting at a fucking insane 48.1%.
And thus we begin to tell the tale of Boom & Bust vs Methodical.
On The Ground
Duke Johnson, Duke Johnson, Duke Johnson! Oh yeah and Joe Yearby aint bad either. Miami has 1 of the finest RBs in the nation in Duke Johnson. Since he 1[SUP]st[/SUP] set foot on campus in Coral Gables he’s been the electric. Injuries have sidelined in each previous year, but this year he’s healthy and kicking ass. Duke has crossed 100yds in each of his last 5 gms, including 249 in Blacksburg vs VaTech. (Sidenote, Frank Beamer you should probably hang it up, I saw this movie before with Bobby Bowden it doesn’t end well. Bobby at least had Florida kids to recruit from, Frank you don’t) . The Canes will get theirs on the ground, in the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] half at least. No one is goin to completely shut down Duke, he’s just that good. Joe Yearby was a HS teammate of FSU super Frosh Dalvin Cook, and was once committed to play for FSU. Prior to their Sr years Yearby was actually rated higher than Cook. He’s a great back & the future of the UM running game. The Cane OL does a good job of pinning their man and allowing Duke to plant his foot and go. Johnson issuch a naturally gifted & explosive runner that when a lane opens up if you don’t hit him early he will hit the endzone. Or go very far at least.
FSU has been VERY pedestrian running the ball, there was a lil breakout from Dalvin vs Cuse & Ville. Karlos came into the season with huge expectations because of that gaudy 8ypc number. He’s found being the lead back aint so easy. Then again this is a guy who started last season as a Safety, so…..Mario Pender is probably FSU’s best back but he’s missed 4 games already. There’s big talent in the FSU backfield, but big results haven’t come. Losing a starting center in the Wake Forest game didn’t help, but the line overall hasn’t been great. Its really hard to mesh a a running game together when your lead back just started playing RB last year, you have a Frosh learning on the fly & your best back has been hurt. Add the manager of the OL (the center), getting hurt early and even then it was his 1[SUP]st[/SUP] year being the main man at center making all the calls. And then plugging in a RS Frosh Center, you see where a lot of continuity problems come from. The running game has gotten better every week though. FSU doesn’t need LOTS from its running game, just enough to keep some balance & not allow defenses to drop 8 on 1[SUP]st[/SUP]. Where FSU has been effective is in short yardage & goal line situations. Very important to have ability to pick up those yards, its what keeps the chains moving and puts consistent points on the board. This is key as Miami hasn’t given up a ton of long rushing plays, but they are however susceptible to being ground out for shorter plays.
overall: 46-45 | 50.5% | -2.55u
I've posted my FSU plays in a couple other threads, but I've got FSU -2 & -1.5 so far. I'm gonna write this one up, it'll come in sections (lil silky comes 1st).
Stat That Stands Out
16
That’s how many 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] downs Miami has picked up passing this season ranking them #121. How bad is that? Everyone’s favorite passing offense the Florida Gators have picked up 20 on only 10 more attempts. It’s just 3 better than New Mexico on 16 more attempts. NEW FUCKING MEXICO!! You know the triple option team that’s attempted 113 passes all season. Yeah they are better at converting 3rds into 1[SUP]st[/SUP] passing than Miami. As a percent of passing attempts to conversions Miami is hitting at a leisurely 27.1%, the triple option Lobos? 30.2%
This begins to describe that Miami is pretty much an all or nothing squad. When you cant convert 3rds passing, you limit the actual 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] downs you have a chance on. Yeah with a great RB & OL 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] & <4 is doable and hit almost around 50%. But what you gon do when you’re seeing 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] & 5+ all the time? Might as well send the punter out in that situation.
As a comparison, in the same 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] down passing situation FSU has picked up 39 1sts (#16 in the country) on 81 att. Hitting at a fucking insane 48.1%.
And thus we begin to tell the tale of Boom & Bust vs Methodical.
On The Ground
Duke Johnson, Duke Johnson, Duke Johnson! Oh yeah and Joe Yearby aint bad either. Miami has 1 of the finest RBs in the nation in Duke Johnson. Since he 1[SUP]st[/SUP] set foot on campus in Coral Gables he’s been the electric. Injuries have sidelined in each previous year, but this year he’s healthy and kicking ass. Duke has crossed 100yds in each of his last 5 gms, including 249 in Blacksburg vs VaTech. (Sidenote, Frank Beamer you should probably hang it up, I saw this movie before with Bobby Bowden it doesn’t end well. Bobby at least had Florida kids to recruit from, Frank you don’t) . The Canes will get theirs on the ground, in the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] half at least. No one is goin to completely shut down Duke, he’s just that good. Joe Yearby was a HS teammate of FSU super Frosh Dalvin Cook, and was once committed to play for FSU. Prior to their Sr years Yearby was actually rated higher than Cook. He’s a great back & the future of the UM running game. The Cane OL does a good job of pinning their man and allowing Duke to plant his foot and go. Johnson issuch a naturally gifted & explosive runner that when a lane opens up if you don’t hit him early he will hit the endzone. Or go very far at least.
FSU has been VERY pedestrian running the ball, there was a lil breakout from Dalvin vs Cuse & Ville. Karlos came into the season with huge expectations because of that gaudy 8ypc number. He’s found being the lead back aint so easy. Then again this is a guy who started last season as a Safety, so…..Mario Pender is probably FSU’s best back but he’s missed 4 games already. There’s big talent in the FSU backfield, but big results haven’t come. Losing a starting center in the Wake Forest game didn’t help, but the line overall hasn’t been great. Its really hard to mesh a a running game together when your lead back just started playing RB last year, you have a Frosh learning on the fly & your best back has been hurt. Add the manager of the OL (the center), getting hurt early and even then it was his 1[SUP]st[/SUP] year being the main man at center making all the calls. And then plugging in a RS Frosh Center, you see where a lot of continuity problems come from. The running game has gotten better every week though. FSU doesn’t need LOTS from its running game, just enough to keep some balance & not allow defenses to drop 8 on 1[SUP]st[/SUP]. Where FSU has been effective is in short yardage & goal line situations. Very important to have ability to pick up those yards, its what keeps the chains moving and puts consistent points on the board. This is key as Miami hasn’t given up a ton of long rushing plays, but they are however susceptible to being ground out for shorter plays.