Miss St was the absolute wrong side, just an L all the way around
I got scared off of UGA when the line moved to 15, so I stayed away
Won last night with Texas. Was fun watching with my Longhorn BIL and being genuinely happy they were winning
On to today:
I don't know how anyone can bet the game in Gainesville. I guess maybe I give a slight lean to FSU with all the turmoil and Kiffin fallout in the Florida locker room?
The UK/UL line has moved pretty significantly, I assume because of the Cardinal injuries. Still don't think I'll have a wager in this game
I'm taking South Carolina over Clemson. Despite how the season has gone, SC still has 3 freaks on their team that can take over games. I think Beamer needs this one more
I'm also on Tennessee.
@Br@ssknux has a nice writeup in his thread and I agree with his reasoning. Vanderbilt's defense is a sieve and are not well suited to stop the Tenn attack. I think Vandy will get theirs, and they have shown an ability to get back in games against Texas and AU that they used not to be able, but I think Tenn will make just enough stops. The wild card is Aguilar, who does have a propensity to put the ball at risk. Pavia does too though, so it wouldn't shock me if there are a couple of game altering TOs
I'm taking the points in Norman. As stated in the weather thread, it will be bad weather and I think that generally favors the dog. Neither team has much on offense, and even though OU's defense is significantly better, LSU's defense is capable, especially against an offense like OU. Maybe this is the game Mateer puts it all together, but being firmly in the playoff, I could see a pretty conservative gameplan from Venables and lean on their strengths to get out with a win
I'm on Arkansas against Mizzou. Another bad weather game and two teams that are really good at running the ball. Granted Mizzou is much better at stopping it on defense, but call it a gut feeling that Arkansas pulls this one out
It seems almost every analyst and capper is on AU today. And I get it. They would do the committee a lot of favors by beating Alabama today. And I'm not discounting that it could happen, not after some of the games that have played down there in recent history. However, in the games that AU has upset Alabama, AU was actually a good team. I haven't fact checked it, but I read this week that in the history of this game, an unranked AU has beaten a ranked Alabama once. There is an element of unknown with AU right now with the coaching and QB change, but they had to put a lot on tape against Vandy, and to an extent Mercer, so I don't think there will be too much surprising. Alabama has the better offense, the better defense, and the better coach. I'll give AU the special teams advantage. Unlike the last few Saban teams that had to miracle out a win, this year's Alabama is the least penalized team in the SEC, as well as being on + side of the turnover margin. If we play a relatively clean game, we cover. If we turn it over like we did against OU, miss kicks, allow big punt returns etc, it will be a dogfight and I would not feel confident if it came down to a kick for us to win or send to OT. I'm not betting this one because I never do, but I like Alabama to cover and for it to stay under the total. Something like 24-13
