SEC Rivalry Week

gps_3

gps_3

Head of Alabama Department of Decision-Making
Like it does every year, it goes too fast.

Thursday, November 23, 2023

MATCHUPTIMETVTICKETSLOCATION / WEATHER
13Ole Miss @ Mississippi State6:30 PM
ESPN		Tickets as low as $23Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS

Friday, November 24, 2023

MATCHUPTIMETVTICKETSLOCATION / WEATHER
9Missouri @ Arkansas3:00 PMCBSTickets as low as $14Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR

Saturday, November 25, 2023

MATCHUPTIMETVTICKETSLOCATION / WEATHER
Kentucky @ 10Louisville11:00 AM
ABC		Tickets as low as $105Cardinal Stadium, Louisville, KY
Texas A&M @ 15LSU11:00 AM
ESPN		Tickets as low as $35Tiger Stadium (LA), Baton Rouge, LA
8Alabama @ Auburn2:30 PMCBSTickets as low as $218Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL
Vanderbilt @ 18Tennessee2:30 PM
SECN		Tickets as low as $49Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN
4Florida State @ Florida6:00 PM
ESPN		Tickets as low as $157Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL
1Georgia @ Georgia Tech6:30 PM
ABC		Tickets as low as $107Bobby Dodd Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Clemson @ South Carolina6:30 PM
SECN		Tickets as low as $167Williams-Brice Stadium, Columbia, SC
 
My PR #s:

Ole Miss -12.5
Mizzou -12
LSU -14.5
Alabama -16
Tenn -20.5


And I know we'll talk about it next week, but I currently have UGA -3 in the SECCG. Not sure there's much that can happen this week that will change that
 
Clemson -7

Clemson is in a great momentum spot and the pass D is playing lights-out. In the last three weeks Clemson held both Sam Hartman (in his 56th career start) and Drake Maye to career lows in pass efficiency rating. Last three opponents all under 44% completions.
 
Last edited:
I need to get some clarification regarding injuries on the Ole Miss OL, but it sounds like State has Kiffin's full attention. He admitted that they ran through the Mississippi State install last week prior to the ULM game.

Also just a reminder - last year Ole Miss ran 90+ plus plays on the road at Arkansas in an 8 pm kick in freezing conditions and then turned around and played State on a short week with rumors swirling about Kiffin to Auburn. Meanwhile State played ETSU at 11 am at home.

This year Ole Miss played ULM at home at 11 am while State rolled out a banged up Rogers and Marks to hold off Southern Miss.

I'm thinking about the unthinkable.
 
Last edited:
M.W. said:
Clemson -7

Clemson is in a great momentum spot and the pass D is playing lights-out. In the last three weeks Clemson held both Sam Hartman (in his 56th career start) and Drake Maye to career lows in pass efficiency rating. Last three opponents all under 44% completions.
Click to expand...
Definitely lean Clemson
 
Does Florida have any chance now that Travis is out? Sounds like both backups are different type of QBs than the guys they replace. The FSU kid has some experience from last season right? Could be a big win for Napier, regardless of the circumstances
 
Grovehard said:
I need to get some clarification regarding injuries on the Ole Miss OL, but it sounds like State has Kiffin's full attention. He admitted that they ran through the Mississippi State install last week prior to the ULM game.

Also just a reminder - last year Ole Miss ran 90+ plus plays on the road at Arkansas in an 8 pm kick in freezing conditions and then turned around and played State on a short week with rumors swirling about Kiffin to Auburn. Meanwhile State played ETSU at 11 am at home.

This year Ole Miss played ULM at home at 11 am while State rolled out a banged up Rogers and Marks to hold off Southern Miss.

I'm thinking about the unthinkable.
Click to expand...
ole piss by 50 ? ........how does lane not roll these guys
 
gps_3 said:
Does Florida have any chance now that Travis is out? Sounds like both backups are different type of QBs than the guys they replace. The FSU kid has some experience from last season right? Could be a big win for Napier, regardless of the circumstances
Click to expand...
backup won a game from behind at louisville last year at primetime he can play

i think value on fsu now under 7
 
EL CAPO said:
backup won a game from behind at louisville last year at primetime he can play

i think value on fsu now under 7
Click to expand...
Right. Travis went out with an injury in the 2Q with FSU trailing Louisville 21-14. Rodemaker threw two 4Q TD passes, the latter making it 35-31 FSU with 8:00 left. That was the final score.
 
M.W. said:
Clemson -7

Clemson is in a great momentum spot and the pass D is playing lights-out. In the last three weeks Clemson held both Sam Hartman (in his 56th career start) and Drake Maye to career lows in pass efficiency rating. Last three opponents all under 44% completions.
Click to expand...
Any hesitation with Clemson being on the road MW? All that momentum has been at home. 3 of the 4 road games this year were bad, especially the last 2. I really want to jump on Clemson this week but they've found ways to kill themselves on the road.
 
gps_3 said:
Does Florida have any chance now that Travis is out? Sounds like both backups are different type of QBs than the guys they replace. The FSU kid has some experience from last season right? Could be a big win for Napier, regardless of the circumstances
Click to expand...
I think we are all thinking this, right?
 
Br@ssknux said:
Any hesitation with Clemson being on the road MW? All that momentum has been at home. 3 of the 4 road games this year were bad, especially the last 2. I really want to jump on Clemson this week but they've found ways to kill themselves on the road.
Click to expand...
Nope. It's a huge advantage for Clemson to be on the road in this one.
 
M.W. said:
Nope. It's a huge advantage for Clemson to be on the road in this one.
Click to expand...
Explain this to me. Not disagreeing, just wondering why it's an advantage. I already lean Clemson, maybe I should be adding to my bet
 
Grovehard said:
The number keeps crashing so I'm going to wait. I assume the Chris Low tweet about Dart not practicing yesterday is influencing the market. Maybe not. I have no doubt that Dart will start. None.
Click to expand...
Appreciate the info, as always
 
Grovehard said:
The number keeps crashing so I'm going to wait. I assume the Chris Low tweet about Dart not practicing yesterday is influencing the market. Maybe not. I have no doubt that Dart will start. None.
Click to expand...
www.on3.com

Jaxson Dart's father calls out reporting on son's injury

.
www.on3.com www.on3.com

On Monday night, ESPN’s Chris Low reported that Dart was banged up in last week’s contest against UL-Monroe and did not practice on Monday night, leaving his status up in the air for Thursday’s game.

On Tuesday, Dart’s father Brandon disputed that report, tweeting the following:

“That’s weird! I was at practice and can confirm Jaxson taking his regular reps. Carry on, there is no need to wait!”

https://twitter.com/x/status/1726897743900426281
 
Iron Bowl thoughts:

There is no area where AU has an advantage in this game, other than home field. I'm not sure how to cap the NMSU loss, as I can make an argument either way, but I think I land on it being a negative for AU. Anecdotally, the AU folks I know have zero hope or enthusiasm for this game. I get the Jordan-Hare voodoo angle, but those 5 AU teams that have beaten a Saban Alabama team have won at minimum 9 games, and 3 of them (2 at home) won the SEC West. This is the second worst AU team in that span and outside of multiple Alabama miscues, I don't see much of a path to AU scoring more than 17. If NMSU was able to bully AU around in the trenches, I think Alabama can have similar success. I think a bet on AU is a bet on the HFA and the seemingly weird things that happen in this game, but I don't think this AU team is good enough. I'm not sure I've ever predicted a Bama cover at AU, but I think we win this something like 38-10, 41-13. I'll be here to eat my crow if I'm wrong lol. I got Alabama -13.5

Other SEC games,

I'm taking Florida
LSU, LSU TT Over, and game over
UGA
Clemson
Louisville
Tenn/Vandy under
 
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