SEC Week 7

gps_3

Head of Alabama Department of Decision-Making
Pretty nice slate of games this week with some interesting lines

Alabama -3 @ Mizzou
Ole Miss -32.5 vs Washington St
Oklahoma +1.5 vs Texas (N)
Arkansas +12.5 @ Tennessee
Florida +7.5 @ aTm
UGA -3.5 @ AU
South Carolina +8.5 @ LSU
 
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+7.5 w/Sun Belt Billy will get a hard look. Any injuries?

Cocks and plus money 💸…only way to play it. For me anyway.

How bad is Wazoo? +33.5 in a game Ole Miss might just out on cruise control…Lane might also go full throttle…

Like a lot of 🐕 🐶 again…
 
I'll bite on FLA. Hoping they got the same MOJO they got at the end of last year. Lagway looked better vs TX.
 
I'd tread lightly. Lagway was still on one leg Saturday but you can get by with that if the opposing defense is generating no pash rush.

A&M won't be as hospitable me thinks.
 
I'm not going to talk anyone off of Wazzou with UGA on deck for Ole Miss, but there's a chance that Simmons and Trinidad both play this week. If Kiffin wants to knock some of the rust off of Simmons and keep Trinidad sharp, then they could get in to the upper 40's/low 50's.
 
Really tough spot for Alabama this week. 3rd of 4 straight games against ranked teams, on the road, sandwiched between two revenge spots. Due to opponents, don't know quite what Mizzou really is this season. They run a lot of the same type of concepts that Vanderbilt does, so there should be some familiarity for the Alabama defense that kind of quietly shut Vandy down for the final 3 quarters. If they are able to contain Hardy and the Mizzou run game, do we think Pribula can pass his way to a win? I'm not sure. 11 am kick favors Alabama, though I expect the crowd will be ready no matter what time it starts. This is a stay away for me, at least for now
 
I think this is pretty much a must win for AU. A loss here and a 6-6 season starts looking like a likely outcome. AU's defense seems to be really good, and the crowd will definitely be a factor. aTm did have some success running the ball (Moss went for 21/139/6.6), so it's possible that the AU's defensive numbers are inflated by playing overmatched teams and teams that aren't great at running the football (Baylor and OU).

UGA is clearly the better team, but weird things happen at night in AU. I'm sure Freeze knows how much he needs this game, so I'd expect them to empty the playbook if needed. Problem is, I'm not sure it will matter. Arnold has been pretty bad when the defense takes away Cam Coleman, which I expect UGA to do. UGA hasn't been great at getting pressure this season, but if Arnold is going to hold it for 4-5 seconds on drop backs, the defense should get home. AU is also one of the most penalized teams in the conference. Being at home should help those pre-snap penalties at least

I lean UGA, but I think the under is definitely in play as I see both offenses struggling to score.
 
Really tough spot for Alabama this week. 3rd of 4 straight games against ranked teams, on the road, sandwiched between two revenge spots. Due to opponents, don't know quite what Mizzou really is this season. They run a lot of the same type of concepts that Vanderbilt does, so there should be some familiarity for the Alabama defense that kind of quietly shut Vandy down for the final 3 quarters. If they are able to contain Hardy and the Mizzou run game, do we think Pribula can pass his way to a win? I'm not sure. 11 am kick favors Alabama, though I expect the crowd will be ready no matter what time it starts. This is a stay away for me, at least for now
This feels like a tight one.
 
Really tough spot for Alabama this week. 3rd of 4 straight games against ranked teams, on the road, sandwiched between two revenge spots. Due to opponents, don't know quite what Mizzou really is this season. They run a lot of the same type of concepts that Vanderbilt does, so there should be some familiarity for the Alabama defense that kind of quietly shut Vandy down for the final 3 quarters. If they are able to contain Hardy and the Mizzou run game, do we think Pribula can pass his way to a win? I'm not sure. 11 am kick favors Alabama, though I expect the crowd will be ready no matter what time it starts. This is a stay away for me, at least for now
Over.
 
Should be interesting tomorrow to see how effective Mateer is.

Can a win here somewhat save the Texas season??
 
Pretty nice slate of games this week with some interesting lines

Alabama -3 @ Mizzou
Ole Miss -32.5 vs Washington St
Oklahoma +1.5 vs Texas (N)
Arkansas +12.5 @ Tennessee
Florida +7.5 @ aTm
UGA -3.5 @ AU
South Carolina +8.5 @ LSU
Such a fun card.

I think uga pulls away late.

Missouri wins outright in a tight one.

Arky and Tenn total is high but for a reason. Should be some good in game bets.

Tamu wins by 7-10.

Ole Miss names their number. How interested are they?

Scary and LSU closer than the spread would indicate.

Go Sooners
 
I'm taking Texas on a pure gut play. No analysis favors them, but this is a weird game sometimes

Outside of Jordan-Hare voodoo, I can't see how AU scores on UGA. It may happen, but I'm taking UGA

Taking the road dogs Florida, Arky, and SCAR

Still staying away, but I think the Alabama game comes down to the best players on each team making the plays, and I think Ty Simpson has inserted himself into the trust tree of performing at a high level week after week. Missouri is no doubt a good team, but they've been elevated in the minds of most in the media into something they are not. This team was losing in the 4th quarter to both Kansas and SCAR, so it's not like they blew those teams off the field as the talking heads are making it sound. I think it will be tough, but I think Alabama gets out of there with a win. Missouri hasn't beaten a conference team that finished with a winning conference record in 4 years, the only SEC team with that distinction. I think that trend continues. Unless it doesn't lol
 
Well, we got the Jason Autrey ref crew, so I’d expect 2-3 game changing dubious calls in favor of the home team
 
Yeah I don't know what he was doing on that play. He's had a rough last few games and is getting pressed for playing time by true freshman Dijon Lee, who had the game sealing INT and dropped another earlier in the game
 
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