gps_3
Head of Alabama Department of Decision-Making
Florida +21.5/47.5 @ Texas
UGA -2.5/54.5 @ Ole Miss
SCAR -3/46.5 @ Vandy
Miss St +25/61.5 @ Tennessee
Alabama --2.5/58.5 @ LSU
OU +2.5/42.5 @ Mizzou
Would love to see some preseason lines from these games.
Would have been fun to see UF/Texas with Lagway at QB. As it is, the UF OL/DL pushed UGA around most of the game, so they have to feel good about matching up with the 'Horns who have similar, if not better, talent on the lines. I'd love to take the Gators, but I don't know that they can go 4 quarters on offense well enough to make Texas sweat
At no point did I think I'd consider taking Ole Miss in this game. Ole Miss has a team that in theory is built to give UGA trouble. They get after the QB, which Beck has shown over and over will get him to throw interceptions, and the passing offense when clicking can put a ton of strain on a mediocre (by their standards) UGA secondary. I don't trust Lane in these games though. He has to beat a team like this in his coaching career. We are conditioned to believe that UGA is a step above everyone, but I'm not seeing it this year. They are still a top team, but I think there's probably a dozen or so teams that could beat them this year
Both teams off big wins in Nashville, though I think the hangover may be longer for SC. Betting against Vandy has been throwing money away this season. SC's pass rush is insane and should really give Pavia problems, but I could also see their aggressiveness turned against them with the motion and misdirection from the VU offense. Vandy's defense has been pretty bad, but they've done pretty well the last 2 weeks.
I don't think Tenn should be laying 4 scores to pretty much anybody, and 61.5 seems really high for a team that doesn't score much but has a really good defense. I know Miss St sucks, but if they don't throw 3 pick 6s, I think this comfortably goes under
Good luck picking the game in Baton Rouge. I think Alabama matches up pretty well against the LSU D, but there's no telling what Milroe we're going to see. Throw in the environment, and nobody will be surprised if Alabama has 10+ penalties and a few WTF plays from Jalen. Alabama's defense has quietly been playing better since the Vanderbilt fiasco, but the secondary depth will be tested here in a way it hasn't been tested yet. The Tide have been pretty good at forcing TOs (14 forced in 5 SEC games), but hasn't been all that great at turning them into points. If you told me Alabama would play a nearly clean game, I'd feel confident they'd win. But I have yet to see that this season, and I'm not sure on the road in Baton Rouge is where you find that
I haven't seen an injury update on Mizzou yet, but if Pine is QB1, I don't think they have a chance, even with OU's issues on offense
UGA -2.5/54.5 @ Ole Miss
SCAR -3/46.5 @ Vandy
Miss St +25/61.5 @ Tennessee
Alabama --2.5/58.5 @ LSU
OU +2.5/42.5 @ Mizzou
Would love to see some preseason lines from these games.
Would have been fun to see UF/Texas with Lagway at QB. As it is, the UF OL/DL pushed UGA around most of the game, so they have to feel good about matching up with the 'Horns who have similar, if not better, talent on the lines. I'd love to take the Gators, but I don't know that they can go 4 quarters on offense well enough to make Texas sweat
At no point did I think I'd consider taking Ole Miss in this game. Ole Miss has a team that in theory is built to give UGA trouble. They get after the QB, which Beck has shown over and over will get him to throw interceptions, and the passing offense when clicking can put a ton of strain on a mediocre (by their standards) UGA secondary. I don't trust Lane in these games though. He has to beat a team like this in his coaching career. We are conditioned to believe that UGA is a step above everyone, but I'm not seeing it this year. They are still a top team, but I think there's probably a dozen or so teams that could beat them this year
Both teams off big wins in Nashville, though I think the hangover may be longer for SC. Betting against Vandy has been throwing money away this season. SC's pass rush is insane and should really give Pavia problems, but I could also see their aggressiveness turned against them with the motion and misdirection from the VU offense. Vandy's defense has been pretty bad, but they've done pretty well the last 2 weeks.
I don't think Tenn should be laying 4 scores to pretty much anybody, and 61.5 seems really high for a team that doesn't score much but has a really good defense. I know Miss St sucks, but if they don't throw 3 pick 6s, I think this comfortably goes under
Good luck picking the game in Baton Rouge. I think Alabama matches up pretty well against the LSU D, but there's no telling what Milroe we're going to see. Throw in the environment, and nobody will be surprised if Alabama has 10+ penalties and a few WTF plays from Jalen. Alabama's defense has quietly been playing better since the Vanderbilt fiasco, but the secondary depth will be tested here in a way it hasn't been tested yet. The Tide have been pretty good at forcing TOs (14 forced in 5 SEC games), but hasn't been all that great at turning them into points. If you told me Alabama would play a nearly clean game, I'd feel confident they'd win. But I have yet to see that this season, and I'm not sure on the road in Baton Rouge is where you find that
I haven't seen an injury update on Mizzou yet, but if Pine is QB1, I don't think they have a chance, even with OU's issues on offense
